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Arizona special election: AP Projects Lesko the winner



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Democrats and Republicans watch the Arizona special elections for signs of their political position until the middle of November.

A democratic loss of a single digit is seen by this party as a "symbolic victory" and as evidence that the enthusiasm remains strong. Republicans who want to guard their deep red fortress, however, fear that a loss could mean that their influence on the House of Representatives is in danger.

Tonight, Democrat and cancer researcher Hiral Tiperneni faces former Republican Senator Debbie Lesko.

  PHOTO: A sign that directs voters in Surprise, Arizona, on 11 April 2018 to a place of early election. Anita Snow / AP
A sign that leads voters to a place of early election in Surprise, Arizona., April 11, 2018.

23:09 – Associated Press Projects Lesko's Winner

Shortly after the early returnees arrived, the Associated Press prophesied that Debbie Lesko, the Republican, defeated Hiral Tipirneni, the Democrat, and retained the seat in GOP control.

23:05 – First results show Lesko, the Republican, with 6 points ahead

Initial results are in, with 74% of the expected Republican vote Debbie Lesko leads Democrat Hiral Tipirneni by just under 6 points.

Lesko (R): 82,294 (52.9%)
Tipirneni (D): 73,188 (47.1%)

These are probably the most early / mail-in votes cast before or on Election Day. The next votes are those cast on election day.

22:00 – Polls Closed

Polls close at 19:00 hrs MST (22:00 hrs EST), but Arizona demands that the office of its foreign minister withhold the results until one hour after the polls are completed, leaving the first results at 20:00 hrs MST (23:00 CET) arrive.

20:58 – Candidates tweet with voters

Democrat Hiral Tiperneni tweeted how she met a voter on election day in Arizona.

Tiperneni, who immigrated from India to the United States at the age of three, Tweeted a photo of her ballot and husband earlier in the day.

The Republican candidate Debbie Lesko had a calmer presence in the social media. She rescued some volunteers who wanted to promote them.

19:26 – Conor Lamb Roots for Tiperneni

Rep. Conor Lamb, the Democrat who won Pennsylvania's special elections last month, tweeted a lucky message to Democrat Hiral Tiperneni tonight.

Lamb, who won District President Donald Trump with 20 points, wrote that Tiperneni is "a great candidate leading a grassroots campaign against the same super PACs and special interests we faced in PA." He urged Arizona voters to support them.

18:31 – Arizona Special: It's Not Like Pennsylvania Competition

FiveThirtyEight, a partner of ABC News, reports that Democratic Party candidate Hiral Tiperneni has outperformed Conor Lamb in last month's special elections in Pennsylvania.

They find voters in the district are older and white (the area is popular with pensioners) and these voters tend to vote Republican.

In their analysis, they conclude: "Even if the Democrats lose this race as expected, there may still be good news for their outlook in November." The key question is: How much has Tipirneni surpassed the partisan performance? Expectations of? "

FiveThirtyEight also discussed the special elections in her podcast.

During the conversation, politics clerk Clare Malone points out that the Arizona contest is not like the March special vote in Pennsylvania's 18th congressional district.

"Pennsylvania has a more recent democratic election history," she said, adding that today's competition is "a bit of a different political landscape."

The entire podcast can be heard here.

  PHOTO: In this April 10, 2018, photo, Democratic candidate for the Arizona 8th constituency election Dr. Hiral Tipirneni, center, talks to supporters at a local restaurant in Sun City, Ariz. Ross D. Franklin / AP, FILE
In this April 10, 2018, photo, Democratic candidate for the 8th election of Congress Arizona District District Election Hiral Tipirneni, center, talks with supporters at a local restaurant in Sun City, Arizona

17:25 – By numbers

Republican Debbie Lesko has triumphed over Democrat Hiral Tiperneni since the April 17 election, in which both candidates faced relatively competitive races.

According to data from the Federal Election Commission, Lesko has raised $ 350,748 while Tiperneni has raised $ 229,335.

Since after the primary, outside groups have spent a total of $ 1,357,590 for the race, mostly in favor of Lesko.

16:30 – Trump tweets for GOP candidates

President Donald Trump waded in with a tweet and encouraged people to vote for Republican candidate Debbie Lesko.

Arizona has a strong history of referendums. On Monday, 155,694 voters had cast their vote, according to earlier data from the State Department of Arizona. The district has 455,660 registered voters.

Lesko is favored to win, but the president's tweet could be an effort to pump the last margins. Most Democrats would call it a "win" if their candidate, Hiral Tiperneni, lost in the single digits.

6:00 am – Surveys Begin

Arizona elections opened at 6 pm MST for a special election to replace former Republican Rep. Trent Franks in the 8th congressional district.

A strong performance by the Democratic candidate in this deep red district would be another sign of the party's growing enthusiasm and strength ahead of the 2018 midterm election.

The race targets Demirat and cancer research advocate Hiral Tiperneni against Republican former State Senator Debbie Lesko.

The Deep Red Quarter is made up of Maricopa County – the home of former sheriff Joe Arpaio, a hero of the conservative movement. President Donald Trump won the district with 21 points.

Franks resigned on December 8, 2017, after an investigation into the discussions with his employees had begun.

The special elections will determine who will replace the seat until January 2019. Who wins the place on Tuesday evening, both in August in Arizona and in the parliamentary elections in November to compete again and win.


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