The projection is based on an ensemble forecast of more than a dozen individual forecasts by external institutions and researchers. The forecasts show a possible range from 115,400 to 134,800 deaths before the end of next month.
“The national ensemble’s forecast this week shows that the rate of increase in cumulative COVID-19 deaths continues to decrease. However, total COVID-19 deaths are expected to exceed 1
As the Americans reopen their stores and return to the public space after blockages to stop the virus from spreading, the World Health Organization is still watching the hotspots in other parts of the world. Among them are Russia, Africa, America, some countries in South Asia and some countries in Europe, said Maria Van Kerkhove, technical manager for the coronavirus response of the WHO.
“These are areas we are concerned about because, as we know, if you can really assert yourself, this virus can grow very, very quickly,” said Van Kerkhove. “Each of them could grab and take off really, really quickly, and we’ve seen how this virus affects vulnerable populations, and that’s a major concern of ours.”
Behavior that can make a difference
Experts say that neither a vaccine nor a treatment for the coronavirus are available. The best defense against resurrection is public behavior.
Outdoor conviviality, distance from one another, and wearing facewear have been highlighted as best practices for reducing the transmission of corona viruses.
Face masks worn at home can help stop the spread of the coronavirus among people living together, according to a study published Thursday in BMJ Global Health. Researchers in China examined 124 families with at least one coronavirus patient.
The study found that opening windows, spacing more than 3 feet, and disinfecting common surfaces appeared to reduce the risk of transmission of the virus to family members even in crowded homes.
According to the study, if a person wore a face mask before showing signs of illness, it was 79% effective in reducing transmission.
The masks were only effective at home before a household member showed symptoms, the study said.
“A standard mask we made reduces things by 50%. I wear it to protect you, you wear it to protect me,” said Bromage.
According to Dr. William Haseltine, president of the ACCESS Health International think tank, has already proven successful in changing behavior to eliminate cases in China, New Zealand and Australia.
Tools challenged in combat
Healthcare experts believe long-standing precautions remain critical to reducing transmission, but measurements that the United States has relied on since the pandemic began are now being questioned.
The evidence shows that aerosols can accumulate indoors and remain contagious for hours, so that particles that are still in the air can easily be inhaled into the lungs – even if people are one meter apart, according to the magazine Science published comment.
In the meantime, coronavirus and antibody tests assessing the spread of the virus in communities have shown limitations this week.
Many people who have been hospitalized with serious illness need multiple coronavirus tests, which often result in deeper airway tests before the test is positive again.
Coronavirus antibody tests could be wrong half the time, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention said in new guidelines released on their website this week. Antibody tests look for evidence of an immune response to determine if a person has been infected.
The tests are not accurate enough to make political decisions, the CDC said.
The state of the corona virus
The states have followed different approaches to reopening and have also struggled with different infection rates.
Coronavirus cases still show an upward trend in 15 states, 10 remain stable and 25 are in decline.
California reported the largest single day increase in confirmed cases since the pandemic started on Thursday. Georgia also saw an increase this week, but Governor Brian Kemp attributed the growth to a recently filed backlog of test results.
“I can assure you (Dr. Kathleen Toomey, Commissioner of the Ministry of Health of Georgia) and myself and our entire team continue to monitor this data,” said Kemp.
Elsewhere, attractions designed to attract large crowds are returning to the United States.
Tennessee Governor Bill Lee announced Thursday that live sports will return to the state this weekend at Bristol Motor Speedway, though no fans will be present.
“We welcome visitors back, but we will take all possible precautions,” said Steve Sisolak, governor of Nevada, in an online briefing. “We encourage visitors to have fun and have a good time.”
CNN’s Nicole Chavez, Holly Yan, Faith Karimi, Jen Christensen, Cheri Mossburg and Maggie Fox all contributed to this report.