The overwhelming defeat of the Australian Labor Party could be a cold and hard warning for Democrats, who are counting on climate change to achieve victory in 2020.
On a platform of climate change, the left party allegedly lost an "unsolvable" election on Saturday to the conservative liberal / national party coalition led by Prime Minister Scott Morrison, who once praised fossil fuels while laying a piece of coal on the ground held up by Parliament.
"Each time Labor and [activists] reminded Australia that Morrison brought a lump of coal to Parliament, they helped Morrison," Australian climate skeptic Joanne Nova said in a post on her JoNova blog Headline "How to lose the unsolvable choice: to be against coal."
Matt McDonald, associate professor at the University of Queensland, on ABC.net: "Voters fear climate change more than climate change." Defeats around the world for parties pushing the Paris Climate Agreement of 201
This is a global election trend that could prove unsustainable for the US, which withdrew in 2020.
Since recovery The House of Representatives In November, the Democrats put climate change at the top of their agenda, holding dozens of hearings from committees and subcommittees on climate-related issues and passed a resolution to prevent President Trump from quitting the Paris Agreement.
Eleven Democratic Party presidential hopefuls have done so, advocating the Green New Deal of MP Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, a very ambitious resolution calling for a national climate mobilization at an estimated cost of $ 93 trillion.
"As Democrats try to make this a problem, the more they push and continue to do so, they are likely to lose," said H. Sterling Burnett, a senior fellow on the Free Market Heartland Institute and expert on interns climate policy. "Because it's a problem with the loss."
The Democrats quietly commented on the Australian results on Monday when Morrison's coalition won 78 seats. This was a four-seat gain that allowed the Conservative party to retain its majority, despite widespread polls pointing to a simple outcome for Labor.
A Labor victory was considered so inevitable that some bookmakers paid out bets before the election results were announced. According to the Sydney Morning Herald, they handed over $ 1.3 million in weather that had picked the wrong team.
The excitement led to comparisons with the 2016 US Presidential election, in which Democrat Hillary Clinton lost to outsider Mr. Trump, who called climate change "dizziness", and pledged to drop the Paris Agreement.
His populist message has since manifested itself in other Western democracies, where advocacy of climate change by middle-class voters is increasingly viewed as a by-product of elitism.
"There is a count ry after another," said Mr. Burnett. "Trump was the base of a wave that is just about to peak, and it may not be over yet because I'm not convinced this is over."
Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau saw that his climate change policy was rejected last year with the election of skeptic Doug Ford as Prime Minister of Ontario, where in April, voters kicked out the New Democratic Party and rang in the United Conservative Party, which pledged to end the carbon tax and other climate change policies The "Eurosceptic" faction that rose from being the seats of the largest single party in the Dutch Senate in March to its leader, Thierry Baudet, was dubbed the "Dutch Donald Trump" and opposed the "climate change hysteria."  The most dramatic scenes occurred in France, where French President Macron plans for a climate tax on Treib In order to comply with the obligations of the Paris Agreement after weeks of protests against the "yellow vest".
Marc Morano of the Climate Depot called the Australian result "a warning shot for Democrats who want to foster climate fears and the Green New Deal."
] "Voters have a limited appetite for this kind of green moron and the pollsters have it even harder to figure out those surprising trends that lead to electoral shock scores, "he said. "France and Canada have experienced similar vocal climate surprises. In race 2020, it could be President Trump holding the climate sump in his hand. "
Australian environmentalists vowed to re-unite and encouraged polls showing that most voters saw measures against global warming and wanted to partially blame the loss on the" myth "that climate change policies Would kill jobs.
"For those in the community who care about climate change, especially for those children who participated in strikes at school last year, it is important to remember that this is progress even if sometimes does not look like this, "said Kelly O & # 39; Shanassy, Executive Director of the Australian Conservation Foundation, in a statement.
Despite international indicators, few would expect US Democrats to withdraw from the climate. Advocacy. Firstly, the party's biggest donor, San Francisco billionaire Tom Steyer, has set itself the task of bringing global warming to the forefront.
said Caleb Rossiter, who heads the Coalition for Fossil Fuels. "I tell you one thing, we do not bother making arrangements with Democrats because there is no one who can listen without having problems with the party and the activists."
He quoted Ms. Ocasio-Cortez's commentary that the world would go down in 12 years without extraordinary steps to reduce carbon emissions.
"They believe the world is coming to an end," said Rossiter. "As AOC says, if you believe that the world is going down, you will do anything to stop it, so it justifies it."