The showdown with Iran has become a major foreign policy crisis for Donald Trump, which many analysts have long predicted.
Trump reacted threateningly to the fall on Thursday morning with a tweet: "Iran has made a very big mistake!"
The situation is a great test of an unpredictable and unpredictable president and the hawkish strategy of counselors who might be able to lead him into a dangerous impasse he desperately wants to avoid.
Already Trump's protests are that everything looks fine and superficial – at a time when his 2020 campaign claims to have restored US leadership. The world is overtaken by events.
"Do not worry, everything under control, do not worry," Trump told Sean Hannity of Fox on Wednesday.
The events of recent weeks, including attacks on several Gulf of Oman energy anchors ̵
But US allies see rising tensions as a logical consequence of Trump's decision to exit the Iranian nuclear deal, a move that was extremely popular at its base, however, threatening the inevitable strategic reverberation that is now beginning to unfold. For example, the government is demanding that Iran comply with a nuclear agreement that gives it up.
There is strong suspicion among many analysts that the pair and other outspoken Iran hawks, such as Republican Sens Tom Cotton of Arkansas and Lindsey Graham of South Carolina, are trying to maneuver Trump into a position where military confrontation is inevitable without an Iranian surrender that seems highly unlikely.
Graham Fox News said Wednesday that Trump "had" it with Iran. Cotton said on CBS "Face the Nation" weekend that the tanker attacks – already earned "military retaliatory strikes".
A manageable crisis could get out of control
During the current stalemate is alarming, it is currently being played within manageable parameters. The risk is that ramps available with each inflammatory step will disappear.
The launching of the drone – Iran claims over its territory, while the US says it is above international waters – is a dangerous upswing, but will not give rise to any war in itself.
Tehran has the ability to cross the border to a serious conflict – with thousands of US troops in the region within reach of their deputies and militia allies and the global economy hostage to the Gulf's oil flow.