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Home / US / CNN Survey: Members of both parties in Iowa consider impeachment as the political winner in 2020

CNN Survey: Members of both parties in Iowa consider impeachment as the political winner in 2020



This sentiment is stronger for registered Republicans who do not intend to attend democratic gatherings. 60% said the impeachment investigation would make it easier for President Donald Trump (26%) to win re-election. Among the likely Democratic citizens, 45% said the investigation would make it easier for the Democratic candidate to win in 2020, compared to 24% who believe it will be more difficult. The proportion of those who say they are not sure what the impact of the investigation will be is about the same for both groups of voters.

Democratic Caucusgoers are likely to report as registered Republicans after the impeachment trial. Almost seven in ten probable Democratic executives say they are prosecuting the case, including 46% who stated that they were following it closely. Of those who follow very or fairly closely, 52% say the procedure will make it easier for the Democratic candidate to win the general election. Compared to only 36% of those who follow the investigation closely or not at all and feel it is easier.

The results follow the first week of public statements in the investigation with eight more witnesses It is planned to testify in open hearings this week. The survey was largely conducted before the beginning of public hearings.

Among registered Republicans, 30% said they were following the investigation closely, and another 25% said they were following it closely. Among the Republicans, who follow the process very or fairly closely, 72% say that they will facilitate reelection for Trump, while only 46% of those who follow it closely, or not at all, say that is. [1

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An overwhelming majority of these registered Republicans (72%) said that the president had not abused his post to gain a political advantage over a potential adversary of 2020. Only 14% believe it – but nearly half of the respondents who consider or would definitely vote for a person other than the president in the general election (47%) say he abused his office.

The prestige of the President among this group of Iowa Republicans is stronger than ever Before with 85% who approve of his work, he has gained four points since March. Regardless, 83% say Trump is positive. The president's views are roughly evenly distributed across age groups, but there is a gender gap, with more men (88%) judging Trump better than women (79%).

As strong as the president's job performance Republicans enjoy their dealings with the economy even better – with 89% approval. He also receives good marks in dealing with immigration (76%), trade with China (75%) and foreign policy (74%). One flaw for Trump is ethanol, with a slight majority (53%) advocating its treatment of this problem.

Vice President Mike Pence is as popular among these Republicans as the President, 82% say that they have a favorable opinion of him.
President's GOP critics – including two primary challengers – do not fare so well. Sen. Mitt Romney's positive rating is now upside down: 46% see it as unfavorable and 36% see it as positive. The Senator of Utah had a positive rating of 65% in December 2018. At that time, only 21% regarded him as unfavorable.

A pair of the President's main opponents, former Governor Bill Weld and former MP Joe Walsh, receive more negative ratings than positive ones, though both are largely unknown among these Republicans. Walsh's positive rating is 8% compared to 12% unfavorable. It is 4% cheap and 11% unfavorable for Weld.

Overall, 76% say they definitely plan to re-elect the president with a plus of nine percentage points since March, with nearly every population having a clear majority. The only exceptions are moderates, of which 47% intend to vote for Trump.

These registered Republicans also see Trump's odds against the four leading Democratic challengers match optimistically. Confidence in the defeat of Bernie Sanders is greatest. 62% are confident that the president will defeat the Senator of Vermont. That's compared to 59% who say that over Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren, 58% for former vice president Joe Biden and 56% for South Bend, Indiana, mayor Pete Buttigieg.

There is some more uncertainty among registered Republicans over the outcome of a potential Trump-Buttigieg matchup: 15% are not sure what would happen in such a contest. For the other three tested Democrats, this number is in the single-digit range.

Loyalty Test

When asked whether Republicans who are registered in Iowa feel more loyal to the GOP or Trump, there is about a split 43% choose the Republican Party and 41% appoint the President.

Members of the GOP include Republicans under the age of 35 (49% to 36% each) and academics (51% to 37%). and self-described moderate (55% to 31%).

The most loyal Trump groups include those who claim to be very conservative (52% are Trump's, 34% follow the party), Evangelicals (46% to 41%), and those who live in rural areas (47% to 37%).

While some states are trying to cancel nomination contests in favor of Trump, nearly three out of four of these Republicans (72%) voted for the Iowa GOP's decision to hold a one-vote caucus in 2020 for one candidate. Interest is low, however, at just 30.% of registered Republicans stated that they definitely or probably attend GOP meetings.

The CNN / Des Moines Register / Mediacom survey was conducted by Selzer & Co. of Des Moines, Iowa, from November 8 to 13 on a random sample of 500 individuals Probably Democratic Caucusgoers and 502 registered Republicans who are not planning to participate in the democratic caucuses a live interviewer has reached via landline or mobile phone. The results for the full sample of likely Caucusgoers and registered Republicans each show an error rate of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points.


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