On Saturday, the Los Angeles Lakers exchanged a huge stretch against Anthony Davis, bringing the dreams of the Boston Celtics, Kyrie Irving and Davis together, officially stalling and likely putting an end to Irving's time in Boston.
That's … pretty bad. The Celtics had been working toward a goal for years, and a catastrophic season tore their suddenly promising odds from reaching it. But a small silver lining: Boston's NBA Draft 2019 Strategies are now simplified. The goal now is to improve the timelines of Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum.
"We like a lot of people in this design and there are scenarios where we have three people and they all would keep," said Celtics director of player Personal Austin Ainge said earlier this month. "On a 1
That might be possible after the Saturday news. The Celtics can apply a few different design strategies to achieve this goal, all of which follow some basic archetypes. Let's take a look at some of these archetypes and what perspectives fit into the shapes.
The Risk-It-All Option
Some players that fit this category:
– Bol Bol
– Kevin Porter Jr.
– Darius Bazley
19659002] – Jontay Porter
– Jalen Lecque
– Louis King
The players listed above are risky players with high rewards for various reasons, including questions about injuries (Jontay Porter), motor (Bol Bol) and lack of Experience (Darius Bazley, Jalen Lecque). But all of them have talent that exceeds their planned draft bandwidth many times over, and you could strongly argue that everyone will become a very valuable player with good development.
Design: Bol (14), Porter (20) and Bazley (22). The Celtics pick up a potential unicorn, a mighty guard with explosive athletics and three-point shooting, and four potential balls whose bodies begin to fill. Maybe they also have a handful of money left, but three lottery tickets give you a better chance of winning more than one.
The "Play-It-Safe" Option
Technically, every draft pick is a game of chance, but here are some people who are pretty much sure to be productive players.
– PJ Washington
– Tyler Herro
– Keldon Johnson
– Cameron Johnson
– Nickeil Alexander Walker
– Ty Jerome
– Matisse Thybulle
– Grant Williams
Each of these perspectives has a relatively high floor, which limits its bust potential. Regardless of whether you have a lot of experience (Jerome), knowledge (Washington, Thybulle, Herro, Cameron Johnson) or a high engine (Keldon Johnson), they should all be involved in the next level.
A sensible example of a Play It Safe design: Washington (14), Alexander Walker (20), Cameron Johnson (22). With this combination, Boston would have a post-up with stretch potential, a secondary playmaker who can shoot from deep, and perhaps the best pure shooter in the draft.
As you can see, even these somewhat extreme examples are not bad strategies. If you take the risk, you can score three goals with the Celtics. Three solid role-players could support Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown next year.
But the Celtics might confuse it too.
The Most Played Option
A sensible example of a design that is safest: Herro (14), Kevin Porter Jr. (20), Cameron Johnson (22). In this case, the Celtics get a lot of shooting and ground clearance from Herro and Johnson, but they also make a try with star talents in Porter. Not a bad game of chance as they attract players who can play at once and also get the chance to develop a player in their culture who has the potential to be among the top five in their class.
A reasonable example of a Risk-Some-Of-It option: Bol (14), Porter (20), Jerome (22). In this scenario, the Celtics use the star potential early in Bol and Porter before slowing down their litter to get a high-IQ shooter in Jerome.
Obviously, the degree of risk for each pick also coincides with its height. For example, there is a greater risk of drawing Bol at 14 and Cameron Johnson at 22 than PJ Washington at 14 and Porter or Bazley at 22.
In my latest draft you can read here I went with one pretty balanced version of the Risk-Some-Of-It option, reaching out to Herro (14), Porter (20) and Bazley (22). In other words, the Celtics went about with talent they recognize and know they are dealing with their highest elite, and later on in the first round made some swings for the fences, if the blows are not quite as damaging Moving-On-Up Option
The Celtics will not be able to pack anything to reach the top three, where the Pelicans, Memphis Grizzlies and New York Knicks are all looking to their favorite players. The # 4 range is available but the Celtics will not be able to get them – the Pelicans have taken the Lakers off and they hope to swap them for a talented, seasoned player, as opposed to better packaged choices ,
Would the Cavaliers want to pull down? Probably not, although her squad has many gaps to fill. Phoenix wants Coby White. The Bulls and Hawks will probably be pleased with the players who come to them.
How high could the Celtics move? Maybe to No. 9, where the rebuilding Washington Wizards may be able to use multiple tips instead of a slightly better one. The Hawks do not want to move for more draft picks (they already have three), but maybe Minnesota or Charlotte might want to bite the apple several times.
In this case, some players might be in the middle of the lottery Unavailable at 14:
– Brandon Clarke
– Rui Hachimura
– Jaxson Hayes
– Nassir Little
– Sekou Doumbouya
19659002] Are these guys worth carrying? Probably not, especially since you could slip to 14 anyway. This option is not very useful.
The Trading On-Out Option
The Celtics could also use one or two picks and then give one or two picks for established players to complete their list. This is perhaps the most realistic option, but also one of the most difficult to project. The player the Celtics could get for 14 is probably different than the player they could get for 22. The player they could get for 20 and 22 is probably different than the player they could get for all three tips.
Who they probably decide for is not particularly responsible. However, keep in mind that adolescents need veterans to succeed while Boston works with youth. The Celtics are unlikely to give up all their picks, but it seems plausible if they hand out a pair for experienced players.
What are the Celtics?
Danny Ainge is a risk taker, but he is not a wild player who puts all his money on the field and drops the dice as they wish. He does not mind a big punch, even if he has a big failure.
We can not know for sure how the Celtics will draw, but a reasonable guess would control the risk in one way or another. The Celtics need stars, but they certainly hope they already have a pair in Tatum and Brown, and it would be wise to give them the support they need for the upcoming season without support wheels.