Ben Coley searches for any equivalent in the Arnold Palmer Invitational, where the resignation of Tiger Woods Bud Cauley offered a great opportunity.
1pt e.w. Kevin Kisner at 100/1 (1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8)
1pt e.w. Talor Gooch at 125/1 (1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8)
1pt e.w. Bud Cauley at 150/1 (1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8)
1pt e.w. Danny Willett at 200/1 (1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6)
1pt e.w. Chesson Hadley at 200/1 (1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6)
0.5 pT. Ernie Els at 300/1 (1/5 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,8)
The late retreat of Tiger Woods detracts slightly from the Arnold Palmer Invitational and robs us of the opportunity to stand firm Understand where the 1
He reportedly had reported Woods's absence from an event he had won eight times over for a neck complaint he had not previously mentioned. Another life is a serious concern when Augusta comes closer, and he hopes he made it to the PLAYERS Championship next week, or at least the next week's Valspar.
Obviously, no Woods does Rory McIlroy's task as an uncomplicated dignified favorite after the explosive success of last year. McIlroy made a nice putt for an overdue victory at Bay Hill where he had previously threatened, and after starting in resolute fashion in 2019, there are few shortcomings in the case for a repeat.
At 7/1 he will do one-track attack for many, but the price seems to me to be short enough as Justin Rose, Brooks Koepka, Rickie Fowler, Jason Day and Bryson DeChambeau were there. Everyone has been more productive than McIlroy in the last three to four years, all with some kind of a coincidence here.
Fowler would receive my nominal vote after a superb finish for the Honda Classic, but it's hard to say that 12/1 is worth more than Arnie's successor. Again, this is an elite company, and while the victory in Phoenix could mark the beginning of a purple patch, we were, so to speak, already here.
I do not mind if I'm at the top of the market when the situation requires, but Bay Hill, a delicate par 72 where everything has to fire to fight, has produced some weird results. Lately, Matt Every consecutive titles have been secured, while Martin Laird, Rob Pampling and nearly men Greg Owen, Edoardo Molinari and Bart Bryant all suggest there is room in the elite for a proper key.
That's exactly what happened at the Honda Classic, and I wonder if Bud Cauley could be the guy who writes his own headlines with an overdue breakthrough.
Cauley is only in the field because Woods has retired but finished fourth and 14 in four visits to Bay Hill confirm that this is a course he feels comfortable with.
Alabama, a close friend of Justin Thomas, achieved an outstanding 12th place last week, on which his typically strong ironic game was laid. However, everything else was fired, and his short game looks as good as it does right now is.
When Cauley's approach work reaches the expected level again and the wheels turn on the rest, he is entitled to increase his form. At Bay Hill, he suggests he is more effective here than at PGA National, where he is MC-MC -27-WD before the 12th place behind Keith Mitchell read.
Cauley's best form off course and Sedgefield Country Club at TPC is "Four Seasons", which fits in well with this theme, and as a confident East Coaster (MC-12-26-MC-12), he seems particularly special to be encouraging.
Cauley was involved in a life-threatening car accident last year that stopped the career of a player once considered one of the most promising in the world. The signs are that he is back on track and since he was fourth on his debut behind Woods, he can fill the shoes of Tiger well.
Last week I wrote extensively about the expectation of a The Blue performance, now the PGA Tour has made the transition from west to east, and while Mitchell was nowhere near my radar, he produced just that.
The victory for would be, of course, Kevin Kisner less shocking, but the point is that he is another player who expects him to put his game back on his favorite Bermuda grass now, and that's what makes him to a serious opponent.
Kisner would have had to win this event in 2017 when I set him to 66: 1 just to make a few minor mistakes on the roller coaster when Marc Leishman rolled in an absurdly eagle putt before he nerved to win one.
The second goal tells us Kisner can be effective on the course and was ranked 26th, 28th and 26th in his last three starts In Arizona, California and Mexico, it may be the simple trigger of the Gulf on the East Coast enough to make an encouraging form of a third PGA Tour title.
Kevin Kisner in action
Kisner's first came in the RSM Classic near home in Georgia and his second in Texas. In North Carolina and Florida, the PLAYERS, he has lost play-offs, as well as the near-miss here.
In short, this is his time to shine, and when he last played on the East Coast, he finished seventh as one of the market leaders at RSM Classic by coast. Yes, that's more difficult, but last year's challenger of the Open Championship defeated big names prematurely, and 100/1 is generous.
I fear all outsiders this week, I'm afraid, and next comes Talor Gooch .
Last year, Gooch fired a Bogey-Free 65 on his debut in this event to take second place behind Henrik Stenson after lap one, before a frustrating Sunday cost him dearly the 26th place went back.
This achievement, based on an extraordinary approach game, has marked our cards with this return, as well as 20th place last week at the Honda Classic. After a few quiet weeks, this approach was fired again.
Earlier this year, Gooch showed with two top-five finishes that he can catch up after a good week, underscoring he was winning the Web.com Tour, which came just days after finishing second.
So in mi And, and only a small improvement needed by the Honda, he has to go to a three digit price with a wind in favor of the Oklahoma man.
JT Poston is with Mitchell and the 25-year-old is currently in the spotlight all the time, so he should be looking closely, but I'm not sure he did enough to be shorter than Danny Willett and it's the former Masters champion who gets the vote.
There is no doubt that MC-25-33-26 figures make up the PGA Tour this year, indicating that he is about to fight when the putter starts firing, and making a debut on 29. Job, before he became a great master, is also encouraging.
Willett almost won the WGC Cadillac Championship in Florida and also has the Valspar form, and with everything that's basically depreciated starting in 2017, he's worth nothing to give her a chance. We only got in November of last year seen that he is able to win in world-class companies, and that's worth a lot.
Daniel Berger has doubled the price of last week despite playing solid golf and a poor start here in 14th place, while claiming that the Florida-based Ian Poulter is too expensive at 50/1 because he started the season.
Both are considered along with Byeong Hun An and Jason Kokrak, but I'm very interested in taking some chances here and finishing with Chesson Hadley and Ernie Els ,
Hadley contested second and fifth and 54 holes here on his 2014 debut. Since then, he has made twice as many cuts as he has never done before, so 12 solid rounds of golf on a hard course.
His only victory so far has been under Floridian conditions in Puerto Rico, and two of his last three have been top 20 goals. The North Carolina man begins on the west coast.
That he was in the third game T9 last season is also one of the reasons – the last five winners of this man dominated the tricky short holes – and he's in a better shape than a year ago.
As far as Els is concerned, 20th place last week made him ready to win this event for the third time, and although this seems unlikely, he takes some inspiration from Vijay Singh's performance on the Honda.
Els himself was not too far off the beaten track after a good start to the event, and to be honest, since the top three finish of last August, he has been playing really solid golf in Fiji.
With his short game, it looks as good as in some Ti Me and that's his last year before he can qualify for the Champions Tour. Bay Hill is on the right track for a possible swan song and everything that exceeds 200/1 has to be put on small assignments.
Posted at 1145 GMT on 03/05/19.