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Arizona Specials: The Democrats did not win, but they still celebrate here



Once again, the Democrats surpassed land in a special election in Trump. They won no special congressional election in Arizona on Tuesday to replace former GOP Congressman Trent Franks, but they came surprisingly close.

Throughout New York, the Democrats turned their 40th seat of the Trump era. It was the first time that a Democrat won this state electoral district in more than three decades.

Let's go back to Arizona. On paper, Arizona's 8th congressional district is not one where the Democrats were expected to come close to victory. Franks went back to this district in Phoenix for more than a decade without a counterclaim, before stepping down in December 1945 over a scandal in which he asked co-workers for his baby. Donald Trump won this place by 21 points in 2016, as did the last two nominees of the GOP presidents.

On Tuesday, Republican Debbie Lesko won her race five points ahead. Hours before the election, a progressive Democrat The Fix said that Lesko would be a reason for the Democrats to win with seven or eight points.

"We see districts that are suddenly depreciated, progressive energy," said Josselyn Berry of Progress Now Arizona, which organizes with other progressive groups in the district for Democrat Hiral Tipirneni. "Many people write that Democrats can not win in deep red districts, we live in a new political reality, and we can not accept what we always assume."

Democratic Hiral Tipirneni pauses to greet the supporters after elections were closed on Tuesday. (Ross D. Franklin / AP)

Democrats hold political assumptions about which districts are safe for Republicans on their heads. In Pennsylvania, MEP Conor Lamb (D) earned a 20-point lead over Trump last month to win his special election.

The Democrats did not win in Arizona, but they did not have to. The 8th district is not the one Democrats need to win or even win in November to retake the house. According to a ranking of the bipartisan Cook Political Report, about 90 other districts are more competitive than this one.

That does not mean that all 90 of them have suddenly become competitive. But the Democrats have to turn around a network of 23 seats to retake the house. They came within five points on Tuesday to beat the 90th most competitive. Also noteworthy: Although they romp around in 20-point Trump districts, 23 Republican members of the congress hold districts that Hillary Clinton won in November.

In Arizona, Democrats hope to build the momentum of Tuesday – and the organizing network they have established deep in republican territory – to try to gain legislative seats in the state that were previously not competitive. Berry said the Democrats have a candidate in each district, a first for them.

These are not all good news for the Democrats lately. Their lead in an important poll on whether voters prefer them to Republicans has recently narrowed as President Trump's approval has increased according to a Washington Post-ABC News poll this month.

But when it comes to getting their voters to do the polls and / or convert reluctant Trump voters into special elections, the Democrats have played in ways that only a year and a half ago they could dream of. They have outclassed Clinton in six out of six congressional elections since Trump's inauguration. They've turned a Senate seat in Alabama, a governor's seat in New Jersey, and a home office in Pennsylvania. And they have cracked 40 parliamentary seats nationwide, including some that Trump won strongly.

That's all, even though the Republicans poured millions into these normally safe seats in Congress to try to hold them in their hands. In November they have to distribute these resources. (Although Democrats, Republican, point out that.)

But that's why after Tuesday, just like after any special election this year, Republicans are sounding the alarm that November could mean for their party. 19659017] window.addEventListener ("DOMContentLoaded", function () {});
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