SAN ANTONIO, Texas – Three weeks after their last debate, Senator Ted Cruz and Rep. Beto O & Rourke will be meeting for the second and perhaps last time on Tuesday night, as Mr. Cruz tries his guidance in the polls and Mr. O'Rourke are trying to dissolve the hopes of the Democrats that he can throw Mr. Cruz off track and make the biggest upset in modern political history in Texas.
The rival campaigns originally agreed to three debates, but one has been postponed and has not been rescheduled. Tuesday's debate will focus on domestic and foreign affairs.
For weeks, several polls showed that the two candidates ran roughly in line, an exceptional performance in Texas where the Democrats have failed. Recently, polls have shown that Mr. Cruz has built a head start over Mr. O's Rourke Has. A Quinnipiac University survey last week showed that Mr. Cruz was up nine points, and another from the New York Times Upshot and Siena College had jumped eight points.
Texas Democrats remain cautiously optimistic, with something more cautious and more optimistic
Few, if any, Democrats who have been running nationwide in Texas in recent decades have generated the enthusiasm of Mr O Rourke. In 2014, for Governor, the party's candidate, Wendy Davis, enjoyed a first wave of excitement, but then the Republican, Greg Abbott, followed by up to 12 percentage points in the polls four months before the election, and some Democrats were public and privately grumble about the missteps of their campaign. Mr. O'Rourke runs a firmer race and a smoother campaign, turning much of his life into a social media livestream and allowing his followers to watch him as he drives between events and gets his haircut concerned.
"He's probably I've done the best campaign running in Texas in my life," said Garry Mauro, a former Land Commissioner who was Hillary Clinton's campaign manager in Texas in 2016. "I'm on his Facebook He saw 13,000 people watching him drive. "
Mr. Cruz was criticized early on by some Republican republicans for not taking Mr O Rourke seriously enough. These grievances have largely disappeared when Mr. Cruz started the attack, warning conservative audiences across the state that Mr. O'Rourke is too radical and liberal for Texas.
"The elections are beginning to reflect the reality that Texas is" We are a conservative state in which the Republicans dominate, "said Allen E. Blakemore, a prominent GOP political strategist in Texas." Beto's campaign was always based on a myth, and he has taken 70 million dollars from liberals across the country to start an adventurous adventure. It was a vanity game. "
Next week, President Trump will come to Houston to hold a rally for Mr. Cruz, a gesture that many Democrats see as a sign of President Presidential presidential rescue, and Mr. Cruz rejects this idea his confidence that he will win, and in a recent interview he said that the only big question in his mind is turnout on election day
"Voters on the left will show up. They will be angered by Donald Trump and this anger will drive them out of the polls, "Cruz said." What will decide this choice is the oil field worker in South Texas or the oilfield worker in West Texas, whose job is going well, the economy is booming. And he's concentrating on going to work, going to church and raising his kids, maybe going to the ballgame, and maybe he will not stand for election this year.
"The kind of voter who normally votes in a presidential year and usually does not vote in a non-cyclical, non-critical year," he added. "These are the voters we have to vote for, who are just common sense conservatives, but we have to make sure they get to the polls."
In the first debate in Dallas last month, Mr. Cruz and Mr. O'Rourke argued about immigration, gun control, and police shootings, talking to each other, and blaming themselves for putting their words out of context , Mr. Cruz was in attack mode and turned a carefree moment into an opportunity for a push after comparing Mr. O'Rourke with Senator Bernie Sanders, a self-proclaimed Democratic socialist. Mr. O'Rourke was able to prevail against Mr. Cruz, who was a national debating master at Princeton University, but he was more reserved and struggled to turn his expansive style of speech into memorable bible-sized answers.
Mr. O & Rourke said in an interview on Saturday that although he considered the debate important, he did not believe that it was a moment of choice for his campaign.
"The level of attention in Texas right now on this race is exactly what we want," said Mr O. Rourke about the debate. "We want everyone to be careful and to ensure that they have the opportunity to choose our lives because, as we know, not only the state but also the country is at stake."
"Cruz is an excellent debater," he added. "But I also think that the problems I've heard from people on all of our visits here and throughout the state, I do not know, that you need to be a master debater to represent your case."
The separation between state and national concerns has become more prominent for Mr O Rourke. Some Democrats called O Rourke to share his war chest with other Senate candidates across the country and the Democratic Senate campaign committee. On Monday, Mr. O'Rourke said he had no plans to share any of the $ 38.1 million he had accumulated in recent months.
"I focus on Texas," he told his supporters Monday in San Antonio.
Mitchell Ferman contributed reports from McAllen, Texas.