Britain's inability to leave the EU in time already affects British and European politics.
On the same day that Brexit (for the second time) did not take place, Nigel Farage, former EU leader UKIP, launched his new political movement, the Brexit Party.
Farage, a member of the European Parliament since 1999, says his party will appeal to voters across the political spectrum who have been "betrayed" by the political class. He places a £ 1,000 ($ 1,300) bet on the Brexit party that won the European elections and says there will be "no more Mr. Nice Guy" in the campaign field.
Farage knows something about the European elections. In 2014 he led his former party in the UK to victory. European elections are known to have a low turnout that can appeal to more radical politicians who chase the protest vote. In 201
This time Farage will be able to use the country's only theme to his advantage. Even if his party is not as successful as he hopes, it is likely that a large proportion of UK delegates will be Eurosceptic.
This should alarm the EU. The UK, as a full member, will have the right to vote and thwart the EU's plans as long as it remains in the bloc.
Jacob Rees-Mogg, Conservative MP and Chairman of the Pro-Brexit European Research Group, says that this warlike behavior is well justified and necessary.
"The EU was not truly cooperative during the Brexit process, so I do not think we owe the EU a duty to cooperate in return," Rees-Mogg said.
"If we send eurosceptic MEPs to Brussels, I do not expect them to cooperate with federal EU programs and they should block any attempt to top up the EU budget."
This uncomfortable reality threatens Europeans ,
Marietje Schaake, a liberal member of the European Parliament, says important decisions will be taken before October, including the election of a new president of the European Commission.
"MEPs from the UK would vote on it." Similarly, the Brexit party will undoubtedly seize every opportunity to impact negatively on the EU, clearly showing that sitting at the table, unlike its slogans, is more Influence than to turn away from it, "said Schaake.
The failure of Brexit also affects domestic politics in London. After trying for two years to get boarded up by hardened Brexite members of her own party as well as the Northern Irish Democratic Unionist Party with her plans, May resigned last week and began negotiating with the opposition Labor Party.
Since both camps are so divided on the Brexit issue, any compromise would lead to chaos among the deputies of both parties.
Some Labor MPs want Corbyn to hold a second referendum, which means they will approve May's deal, but on condition that a public vote be held. Even on this issue there is disagreement over whether this vote should include the option to completely cancel Brexit.
The official position of the Labor Brexit is that Britain remains in a permanent customs union with the EU. That would not only upset conservative backers but also members of the May administration.
British Trade Secretary Liam Fox wrote that a customs union would "put the United Kingdom" in the worst of the two worlds and not just in the world It would be able to set us international trade policy, which, however, without political representation is subject to a unity over which the MEPs would have no democratic control. "
It would also be unpopular among the MPs supporting the Labor Party.
Kate Hoey, a Labor MP campaigning for Brexit, says, "Any Labor government joining the Customs Union can not enforce radical policies such as state aid or nationalization, and I see no compromise on the customs union who does not break the promises of both parties. " 2017 manifesto. "
In London, few expect that the talks between the two parties will go anywhere, as May has already stated that if her deal comes to pass, she will resign and her political legacy as prime minister will be But as eager as she would be to say goodbye to Brexit once and for all, it would be unpredictable to leave her party with a party.
In addition, the Labor Party For a few months now, why would it suddenly risk its credibility by rescuing a weak conservative government as a leader in the last days of May?
While former UKIP leader Farage and others are still in the clear , pure Brexit hope, the impasse has also given impetus to fire among Remain factions in the UK.
"It's April 29, u nd Great Britain has not left the European Union. Brexit is defeating itself, "Wes Streeting, a pro-EU Labor MP, told me earlier this week.
He says the campaign for a second referendum is in a much stronger position than many thought it could ever
"The Prime Minister stoically tried to get the result of the referendum, but she found it impossible to keep the promises people made during the referendum. "
In Brussels, European diplomats and EU officials discussed the growing sense that Brexit might disappear, a view shared by the group that is campaigning for a second referendum.
Tom Brufatto, head of the campaign for The referendum says it is a "sigh of relief" for a majority of people in Britain to cross March 29. The risk of not making a deal on a fixed date caused great anxiety about stress. "
It provided solid evidence to Remain supporters that leaving the EU was not the inevitable conclusion of this process.
"Enlargement was viewed as a hope," he said. "I think there will be a mobilization of voters who want to participate in the most important and well-known elections in the history of the European Union."
The truth is that the British Parliament can not agree The Brexit result, combined with the EU's reluctance to knock Britain out of the game, has put all options on the table. The fact that there is no majority in the House of Commons and that it frustrates the Brexit process means that the one who manages to break the sack first will win the day.
Whether Hardx-Brexiteers are May, who may force May out and replace them with a fire-eater, Remainers may get a second referendum, or May, who can make the impossible possible and make a deal with Lab one only suspects.
The EU has given Britain room to self-clarify. His attempt to give the Brexit process a sense of calm could lead to some bloodiest political battles.