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Home / World / Drone shooting increases danger of war, exposes Iranian differences in the Trump team

Drone shooting increases danger of war, exposes Iranian differences in the Trump team



The showdown with Iran has become a major foreign policy crisis for Donald Trump, which many analysts have long predicted.

Trump reacted threateningly to the fall on Thursday morning with a tweet: "Iran has made a very big mistake!"

The situation is a great test of an unpredictable and unpredictable president and the hawkish strategy of counselors who might be able to lead him into a dangerous impasse he desperately wants to avoid.

Already Trump's protests are that everything looks fine and superficial – at a time when his 2020 campaign claims to have restored US leadership. The world is overtaken by events.

"Do not worry, everything under control, do not worry," Trump told Sean Hannity of Fox on Wednesday.

The events of recent weeks, including attacks on several Gulf of Oman energy anchors ̵

1; for which Iran has been blamed and rejected – and Tehran's warning to exceed internationally agreed limits on uranium production, have drawn attention to a regime This has long been considered a threat to US and Western interests. Tehran is accused of destabilizing its neighbors, supporting terrorism and abusing human rights.

But US allies see rising tensions as a logical consequence of Trump's decision to exit the Iranian nuclear deal, a move that was extremely popular at its base, however, threatening the inevitable strategic reverberation that is now beginning to unfold. For example, the government is demanding that Iran comply with a nuclear agreement that gives it up.

  Trump privately skeptical of military engagement with Iran despite oil rig attacks
The relentless pressure on Iran through economic sanctions and other means is being pursued by two long-term enemies of Iran Islamic Republic – Foreign Minister Mike Pompeo and Trump's national security adviser, John Bolton.

There is strong suspicion among many analysts that the pair and other outspoken Iran hawks, such as Republican Sens Tom Cotton of Arkansas and Lindsey Graham of South Carolina, are trying to maneuver Trump into a position where military confrontation is inevitable without an Iranian surrender that seems highly unlikely.

Graham Fox News said Wednesday that Trump "had" it with Iran. Cotton said on CBS "Face the Nation" weekend that the tanker attacks – already earned "military retaliatory strikes".

A manageable crisis could get out of control

During the current stalemate is alarming, it is currently being played within manageable parameters. The risk is that ramps available with each inflammatory step will disappear.

The launching of the drone – Iran claims over its territory, while the US says it is above international waters – is a dangerous upswing, but will not give rise to any war in itself.

Tehran has the ability to cross the border to a serious conflict – with thousands of US troops in the region within reach of their deputies and militia allies and the global economy hostage to the Gulf's oil flow.

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After more than a year of heavy economic pressure in the US, which has hit the economy, Iran is not giving in, as some US officials had hoped. Instead, he uses his levers to induce the US to pay a price for their policies, split their allies, investigate breaches in administration and place Trump on the spot.

But Trump has signaled that he does not want to get involved in another war in the Middle East – a key political principle – especially if his re-election campaign is on the rise.

Earlier this week, the president described attacks on two tankers in the Gulf of Oman – a possible Tehran warning of the chaos it can bring to oil supply and the global economy – in an interview with Time Magazine as "very low".

Now, however, the president needs to figure out how to respond to the drone attack to stop Iran's escalating gambling and not to worsen the situation and make a new move from Tehran inevitable.

  US is sending 1,000 additional troops to the Middle East under Iranian tensions.

However, the effort would require massive financial and military involvement hampered by the US Allies' skepticism of the White House's Iran policy.

US-Iran policy debunked

Trump has insisted that Iranian clerics be pushed back to the negotiating table by relentless economic pressure. However, such a view seems to detract from 40 years of teachings on the antagonistic relationship between Iran and the US after the 1979 revolution.

Trump's view that international relations can be guided by the earlier tactics of a real estate magnate is seriously exposed. None of North Korea, Iran and China has responded to US massive economic pressure by giving up what they see as their core national interests.

Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the top Iranian leader, said last week that he will never sign talks with Trump, and there is no reason to doubt his word.

  Pompeo on Iran: US considers options including military

The withdrawal of the White House from the Iranian nuclear agreement seems to have been read by Iranian leaders Never again can Washington rest on the terms of an agreement, the logical disbursement of Trump's foreign policy, centered on domestic victory and eradicating the legacy of President Barack Obama, is central to the Iran Agreement was.

Former Vice President Joe Biden – the leading Democratic presidential candidate – quickly embarked on the growing Washington debate over the launch of the US drone.

"President Trump's Iran strategy is a self-inflicted disaster," Biden said in a statement.

"By turning away from diplomacy, Trump has made military conflicts more likely Another war in the Middle East is the last thing we need."

The government argued that the Iran deal – which is the Iranian Enrichment of Freezing uranium that could be used to make an atomic bomb – was flawed because it was not carried out considering Iran's shameful behavior in its region – including missile testing and support for extremist groups like Hezbollah.
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