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Home / US / Donald Trump has just made sure that health care will decide the 2020 elections

Donald Trump has just made sure that health care will decide the 2020 elections



"The Ministry of Justice has determined that the comprehensive opinion of the district court has reached the right conclusion and will support it on appeal," said Kerri Kupec, a spokesman for the Ministry of Justice.

This decision surprised even many Trump, the ally, surprised, puts the issue of health care once again at the center of political debate and virtually ensures that the elections of 2020 – as the upcoming elections of 2018, 2016, 2014, 2012 and 2010 – which will address ACA.

This is a startling step for Trump, who spent most of Monday basking in a series of conclusions, according to Attorney General Bill Barr in Special Counsel Robert Müller's report, which was about as cheap as the President could hope that the Special Lawyer did not prove that anyone in Trump's 201
6 campaign clashed with the Russian government, and that Barr did not have enough evidence to bring charges against the President.

Russia's national debate on such rapid health care would be risky at all costs, but especially problematic, as a) the last five elections showed that people care and coordinate health care issues and b) themselves Getting rid of Obamacare is not a common opinion among the American public.

In a February poll of the Kaiser Family Foundation on the ACA, 50% of respondents agreed and 37% voted in favor. Since President Barack Obama resigned in January 2017, his signature – and the one bearing his name – has become increasingly popular. According to Kaiser, since May 2017, more people have approved of Obamacare than disapproved – a turning point compared to most of the previous five years, when the law was consistently under water. Many of the provisions of the law, which have long been the most popular – children up to the age of 26 stay in their parents' insurance, no discrimination by insurance companies due to patient conditions already in place – remain in force. The least common provision – the individual mandate that forced everyone in the country into a kind of health care – was effectively eliminated by Congressional republicans (and Trump) in their 2017 tax code.
These figures explain why the Democrats of the House were deployed Hundreds and hundreds of commercials during the 2018 midterm elections claimed that the Republicans had completely eliminated Obamacare if they had prevailed to their will. "The Republicans will do anything to divert their attention from their voices in order to take away the health care of the Americans," said Nancy Pelosi (D-California), the chairman of the Minority House, in the days before the Midterms. After the Democratic takeover of the House in 2018, Pelosi was equally clear. "Health care was on the ballot, and health care won," she said.
The data secure pelosis position. More than four out of ten voters in 2018 indicated that health care was the highest priority in the elections, according to the poll. The Democrats won these health voters with 52 points. 52!
This massive advance for the Democrats reflects how much the political landscape has moved in the last decade on this issue. The opposition to what many Conservatives saw was a massive governmental encroachment on what was best handled by the private market, which resulted in Republicans gaining control of the house in the interim years of 2010. By 2012, public opinion on the law had stabilized somewhat and Obama was relatively easily re-elected. Two years later, amid implementation issues and the famous / infamous review of "If you like your health plan, you can keep it," the Republicans once again ran against the ACA and gained more space in Congress. In the presidential elections of 2016, Trump explicitly planned a plan to repeal and replace the ACA. By 2018, the Democrats could exploit the fact that House Republicans had approved a repeal and removal package that never became a law because it was not too late in the Senate.
The decision of Trump to choose this fight at this moment is therefore difficult to understand. There is no question that his base hates Obamacare and would like to see it. And that he believes that at least part of his victory in 2016 – and perhaps his chances of re-election in 2020 – will depend on removing the most visible traces of his predecessor. In a rally following the rally in the 2018 campaign, Trump recounted the story of John McCain's decision to vote against the so-called "skinny-lifting" of Obamacare, a line that always breeds and mocks the late Senator from Arizona Crowd moved

Trump spent the entire first two years of his presidency playing in his hardcore base – and from this perspective, the decision to renegotiate the ACA fight makes sense. But Trump not only wins a second term because of his base. By choosing the Obamacare crust Trump enlivens and ignites the Democrats and many independents. And that is a serious political mistake.


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