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Daenerys Vs. Cersei: Who has the means to win the final throne?



Spoiler in front of Game of Thrones, Season 8, Episode 3, "The Long Night".

As we enter the second half of the final season of Game of Thrones our heroes have survived one of two major wars that emerged during the series. After the big war against the undead, there are more survivors than expected, but the number of heroes has been greatly reduced by the incredible onslaught of the wights. Now Daenerys will probably march south on King's Landing to claim the Iron Throne, but her forces (and her claim to the rule of Westeros) have been severely weakened in the last few episodes. In the epic fight against Cersei, who is yet to come, who has numbers on his side? Fortunately, some hardworking Redditors have gained a lot of attention over the past few seasons and have followed up what we know about the size of Daenerys and Cersei.

Before the Battle of Winterfell, Daenerys had about 10,000 Northerners, 10,000 from the Valley, fewer than 8,000 unoccupied, and fewer than 100,000 Dothraki (a figure cited by Jorah in season 6). We have seen what all Dothrakis seem to have wiped out by the weights, and we know that the troops of Unsullied and Jons have also suffered heavy casualties. The battle episode "The Long Night" was filmed in such a dark, confusing way that it's hard to finally count the survivors, but we know that at least these people survived: Jaime, Brienne, Daenerys, and their living dragons , Arya, Gendry, The Hound, Jon Snow and his Direwolf Ghost, Podrick, Samwell Tarly, Tyrion, Tormund, Sansa, Gray Worm and what's left of Unsullied, Missandei, Varys, and presumably all Dothraki surviving the first wave could from weights. We have barely seen other Northerners in combat, but Daenerys will probably summon a few thousand for their army.

The real key to the second battle will be the two dragons and the fighting strength of Arya, Jon Snow, Brienne and one of Dany's remaining army of Essos. We have not seen Bronn yet, even though he was sent on a murder mission to kill Tyrion and Jaime. But if they survive, they could complicate Cersei's plans, if you know them well.

On Cersei's side, she has 20,000 Golden Company men (too expensive for the crown), a small Lannister army probably less than 10,000 soldiers, and about 30,000 Ironborn from Euron. She probably has more ships than Daenerys, as Euron has built 900 ships, as revealed in Season 7. Before the Battle of Winterfell, the army of Cersei would have been overwhelmed by the huge number of Dothraki soldiers – but now it has the number advantage. It seems that her decision to be vile and selfish by not sending her army north to fend off the undead has proved to be in her favor. This is a little disappointing: Jon once viewed the threat of White Walker as a serious threat to Daenerys, but now she seems right when she said Cersei was the real enemy.

In addition to numbers Cersei had in addition to the shops used by her even more forest fire to the Sept of Baelor in season 6 to blow up. And then there are Qyburn's experiments in necromancy that brought The Mountain back from the dead. We will probably also get the long-awaited Cleganebowl, where the Clegane brothers stand. The Hound panicked half the last episode after getting too close to the fire due to the trauma The Mountain had inflicted on him as a child. but he apparently survived the battle. And the mountain will definitely stand as a mighty pawn in her army on Cersei's side.

Still, when the undead army is wiped out and most of the great heroes are still alive, including two Targaryens to ride two big, wild riders dragons, Cersei has no easy fight ahead of him. If the last one and a half years have been an indication of this, it seems that the good guys are prevailing on the Game of Thrones even if it comes at a certain cost.

Correction April 29, 1: 20AM ET: This article has been corrected to point out that Daenerys' 100,000 Dothraki forces have suffered losses in past battles and are likely to lose numbers.


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