Vermont's Senator Bernie Sanders & # 39; health is a concern for Democrats, former Vice President Joe Biden champions electoral choices and leadership, and Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren is competitive in spiritual clarity and brings " necessary changes "to Washington shape their party's presidential contest.
These three continue to cite the current preferences for the nomination of the Democratic president, with 27% support for Biden, 21% for Warren and 19% for Sanders among Democrats and Democrat-oriented independents in a recent ABC News / Washington Post poll ,
South Bend, Indian mayor Pete Buttigieg, is stepping back with 7% support and ousting Californian Senator Kamala Harris. It declined from 1
See PDF for complete results, charts, and tables.
This ranking reflects a new high for Warren in ABC / post polls. It had 11% support in July and 17% in September. The support for Biden and Sanders was essentially stable during this period, with no losses, but no forward momentum.
The results are quite similar among registered voters (and there is plenty of time to register) – Biden with 28% support, Warren 23%, Sanders 17% and Buttigieg 9% (after 4% in September) , Each of the 12 remaining candidates will receive at most 1% or 2% support.
The current rating is unpredictable. There is a lot of room for movement. About half of the Democrats, 53%, said they considered another candidate (47%) or had no current preferences (6%).
Warren's followers are not very dedicated. 65% say that they would consider someone else. This equates to 43% of the proponents of Biden and 50% of the proponents of all other candidates together. (The sample of Sanders fans is too small to roll.)
Who could be their second choice? Current Biden advocates share Sanders (31%) and Warren (26%) as preferred substitutes, with Harris and Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar both 8% and Buttigieg 7% each. Warren voters opt for Sanders (36%) rather than Biden (17%) than for their second election, with 11% each for Harris and Buttigieg and 6% for former Minister of Housing and Urban Development, Julián Castro.
Among all inclined Democrats supporting a person other than Biden or Warren, the second-party preferences are shared between Biden (24%) and Warren (23%), all other Democrats in the single-digit range.
Regarding the attributes of the candidates who are most serious in the face of his heart attack, the Democrats evenly divide 48-45% of whether 78-year-old Sanders is healthy enough overall or not to serve as President , This is a stark contrast to Biden (76), who is considered healthy enough to be 74%, and Warren (70), who is 80% healthy.
Younger adults, who are among Sanders's strongest supporters, are most likely to feel he is in good health to serve – six out of ten 18- to 39-year-olds say so. Only 40% of over-40s agree.
Several other attributes distinguish the candidates. Forty-two percent of inclined Democrats believe Biden has the best chance of defeating Donald Trump in the parliamentary elections against Warren, Sanders, Buttigieg and Harris. Seventeen percent opt for Warren and 16 percent for Sanders. Biden is also in front with a share of 35 – 19 – 20% and is considered the strongest leader of the group.
Thirty percent see Sanders as the best understanding of the problems of people like them. 22% say that about Biden, 20% about Warren. Sanders and Biden are even considered the most honest, 27-26%; 16% choose Warren for this attribute.
Twenty-four percent choose Warren, around 21% Biden, 17% Sanders, and 15% Buttigieg for the harshest mental abilities. And Biden, Warren, and Sanders are pretty sure they're closest to you on these questions and will probably bring the necessary changes to Washington.
There are also differences in the self-help profiles of the candidates. Ideology is an example; In the case of the Liberals, Warren performs best with 31% of the advocates, with the moderates with 18%. Biden leads under moderates.
Warren is weaker among independents than their support of mainline Democrats, possibly a factor in open primaries.
There are significant gender differences in the support of Warren and Sanders. Warren's support almost doubles in women compared to men, while Sanders does the same for men compared to women. By race / ethnicity, Biden performs best with black voters, with 39% support, a group in which Sanders is still quite weak.
Biden does it best with older Democrats, Sanders with younger ones. And Warren gets on well with college graduates.
The first vote in Iowa in three months offers countless ways in which these differences can affect groups and personal attributes. In primaries, it is only certain that nothing is safe until the public gets better involved, the candidates bring their cases and the vote begins.
This survey by ABC News / Washington Post was conducted on 27-30 October 2019 in English and Spanish using a random national sample of 1,003 adults. The results have an error score of 5.5 points, including the design effect, for the sample of 452 Democrats and Democratically-Independent Independents covered in this report. Partisan divisions in the full sample are 29-23-38%, Democrat-Republican Independents.
The survey was created for ABC News by Langer Research Associates of New York, NY. Sampling and data collection by Abt Associates of Rockville, MD. For details on the methodology of the survey, click here.