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Coronavirus cases are on the wane in the Sun Belt states as nationwide deaths increase

Emergency medical technicians (EMT) arrive with a patient while a funeral cart departs from the North Shore Medical Center on July 14, 2020 in Miami, Florida, where patients with coronavirus disease (COVID-19) are treated.

Maria Alejandra Cardona | Reuters

According to a CNBC analysis of data compiled by Johns Hopkins University, the outbreaks of coronaviruses that have been raging through the states of the sun belt such as California, Florida, Texas and Arizona for weeks are decreasing, although the number of deaths across the country is still increasing.

Across the country, daily new Covid-1

9 cases have decreased in the past few days, lowering the 7-day average of new cases by more than 5%, according to Johns Hopkins, compared to a week ago. For weeks, health officials have struggled to stop outbreaks in the American South and West, close shops, and ask residents to follow social distance guidelines and wear face covers.

By Sunday, cases in Texas had dropped more than 8% from the previous week and, according to Johns Hopkins data, reached around 7,723 new cases daily based on a seven-day moving average. CNBC uses a seven-day average to calculate Covid 19 trends because it compensates for inconsistencies and gaps in the condition data.

Governor Greg Abbott has warned that while the state has made some progress, the corona virus has not yet “conquered” and “it will take a while” to eradicate it.

Meanwhile, Florida saw a drop in the 7-day average of the new Covid-19 cases on Sunday by more than 14%, and Arizona reported a drop of more than 10%, according to Johns Hopkins data. Cases in California are also slowly starting to decline, with the seven-day average falling more than 8%.

According to Johns Hopkins, California, Texas and Florida lead New York, which was the nation’s epicenter earlier this year in terms of total infections.

“Nobody declares victory,” said Adm. Brett Giroir, deputy secretary at HHS, told reporters in a conference call on Thursday. “Very much in line with what we’ve been saying over the past few weeks, we continue to see signs of progress across the sun belt and diffuse across the country.”

Although the cases seem to be declining, deaths from Covid-19 have been on the rise since early July. Coronavirus deaths tend to lag behind the reported cases, as epidemiologists say that it can take weeks for someone infected with the coronavirus to become seriously ill and possibly die.

According to a CNBC analysis of Johns Hopkins data, the United States reported another 1,047 deaths based on a seven-day average on Sunday, an increase of almost 15% over the previous week. California hit a record seven days on Sunday, growing almost 30% from a week ago.

In recent days, senior White House officials have begun to draw attention to other countries, mainly in the Midwest. Dr. Anthony Fauci has warned of rising positive rates or the percentage of positive tests in states like Indiana, Ohio, Tennessee, and Kentucky.

Dr. Deborah Birx, coordinator of the White House Coronavirus Task Force, said on Sunday that the US is “at a new stage” in the fight against the coronavirus, which is “extremely common” in both urban and rural communities.

“What we see today differs from March and April. It is extremely common … it is more common and is both rural and urban,” Birx said during an interview on CNN.

– CNBCs Nate Rattner contributed to this report.

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