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El Niño and La Niña could deteriorate in the future



Scientists say that the climate of the planet will continue to warm in the future, we can expect many changes in the weather.

Even the mighty weather patterns known as El Niño and La Niña can change, and this change is not the better

El Niño and La Niña may receive much attention because they are known to cause intense and destructive weather events to create.

A new study, led by the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) and published in Geophysical Research Letters, a journal of the American Geophysical Union, looked at the events of El Niño and La Niña in the warmer climate of the future [19659002] "The intensity of these year-to-year variations has increased under climate change, with a warmer climate giving you more heat waves, stronger forest fires with El Niño / La Niña and more floods," said NCAR climate scientist John Fasullo.

Fasullo used specially developed computer modeling simulations to mitigate the effects of climate change and then compare it to production under the expected level of global warming.

"Events in general will be tightened by about 30 percent in the future," said Fasullo.

So multiply this year's La Niña-influenced eruption of drought and forest fires in the western US and floods in the East by 30 percent in the future.

"If you manage forest fires in California, you're worried about what the worst-case scenario will be," said Fasullo. "And the worst case scenario in the future is that average values ​​are getting worse and the extremes are getting worse."

Fasullo said that El Niño and La Niña are the two strongest factors that affect climate variability directly behind the change the seasons themselves. It really is the gateway research for the weather of the future.

"Understanding the changes of El Niño and La Niña in a warmer climate is fundamental to understanding the effects of climate change," said Fasullo.

The planet is in an El Niño Watch now for this fall and winter. Although it is expected to be a weak event at this point, it still increases the likelihood of colder and wetter weather in the southern half of the country, and Fasullo says the southern Colorado includes.

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8 KUSA-TV


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