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Home / Sports / Fantasy Football Week 2 Stealing Signals: Numbers to know, players to add and trade for, for each game

Fantasy Football Week 2 Stealing Signals: Numbers to know, players to add and trade for, for each game



The second data point is always more interesting than the first one.

If a player's statistics line for week 2 does not match its week 1 output, you need to understand why this is important. Rookies T.J. Hockenson and Josh Jacobs went from big debuts to quieter performances in week 2. What are the expectations for the rest of the season?

If Week 2 supports Week 1, it may well be the beginning of a trend – Lamar Jackson should be almost at the top of the rest of the season's Quarterback Ranking. However, this is not guaranteed as it is still a very small sample ̵

1; T.Y. Hilton and Derrick Henry each supported two touchdown appearances in Week 1 with another in Week 2, but the pace of their crimes is cause for concern.

We also had injuries, including significant at two franchised quarterbacks and former Super Bowl champions, which are not only of significance to those who designed Drew Brees and Ben Roethlisberger, but also to the players involved in both crimes in the right position.

There's a lot to clarify, so let's go through the game by game. For week 2, I refer generously to the article of the week 1. This should not be a victory round or condemnation, but a reference point, which allows us to cover more ground than repeat points.

Data were typically created courtesy of Pro Football Reference, RotoViz, the RotoGrinders Premium Usage App, airyards.com. Do not hesitate to contact me on Twitter @YardsPerGretch if you have any questions about what I've covered or express my thoughts on something I glossed over. This is one of my favorite feedbacks because I have often missed it. Call the followers who have noticed that Rashard Higgins' injury and Devonta Freeman's fumble have cost him some snapshots in Week One. Within the 10 yard line of the opponent.
HVT – High-Value Touches : To run back, for all receptions and all touches within the 10 yard line.
TRAP – Trivial Rush Attempt Percentage : For running backs, the percentage of all non-touch touches. In the last five seasons 75.1% of the touches were not of high value. If a single player has a higher quota, his workload is hollow. A lower score indicates a better chance for the success of Fantasy.
WOPR – Weighted Chance Assessment : This metric compiled by Josh Hermsmeyer offsets team share of goals and team share of air craft. Since a player's WOPR is a part of the total opportunity of his team, it is important to consider the team volume as an additional context.
RACR – Receiver Air Conversion Ratio: RACR, also created by Hermsmeyer, is calculated as Total Receptions divided by Total Air Houses. Similar to yards per receipt or yards per target, but instead per air yard.

Week 2

  • Quick Notes: Dante Pettis – 49% (+ 46%), Raheem Mostert – 47% (+ 17%), Matt Breida – 29% (-14%), Jeff Wilson – 21% (+ 21%) )%), CJ Uzomah – 60% (-11%), Tyler Eifert – 27% (-22%), Drew Sample – 27% (+ 23%)
  • Key Stat: Deebo Samuel – 7 goals , 2 Rush Attempts with only 29 Snapshots

From a fantasy perspective, this game was dominated by Kyle Shanahan, whose system is known to produce otherworldly running back numbers, and who did not disappoint here. Unfortunately for Fantasy, these numbers have been distributed to three players.

Despite the statements of the snap-shares – they always have to be included in the blowouts with a grain of salt – Matt Breida was in the lead and looked very good on the ground at 121 meters on 12 rushes, including a 32-yard He seemed to be peaking from nothing.

But he also got only a high grade grade, a reception on his lone goal while Raheem Mostert had four HVT and Jeff Wilson three. Mostert's most valuable achievements were three receptions and a carry from the three-yard line, while Wilson did not record a catch but wore it three times from the mid-ten and hit twice.

However, part of this rotation was due to blowing out. Breida did not touch in the fourth quarter, while seven of Wilson's ten touches came in the closing stages and Mostert played throughout. Wilson was in action for two short runs in the second quarter and finished the race in which Breida had done the aforementioned big chunk. This could be due to Breida taking a breather, or it could be an indication of a particular use of the red zone. Wilson's second goal, however, came after Breida had finally left the game.

Mostert ran 14 routes to the seven of Breida and landed in the first quarter in a landing of 39 meters. All in all, the three backs were together for 35 Carries, four receptions, a total of 315 yards and three touchdowns. In the future, I would expect Breida to lead a committee in which Mostert may see more casuals.

George Kittle was less active in Passing Match 2 in Week 2, but still very efficient, scoring all three goals he saw for 54 yards. Remember, he had two touchdowns in Week 1. There is nothing to fear there, but it has opened some goals for Dant … haha, no. Dante Pettis threw a pass but was not targeted, even though he shot more snapshots this week!

Deebo Samuel and Marquise Goodwin were the first and most prolific recipients. Goodwin landed early on the ground and finished the race with a 3-77-1-line in three goals, while Samuel was the highlight and scored five of seven goals for 87 yards and one goal. He also got two rush attempts and was very dedicated as the 49ers did not have to roll a barrel and the players seemed to change when the game got out of hand – only Kittle played a quick share of over 51%. He is a great abandonment goal that could get a bit under the wheels.

It was not a great game for the Bengals. We knew that Joe Mixon was not healthy and his statistics showed it. He scored six high-profile goals with three receptions and three consecutive rush attempts from the 5-, 3- and 1-yard line, but could not score.

Tyler Boyd repeatedly showed what he wanted with a 10-10-122 line, while John Ross turned it into a 34-yard run, apart from a nice catch-and-run with a quick dip could, for the most part, be quietly profitable … to he also added a 66-yard landing with less than a minute left, again on a catch-and-run. Ross landed with 112 yards on four catches, and 88 of those yards came after catch.

If you're worried that Ross can not keep his ridiculous touchdown rate, you think his college stats were not much different from what he's done at the NFL level so far.

Ross will definitely regress from his first two statistical lines, but he's a solid bet to play games all year round, now that he's an all-round player and clearly an important part of the offense.

Tyler Eifert also scored a goal, but C.J. Uzomah again took the position in snapshots and Rookie Drew Sample got some playing time, although both his catches arrived in the late fourth quarter. Nevertheless, Eifert is mostly a part-time player and not a fantasy option, although he is likely to play in the red zone very often.

Andy Dalton is now a fantasy option. His day was certainly enhanced by the late Ross score, but with the weapons he has around, he is easily seen on the radar.

  • Signal: Deebo Samuel – 49ers WR to the finish; Matt Breida – to lead back; Raheem Mostert – Going back down; Jeff Wilson – meistens in der Müllzeit gespielt, hat aber vielleicht eine rote Zone
  • Lärm: Tyler Eifert – erzielte einen Touchdown (lief nur eine Route auf 23% der Dropbacks); Joe Mixon – schildern Sie zumindest einen Teil seiner schlechten Linie für seine Verletzung

Woche 2
                

Seahawks 28 – Steelers 26
                

  • Snap Notes: D.K. Metcalf – 89% (+ 11%), Chris Carson – 54% (-22%), Rashaad Penny – 33% (+ 6%), CJ Prosise – 13% (+ 13%), Will Dissly – 59% (+ 8%), James Washington – 60% (+ 8%), Diontae Johnson – 47% (+ 11%), Donte Moncrief – 32% (-58%), Vance McDonald – 91% (+19%)
  • Key Stat: Tyler Lockett – 12 Ziele, 6.8 aDOT

Die große Neuigkeit hier ist offensichtlich Roethlisbergers Verletzung, da er operiert werden und den Rest der Saison verpassen wird . James Conner erlitt ebenfalls eine Verletzung, aber das scheint nicht ernst zu sein. Ohne Roethlisberger ist jeder in der Steelers-Offensive stark betroffen, zumindest was den aktuellen Wert betrifft.

Mason Rudolph wird das Kommando übernehmen, und Rudolph hat sowohl in der zweiten Hälfte der zweiten Woche als auch in der Vorsaison gut gespielt, als er 65,1% seiner 43 Passversuche für beeindruckende 8,3 Yards pro Versuch (insgesamt 368 Yards) und vier Touchdowns absolvierte mit einem abfangen. Er zeigte eine starke Verbindung mit dem ehemaligen Teamkollegen von Oklahoma State, James Washington, und diese Verbindung macht Washington zu einer sehr interessanten Option für einen Verzicht.

Washington traf in Woche 2 nur zwei von drei Zielen für 23 Yards, aber er spielte mehr Schnappschüsse, als Donte Moncrief völlig in Ungnade fiel. Aufgrund einer sehr schlechten Woche 1 stieg Moncrief von 90% der Dropbacks in Woche 1 auf nur 31% in Woche 2 und sollte in den meisten Ligen reduziert werden. Washington und Rookie Diontae Johnson waren in Woche 2 die Nos. 2 und 3, und abgesehen von seiner Geschichte mit Rudolph ist Washington besonders faszinierend, da in Woche 1 die dritthöchste Anzahl von Flugplätzen in der NFL erreicht wurde. Johnson ist mehr von einem Watchlist-Typ und in tieferen Formaten hinzuzufügen, hat aber auch Potenzial angesichts des Mangels an Bedrohungen für dieses Vergehen.

JuJu Smith-Schuster ist offensichtlich die Nummer 1 und hatte einen weiteren heißen Tag, aber natürlich hat Roethlisbergers Verletzung nicht geholfen. JuJu brauchte eine Weile, um in der ersten Halbzeit in Fahrt zu kommen, als Roethlisberger noch im Spiel war. Er hatte jedoch zwei Ziele und einen durch Elfmeter negierten Fang und traf auch ein Ziel außerhalb des Strafraums, sodass es nicht so ist, als wäre er unsichtbar. Er endete mit einer 8-5-84-Linie, wird aber einen ziemlich bedeutenden Treffer einstecken, wenn die Steelers ohne Roethlisberger mehr in Fahrt kommen. Ein großer Grund, JuJu in diesem Jahr zu lieben, war seine astronomische Zielobergrenze in einem passfreudigen Vergehen. Trotzdem kann JuJu einen Ball spielen, und er wird nicht verschwinden.

Die Steelers warfen in der zweiten Hälfte der zweiten Woche reichlich, folgten aber und verloren auch Conner. Es wird interessant sein zu beobachten, wie sich das Vergehen ohne Roethlisberger entwickelt, aber in der Regel sind Trainer mit jungen Quarterbacks konservativer.

Vance McDonald spielte in Woche 2 mehr Schnappschüsse und zahlte sich mit zwei Touchdowns – beide von Rudolph – auf sieben Zielen aus. Wir müssen abwarten, ob Conner verletzt ist, aber angesichts des Quarterback-Wechsels wird er wahrscheinlich eine große Arbeitsbelastung haben, wenn er gesund ist. Jaylen Samuels sah für Conner sehr gut aus und sollte in allen Ligen vertreten sein. Benny Snell hat auch einen schönen Lauf gemacht, aber nur zwei Schnappschüsse in zwei Wochen gespielt. Samuels sieht aus wie die klare Handschelle zum Zielen.

Tyler Lockett saw 12 targets and notably at an aDOT of just 6.8. This is a great sign for his value after just two targets in Week 1, specifically because for him to take a target leap this year he needed to see more short and intermediate passes. That's what his whole game was in Week 2; by comparison, his 2018 aDOT was 13.6 and his two targets in Week 1 were both downfield looks, resulting in a 34.0 aDOT. Those deep shots will still be there for Lockett, but now we have confirmation he can rack up short area targets, too.

D.K. Metcalf caught his first career touchdown and saw seven targets and a team-high 113 air yards. Both Metcalf and Lockett ran routes on 98% of Russell Wilson's dropbacks, and are the clear top two receiving options in this offense. Will Dissly scored twice, but he and Nick Vannett split the tight end routes. Dissly got off to a great start in 2018 before a season-ending knee injury, and is certainly a deeper tight end option, but just note that he's splitting reps.

Chris Carson lost two more fumbles after losing one in Week 1, and while the Seahawks really seem to like him and want him to be the guy, they did take action. Carson's snap share was 22 percentage points lower in Week 2 than Week 1, and given Rashaad Penny answered the bell with a 37-yard touchdown run, it's possible we could see more of a split going forward.

Particularly of note was Carson running routes on just 41% of dropbacks after 71% in Week 1. Penny got out in 12 routes to Carson's 17, while C.J. Prosise was also involved in the passing game, running six routes.

  • Signal: Tyler Lockett — not just a deep threat; Chris Carson — fumblitis, lose some playing time; Donte Moncrief — lost significant playing time
  • Noise: Pittsburgh — pass-heavy offense we've seen with Ben Roethlisberger over the past few seasons (we just don't know what to expect)

Week 2
                

Texans 13 – Jaguars 12
                

  • Snap Notes: Carlos Hyde – 61% (+25%), Duke Johnson – 39% (-25%), Will Fuller – 91% (-6%), Keke Coutee – 44% (+44%), Kenny Stills – 38% (-4%), Leonard Fournette – 97% (+11%), Dede Westbrook – 87% (+4%), Chris Conley – 85% (+9%), D.J. Chark – 82% (+11%)
  • Key Stat: Houston – 263 total yards

Houston and Jacksonville became an entertaining game late, but for the first three quarters it was remarkably dull. The Jaguars did a good job limiting Deshaun Watson and the Texans passing game, and Houston was content leaning on Carlos Hyde. On the other side, Gardner Minshew wasn't able to get anything going until late. He threw for 122 of his 213 passing yards in the fourth quarter.

Hyde was the big story in that he stole 25 percentage points of snap share from Duke Johnson relative to their Week 1 split. He carried the ball 20 times and definitely looks solid in Houston's system. Still, as I'll say with a lot of backfields, one back performing well doesn't have to mean the other back isn't; I've seen commentary that Hyde has outplayed Duke, but that's largely an opportunity thing, because Duke's 5.9 YPC on 15 carries is right in line with Hyde's 5.8 YPC on 30. Hyde of course gets more credit for doing it over a larger sample, but the point is Duke isn't exactly playing poorly.

What was a bad sign for Johnson was the return of Keke Coutee, and it's a safe bet the four targets Coutee got in the short area of the field contributed to Duke seeing just one on the day. Of course, Watson threw just 29 times and for just 159 yards, so this wasn't a good day offensively overall. 

As for Hyde, he did notably get a carry from the 3-yard line, although he didn't score and wasn't targeted. Thus, he posted just the 9.0 Fantasy points from his rushing yardage. That's what 20 touches — efficient ones, even! — looks like when just one of them is a HVT, and it's not nearly as good for Fantasy as it seems like it should be when you watch the game. If nine Fantasy points is the output from what was undeniably a good outcome on the field, that's a TRAP back, and not the type of player you want to actively target for Fantasy Football.

Bill O'Brien said Kenny Stills would play more in Week 2, but he actually lost some snaps with Coutee's return. Will Fuller was still out there on over 90% of the snaps and looks locked in to a full-time role. Both Fuller and DeAndre Hopkins had off days, again in large part thanks to the passing offense as a whole being either stifled or taken out of the game by O'Brien's play-calling, depending on your point of view.

Leonard Fournette again played a massive snap share, and he's going to have a big game as soon as the offense has a solid performance. But as noted, the offense was stuck in neutral for three quarters; they finished with just 281 total yards. 

Compare what I said above about Hyde to Fournette, who had a poor game. He rushed just 15 times for 47 yards and didn't get any short-yardage runs because of the offensive woe. But, because he is an every-down back involved in the passing game, he added three catches on four targets in the fourth quarter while the Jaguars were in comeback mode. That got him to four catches for 40 yards on the day, and 12.7 PPR points in what felt like more of a floor game than a positive outcome. Not coming off the field for a T.J. Yeldon type in those late-game situations is very big for Fournette's value this year.

The Jacksonville receiving tree got more concentrated with Marqise Lee inactive and each of Dede Westbrook, Chris Conley and D.J. Chark picking up snaps. It was Chark who led the team with nine targets and seven receptions, finding the end zone. He tied with Conley for the team lead at 73 receiving yards, and Conley led the team in air yards. That duo is really raining on the Dede Westbrook breakout parade, but Westbrook shouldn't be abandoned just yet, and if he's dropped, he's an easy add. Chark is a more interesting play than Conley given he's a young guy with a solid profile, while Conley is in his fifth year and hasn't done much to date in his career. 

  • Signal: Carlos Hyde — role expanding, TRAPy touch mix; Will Fuller — still a full-time guy with all four WRs healthy; Leonard Fournette — massive snap share
  • Noise: Houston — general lack of offense, passing yardage; Dede Westbrook — 3.0 yards per target

Week 2
                

Patriots 43 – Dolphins 0
                

  • Snap Notes: Julian Edelman – 92% (-4%), Josh Gordon – 79% (+9%), Antonio Brown – 33% (+33%), Sony Michel – 49% (+16%), James White – 31% (-16%), Rex Burkhead – 24% (-22%), Matt LaCosse – 58% (+58%), DeVante Parker – 92% (+16%), Preston Williams – 68% (+27%), Kenyan Drake – 55% (+2%), Kalen Ballage – 34% (-7%), Mark Walton – 16% (+8%)
  • Key Stat: Antonio Brown – 8 targets on 14 routes

This was a Sony Michel game. That was clear when the schedule was released. It's perhaps alarming, then, that Michel mustered just 12.5 Fantasy points in leagues where fumbles are minus-2. 

I could essentially copy and paste the Carlos Hyde section, but Michel rushed 21 times for 85 yards with no targets. He did get five high-value touches, though three came on the same drive where he scored. He got two more chances on another drive, but that one ended with a Tom Brady sneak. Because Brady sneaks a lot and the Patriots also incorporate players like James Develin — who had four touchdowns last year — in close, I've never really bought into Michel's touchdown upside. Given he's only run eight routes this year, there's not much more here but low-value rush attempts in plus scripts. In a game like this, when he plays an elevated snap share and is heavily involved, he should absolutely score more than 12.5 PPR points, or you don't have a high-value Fantasy back.

James White and Rex Burkhead both took a back seat to Michel this week, but Burkhead's involvement in the passing game through two weeks isn't great news for White even when the script calls for more passing, especially with more downfield options in the passing game. Thus far, Burkhead has 10 targets to White's 11.

Antonio Brown ran just 14 routes, seeing eight targets and catching four with a touchdown. This seems an indication that as long as he's active, he's likely to command a high target share. Heath Cummings discussed what that means for Julian Edelman and Josh Gordon

Matt LaCosse made his debut and was on the field quite a bit, catching both targets he saw for 33 yards. His 11.0 aDOT was notable in that it was more downfield than most tight ends. Benjamin Watson will eventually be returning, but I'm keeping an eye on LaCosse as a potential deeper tight end option.

There's not much to say about a Dolphins team that looks incapable of generating offense. Miami's 384 total yards through two games are the second-fewest in the first two games of a season by any team in the past eight years, trailing only last year's Cardinals. Neither Ryan Fitzpatrick nor Josh Rosen threw for more than 100 yards on 21 and 18 pass attempts, and they combined to take seven sacks and throw four interceptions, two of which were returned for touchdowns. Miami was somehow worse on the ground, managing just 42 rushing yards on 15 attempts. You can't start a single player in this offense right now. 

  • Signal: Miami — stay away; Antonio Brown — targeted heavily in limited playing time; Sony Michel — TRAP back
  • Noise: Sony Michel — snap, touch increase (will fluctuate with game script)

Week 2
                

Lions 13 – Chargers 10
                

  • Snap Notes: Ty Johnson – 21% (+11%), C.J. Anderson – 20% (-9%), Travis Benjamin – 66% (+18%), Mike Williams – 61% (-4%), Dontrelle Inman – 57% (+16%), Austin Ekeler – 73% (-2%), Justin Jackson – 27% (+2%)  
  • Key Stat: Austin Ekeler – 9 high-value touches (8 last week, leads league)  

The Lions were substantially slower-paced in Week 2, as expected after their overtime game with the high-octane Cardinals. They didn't have many notable playing time changes, and followed up last week's performance with a similarly narrow passing tree, led by Kenny Golladay and Marvin Jones running a full slate of routes and T.J. Hockenson (routes on 73% of dropbacks in Week 1, 69% in Week 2) and Danny Amendola (71% in Week 1, 63% in Week 2) each dipping slightly due likely to more run packages in Amendola's case and more bocking in Hockenson's. Last week, I had this to say about the passing game:

"Detroit also got a nice volume boost from the extra period, and we likely saw far more passing from Matthew Stafford than we'll see most weeks. T.J. Hockenson was a clear star with a 9-6-131-1 line, a phenomenal first performance for anyone, but especially a rookie tight end. Danny Amendola and Kenny Golladay joined him as Lions with at least nine targets and 120 air yards.

Amendola's 13-7-104-1 line also stands out, if only because of the easy comparison to Golden Tate's old high-volume role. But much like the Ravens' and Cowboys' writeups earlier, we do have to be concerned about whether both Amendola and Hockenson can be productive at the same time when the volume — Stafford threw 45 passes, more than any of his final 14 games in 2018 — and overall production comes back down a bit, especially assuming Marvin Jones and Kenny Golladay will likely be the lead receiving options most weeks."

In Week 2, we saw that, with Stafford throwing 30 times, Hockenson and Amendola combining for just four targets, and Golladay and Jones leading the way with 10 and six targets. Golladay was particularly good, turning 148 air yards and the second-highest WOPR of Week 2 (0.83) into an 8-117-1 line. 

Don't read too much into Jesse James seeing four targets to Hockenson's three. This was the bad end of the spectrum, but Hockenson ran twice as many routes as James, and should still be the lead option at the position for Detroit going forward. The issue is just volume, especially if Golladay is the legit No. 1 he looked like in Week 2. 

Kerryon Johnson continues to be explosive and entertaining but a bit underworked for our purposes, while Ty Johnson got a little more work behind him at the expense of C.J. Anderson. J.D. McKissic is also involved, and it all adds up to just 14 touches for Kerryon out of 28 total for Detroit's RBs. Of course, an explosive 36-yard touchdown reception helped him post a very strong Fantasy total. He'll be hit-or-miss without more consistent work. 

The only player with a higher WOPR than Golladay in Week 2 was on the other side of the same game, as Keenan Allen posted a massive 216 air yards — atypical downfield usage for him — on 15 targets, for a WOPR of 1.02. His 8-98-0 line undersells how heavily he was used, and he should continue to be leaned on while Hunter Henry is out.

Mike Williams played through injury and got close to his injury-shortened Week 1 snap share, again playing just shy of two-thirds of the snaps. He showed off his downfield ability with a ridiculous diving catch for a 47-yard gain with four seconds in the half to allow the Chargers to tack on a field goal before the break. He's a good bet to have some solid performances while Henry is out, as well. 

Outside those two, the only other Charger with more than two targets was Austin Ekeler. Ekeler again played about three-quarters of the snaps, posting another strong Fantasy total that could have been much bigger. I hate to quote myself twice in the same blurb, but last week's Ekeler comment is notable. 

"Austin Ekeler's Week 1 was the embodiment of what can happen when a low TRAP back gets a bigger workload. We may have expected a bit more of a timeshare with Justin Jackson, but Ekeler wound up playing 75% of the snaps, and he notably maintained a low TRAP, rushing just 12 times (including twice in the green zone) against six catches on seven targets. In other words, eight of his 18 touches were HVT. He scored on three of those."

Ekeler came back with nine more HVT on 23 total touches, and now leads the league in high-value touches. He scored on a short touchdown run, but fumbled away another opportunity while trying to leap over the pile a second time. It was a costly fumble for the Chargers, but they didn't go away from him, as he got a handoff on their very next offensive play after they regained possession. 

Notably, just plays before the fumble, Ekeler took a short pass 22 yards for a touchdown, only for it to be called back. That he didn't get his second score on that drive was a cruel twist of fate. 

Justin Jackson isn't getting the usage we'd like, but he also continues to look great. His long run on the day was a 40-yarder that was actually a 60-yard touchdown that was also called back by a downfield hold on Dontrelle Inman that negated the final 20 yards. He's definitely worth a stash, but he's hard to start while Ekeler is dominating the high-value touches. Jackson had just one, a five-yard reception, and ran six routes to Ekeler's 21. 

  • Signal: Keenan Allen — massive opportunity share without Hunter Henry; Kenny Golladay — looked like a true No. 1; Lions — 30/28 pass/run ratio; Austin Ekeler — one of the most valuable RB workloads in football right now  
  • Noise: Jesse James — 4 targets (T.J. Hockenson still ran twice as many routes)  

Week 2
                

Packers 21 – Vikings 16
                

  • Snap Notes: Marquez Valdes-Scantling – 87% (+20%), Geronimo Allison – 45% (-4%), Aaron Jones – 57% (-4%), Jamaal  Williams – 47% (+8%), Jimmy Graham – 72% ( +18%), Stefon Diggs – 89% (+29%), Alexander Mattison – 12% (-9%), Irv Smith – 42% (-7%)
  • Key Stat: Packers – 34/33 pass/run ratio

The Packers dominated the Vikings early, but never extended a lead that was briefly 21-0 early in the second quarter, and probably should have lost because of it. The biggest thing we learned is when they get positive game script, they will feed the running backs.

It might seem odd I said running backs and not just Aaron Jones, but the reality is Jones actually lost a few percentage points of snap share while Jamaal Williams gained relative to Week 1. Despite the fact that Jones out-targeted him six to four, Williams ran more routes, and his nine carries was decent usage on the ground. 

Now, some of that was just that Jones likely needed some breathers, given he rushed 23 times and caught four more passes for 27 total touches. But it's worth pointing out that Jones didn't dominate the backfield — it was more that the duo combined for 39 touches! 

Perhaps we'll see that type of usage whenever the Packers get big leads, but that's a lot. It ties Baltimore's Week 1 performance against Miami as the second most RB touches in a game through two weeks, behind only San Francisco's Week 2 numbers in Cincinnati, discussed above. Jones looked great, and it was big to see him jump from one high-value touch in Week 1 to five in Week 2, including four catches, but this should absolutely be read as a word of caution. 

Outside the backs, it was strictly receivers catching passes, with Davante Adams powering through a tough matchup to post a 9-7-106 line. Marquez Valdes-Scantling saw the second biggest opportunity share with six targets and 62 air yards, but didn't do much with it, while Geronimo Allison turned his five targets at a miniscule 3.2 aDOT into a 4-25-1 line. Jimmy Graham had two catchless targets after being an important secondary option in Week 1.

This is a fairly typical result for a team with a legit No. 1 and a low-volume passing game. Aaron Rodgers only threw for 209 yards, and because Adams accounted for more than half of them, there just wasn't much else to go around. 

Despite the huge hole they found themselves in early, Minnesota still finished with a run-heavy lean, with a 32/27 pass/run ratio (they threw more than they ran, but anything approaching 50/50 is run-heavy, especially in a negative script). Those 32 pass attempts are substantially more than last week's 10, and they moved away from their two-tight end sets and opened things up a bit, but the split also drives home the run-first philosophy, given the game situation the Vikings found themselves in. That's bad news for Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs, and renders Kyle Rudolph droppable. 

It's good news for Dalvin Cook backers, and he ripped off a 75-yard touchdown run for their first score en route to another huge rushing line (20-154-1). Cook also chipped in three catches for 37 yards, and while he won't maintain a 6.5 YPC and may not be a top three back if the rushing efficiency dips a bit, there's nothing too concerning here. 

Diggs should have had a big day. He had one touchdown overturned on a booth-initiated replay inside two minutes of the first half that became an offensive pass interference penalty that didn't appear to be conclusive enough to warrant an overturn. Cousins also missed him on a couple throws he really should have made — Cousins struggled throughout to a 14/32 line — including this one:

Diggs also had an uncharacteristic drop of his own on what could have been a solid gain, but did bring in another deep pass for a touchdown, and his seven targets and 161 air yards were phenomenal usage. I'm not reading too much into the inefficiency on those targets. 

Thielen, meanwhile, converted eight targets and 139 air yards of his own into a 5-75 line. The wide receiver duo combined for 48% of the team's targets and a ridiculous 89% of their air yards. It's not an ideal situation, but as long as they dominate the receiving game to that degree they will still be usable. 

  • Signal: Vikings/Packers — want to be run-heavy; Aaron Jones — only 69% of RB touches
  • Noise: Packers — 39 RB touches overall; Stefon Diggs — one catch

Week 2
                

Dallas 31 – Washington 21
                

  • Snap Share: Ezekiel Elliott – 76% (+22%), Devin Smith – 26% (+17%), Jason Witten – 77% (+11%), Blake Jarwin – 34% (-6%), Terry McLaurin – 90% (-2%), Paul Richardson – 87% (+7%), Trey Quinn – 79% (-18%), Chris Thompson – 45% (-19%), Adrian Peterson – 29% (+29%)
  • Key Stat: Dak Prescott – 26/30, 269 yards, 3 TD, 69 rush yards

While Lamar Jackson has been rightfully grabbing headlines in the Fantasy community, Dak Prescott is perhaps going a bit underappreciated. The new Kellen Moore offense is clearly a major step up from prior Dallas schemes, and through two games Dak has completed a league-high 82.3% of his passes for a league-high 10.9 yards per attempt, with seven touchdowns and one interception.

That's great news for everybody on the offense, as is the next team on the schedule — Miami. The Cowboys did ramp up Ezekiel Elliott's usage in Week 2 (23-111-1), and it's possible we'll see him running roughshod over the Dolphins in Week 3 rather than Dak throwing 30-plus times. But there's no chance you can sit Dak for that matchup with how good he's been through two games.

It was part-time player Devin Smith who caught the long touchdown in Week 2, while Amari Cooper and Jason Witten caught shorter tosses for scores. Michael Gallup backed up his strong Week 1 with another good performance, leading the team with eight targets and catching six for 68, but he unfortunately tore his meniscus in the second half and will miss 2-4 weeks. Smith is the likely candidate to fill his role — interestingly, Smith's long touchdown came in the second quarter, before Gallup exited, and Smith caught two more passes in the fourth after Gallup was done for the day. 

Witten's snaps rose, and he ran a route on two-thirds of Dak's dropbacks, up from 54% in Week 1. He's more of a PPR option, but is someone to consider in deeper formats as well while Gallup misses time. Of course, Amari Cooper is still the locked-in No. 1, and Randall Cobb has caught nine of 11 targets for 93 yards and a score through two games, so the Cowboys have options.

We noted last week Terry McLaurin was already playing a full snap share, and in Week 2 he solidified his status as the team's No. 1, seeing 10 targets for 134 air yards, good for a 0.83 WOPR that tied Kenny Golladay for second-highest on the week. His touchdown came late in garbage time, but even without it he had put together a nice day and seen plenty of volume throughout.

Paul Richardson also caught a touchdown, but saw just three targets at a 3.7 aDOT. Richardson has typically thrived as a deep threat, but despite running plenty of routes as an every-down guy, he has amassed just 86 air yards through two weeks. McLaurin and his 277 air yards has just taken those looks. 

Chris Thompson and Trey Quinn were both active with eight and seven targets at low aDOTs and are not much more than PPR options, while Vernon Davis was used similarly but saw just four looks. None had overly appealing stat lines, but all ran plenty of routes and made up the rest of the main part of the receiving corps outside McLaurin and Richardson. 

Adrian Peterson found paydirt but his 10-25 rushing line is both light on touches due to the negative script and light on efficiency, likely due to his age. He's unlikely to see much work in the passing game — he caught two balls in Week 2 but ran just five routes — so he's a tough guy to play in any matchup. 

  • Signal: Terry McLaurin — Clear No. 1 usage; Michael Gallup — will miss some time, but someone to add if dropped because his usage and production has been top notch, even better than Cooper's
  • Noise: Adrian Peterson — The touchdown doesn't make him Fantasy relevant, and his two receptions were fluky given just five routes run

Week 2
                

Chiefs 28 – Raiders 10
                

  • Snap Notes: Demarcus Robinson – 95% (+32%), Mecole Hardman – 77% (-1%), Damien Williams – 51% (-15%), LeSean McCoy – 43% (+14%), Hunter Renfrow – 75% (+46%), Josh Jacobs – 46% (-27%), Jalen Richard – 31% (+15%), DeAndre Washington – 23% (+14%)
  • Key Stat: Patrick Mahomes – 549 air yards (career high by 82)

Patrick Mahomes is ridiculous. With Tyreek Hill sidelined, the Chiefs might have been expected to be a bit more conservative. Instead, after the Raiders got out to an early 10-0 lead, Mahomes aired it out more than ever, tossing four second-quarter touchdowns — the shortest of which was 27 yards — and setting a career high on the day with 549 air yards. 

Somewhat surprisingly, Sammy Watkins didn't flourish, catching just six passes for 49 yards. But he was still the clear No. 1 by WOPR, leading the team with 13 targets and finishing with 139 air yards. The volume was very much there; his very strong Week 1 efficiency swung back to where he significantly underperformed his Week 2 volume. He's still a locked-in starter.

Travis Kelce did Travis Kelce things, posting a 9-7-107-1 line with 105 air yards. But Demarcus Robinson and Mecole Hardman were the revelations. Robinson caught all six targets he saw at an aDOT of 25.3 (152 air yards) for 172 yards and two scores. Hardman was equally involved, seeing six targets and 82 air yards for a 4-61-1 receiving line but also losing another potential 72-yard score to a holding penalty on LeSean McCoy in the backfield. He very nearly had a line to match Robinson's.

I got asked on Twitter during the game which of the two I'd prioritize in season long by a follower who plays in a league with no waivers. It's almost impossible to say, and both are great adds, but the tiebreak for me right now would be Hardman already producing like this in his second career game, and how that speaks to further development in his rookie season, and likely more upside than Robinson. 

With all the downfield passing, there wasn't much running back production. Damien Williams again led the backfield in snaps and routes run, seeing some downfield usage on wheel routes and posting a 9.6 aDOT on five targets, an uncharacteristically high figure for a running back. He left the game with a knee injury early in the fourth quarter that occurred away from the action and we don't have an update on, so his status moving forward is unclear. LeSean McCoy seemed to be filling a larger role even before Damien's injury, and he notably ran twice as many routes (16) as he did in Week 1 and caught three passes, but he too left with an injury. McCoy's was to the ankle, and an MRI revealed no structural damage.

As much as the two running back injuries seem to indicate Darwin Thompson could be in line for a significant uptick in snaps, Darrel Williams was also involved late, and he played five snaps to Thompson's four. We'll need more information on who is healthy to have any idea what the play is going forward. 

I had this to say on Josh Jacobs last week: 

"Josh Jacobs dominated the game for the Raiders in plus game script throughout, and Jon Gruden called his number 24 times, 23 of which were rush attempts. Jacobs was a hit largely because the offense was so successful — he converted two of his three green zone rush attempts for scores. Only three backs had more green zone attempts in Week 1. 

As strong as his workload was, there's minor concern that his heavy touch count featured mostly low-value touches. It's only minor concern because he still racked up a solid four HVT, and Jalen Richard barely played. We don't know what the split will look like in negative scripts, and the Raiders will still find themselves there more often than not, but Week 1 was certainly a positive sign."

Jacobs wasn't completely absent in the passing game, but he gave up a ton of snaps in negative script and ran just 12 routes compared to Richard and DeAndre Washington combining for 21. He still helped his day with a solid 51-yard run, and two of his 12 rush attempts came in the green zone. In fact, right after a Jacobs 6-yard gain to the 4, Derek Carr threw a bad interception in the end zone on 1st and goal, something that might only increase the likelihood Jon Gruden leans on Jacobs when the Raiders get close. The lack of a receiving role is still a pretty significant concern, though.

Last season, Richard was a very valuable PPR back who caught 68 passes, but this year we're seeing him split the backup duties with Washington, which makes neither rosterable. 

After a Week 1 where Tyrell Williams and Darren Waller dominated the passing game, Hunter Renfrow played substantially more snaps and became a clear third option, leading the team with eight targets but catching just four for 30. Williams and Waller both saw seven and were more productive, with Williams catching a touchdown and also being the end zone target on Carr's aforementioned interception. Both Williams and Waller are every-week starting options on volume alone. 

  • Signal: Patrick Mahomes — will air it out plenty without Tyreek Hill; Josh Jacobs — lost snaps in negative script
  • Noise: Sammy Watkins — relative lack of production (still led team in WOPR by a considerable margin)

Week 2
                

Rams 27 – Saints 9
                

  • Snap Notes: Todd Gurley – 64% (-6%), Malcolm Brown – 36% (+8%), Gerald Everett – 71% (+32%), Alvin Kamara – 65% (-11%), Latavius Murray – 35% (+8)
  • Key Stat: Alvin Kamara – 1 HVT (7 in Week 1)

The loss of Drew Brees was the huge storyline from a game that could have been more of a shootout but became something far less exciting. And it's a significant loss, particularly for Alvin Kamara, as there's simply no one like Brees when it comes to targeting the running back position both from a volume and efficiency standpoint. Virtually every running back that has played with Brees throughout his career has posted elevated catch rates while on the Saints versus the rest of their career, and the Saints have also been in the top five of targets to the position in each season of the decade-plus Brees has been in New Orleans.

With Brees under center, this offense is in its own tier in terms of generating high-value touches for running backs. But with Teddy Bridgewater taking over for the majority of Week 2, Kamara saw just three targets and a less efficient offense overall meant no plays inside the opponent's 10-yard line. 

Brees isn't out for the season, and it's possible Sean Payton and Brees will work with Bridgewater and try to fit him to the scheme somewhat, to mimic some of what Brees has done passing to the backs, so hope is not all lost. But it's a significant blow to the values of Kamara and Latavius Murray, especially as they will trade a lot of high-value touches for a likely higher rate of low-value rush attempts as the offense gets more conservative. 

Michael Thomas is also hurt by the injury, despite a very typical 13-10-89 line in Week 2. His specific usage isn't damaged as much as the backs, but a big reason he's been so productive the past two seasons is ridiculous efficiency — he set the all-time catch percentage mark for a WR with over 100 targets last season by nearly eight percentage points at 85.0% — and we'd expect that efficiency to take a significant hit with the quarterback change.

And then guys like Jared Cook, Tre'Quan Smith and Ted Ginn were all interesting to varying degrees due to the efficiency of the offense more than their specific volume, because it's challenging to project any for significant target shares when Thomas in particular is such a target hog. So it's going to be tough to use that trio for the six weeks, the estimate on Brees' recovery, even if fewer passes to the backs could mean more downfield attempts.

The Rams' passing game is much the same as 2018, where all three main wide receivers are playing huge snaps, and you'll likely see at least two be productive in any given week. Robert Woods was the odd man out in this one, but he incredibly lost five targets and three receptions to plays negated by penalty, including a would-be 14-yard touchdown. He's not someone to worry about, but Brandin Cooks and Cooper Kupp were the beneficiaries. Cooks saw just four targets but led the team with 86 air yards, and converted a short touchdown to finish with a 3-74-1 line. Kupp had a phenomenal catch-and-run that was initially ruled a 66-yard touchdown but was overturned on replay as his knee was down at the 1. That led to a Jared Goff sneak, but Kupp still finished with a strong 9-5-120 line. Gerald Everett also saw an uptick in snaps and routes and is a deeper-league tight end to monitor. 

Todd Gurley gave up a few more snaps, but we saw the same pattern we highlighted in Week 1. The Rams are simply rotating series, and while last week that meant two touchdowns for Malcolm Brown because he was in as the main back for both of those scoring drives, this week it meant a short touchdown for Gurley on one of his series. 

Interestingly, Brown was the back to open the drive with the long Kupp reception, and he stayed in for the 1-yard Goff touchdown sneak after the lengthy review that overturned Kupp's touchdown. There was ample time for the Rams to substitute in Gurley because of the review, but they stuck to their pattern and kept Brown on the field. In 2017 or 2018, it's likely that even if Gurley were on the sideline for the beginning of such a series, he would have substituted in there. That's a microcosm of how Gurley's role has changed, but he still has plenty of value.

Still, Gurley had a solid day, catching three passes to jump to five high-value touches in Week 2 after just one in Week 1. 

Darrell Henderson, who was going in the fifth round for a stretch this offseason when the Gurley panic was at its most extreme, has played just two snaps in two games. He's a tough guy to cut given the value of this offense when it's rolling and his strong prospect profile. It's probably necessary in shallower leagues, but he's still a good stash in deeper formats as a potential late-season breakout, and if I see him released in deeper formats I'm looking to scoop him up. 

  • Signal: Alvin Kamara — sure to lose a lot of high-value touches without Brees; Rams — rotating backs by series
  • Noise: Robert Woods — just two targets (lost five targets, three receptions, a touchdown to plays negated by penalty)

Week 2
                

Bears 16 – Broncos 14
                

  • Snap Notes: Anthony Miller – 52% (+31%), David Montgomery – 44% (+6%), Tarik Cohen – 38% (-34%), Mike Davis – 25% (-31%), Trey Burton – 43% (+43%), DaeSean Hamilton – 66% (-10%), Royce Freeman – 52% (+5%), Phillip Lindsay – 48% (-4%), Noah Fant – 66% (-15%)
  • Key Stat: Royce Freeman — 7 targets, 5 receptions, 102 total yards

Another game where an exciting finish masked a more boring game overall, but there were plenty of interesting usage trends to look at. 

Tarik Cohen went from 40 slot snaps and just five in the backfield in Week 1 to just five slot snaps and 15 in the backfield in Week 2. He had never played anywhere near the number of slot snaps he played in Week 1, but there's an interesting parallel in Duke Johnson's 2017 season. The Browns did similar in Week 1, playing Duke 45 snaps in the slot, before immediately reverting him to his old role — he played just 38 slot snaps total the rest of the season. My working theory on Cohen is we'll see similar, and that Week 1 was just a matchup thing and/or an attempt to catch Green Bay off guard.

Anthony Miller was the big winner from this shift, going from routes on 21% of Week 1 dropbacks to 48% in Week 2. He's still not playing enough and it's fine if you dropped him, but that bears watching. 

Mitchell Trubisky only threw for 120 yards on 27 passes, and 30 of those yards came on two completions that set up a game-winning field goal. The Bears only generated 273 yards of total offense. Allen Robinson again looked like the clear No. 1, and was on the receiving end of a 25-yard completion on the game's penultimate play. His 7-4-41 line looks a little better when you consider game context.

Trey Burton returned to a partial role, running nine routes, while Chicago's other tight ends, Ben Braunecker (eight routes) and Adam Shaheen (seven), were also involved. All three had three targets, and we'll see whether Burton starts to pick up more snaps going forward.

It was a David Montgomery game, with the rookie taking 18 carries including five in the green zone on the same drive. After Montgomery was stuffed twice, the Bears threw on third down and drew a defensive holding penalty. An automatic first down led to three more Montgomery runs, and he finally found pay dirt on third down. Matt Nagy's willingness to keep calling Montgomery's number in lieu of passing or rotating in Mike Davis was very notable here. 

In fact, Davis got just three touches all game and his snap share fell by 31 percentage points. It wasn't all positive for Montgomery, though. That Cohen was more involved in backfield snaps meant that Montgomery's snap share didn't rise by the same degree, and Cohen stole some of the passing downs work as Montgomery went from 15 routes in Week 1 to just seven in Week 2. 

Last week, I called the Broncos not using Devontae Booker "one of the most interesting Week 1 takeaways." 

"Last season, despite having both Phillip Lindsay and Royce Freeman, the Broncos somewhat quietly still utilized Devontae Booker heavily as a third-down back. In games played, Booker averaged 19.8 snaps per game with Lindsay at 30.2 and Freeman at 22.0."

I also noted that because the split between Lindsay and Freeman was closer to 50/50 than last year, Freeman was the big winner. Well in Week 2, Freeman out-snapped Lindsay and was the far more effective back. With Joe Flacco pulling a Joe Flacco and throwing for fewer than 300 yards on 50 attempts, there were plenty of checkdowns to go around, and both Freeman and Lindsay saw seven targets. Lindsay did out-carry Freeman 13 to 11, but Freeman gained 102 total yards to Lindsay's 66.

This is a good time to remind you that Freeman was the second-round pick last year while Lindsay was the UDFA. Yes, Lindsay had a great rookie season, but Freeman had a ridiculous college production record that included very strong receiving numbers — over 800 career receiving yards to go along with over 5,600 rushing yards and 64 career touchdowns — and at nearly 50 pounds heavier (with better agility metrics and without sacrificing much speed) is the far more physically gifted back of the two. Given the team situation with Flacco targeting the position 14 times in Week 2, Freeman is one of the biggest buys of Week 2.

Emmanuel Sanders continued to prove he isn't of this world, both by playing such massive snap shares when most would still be rehabbing but also by posting a 13-11-98-1 line with a ridiculously athletic go-ahead touchdown catch late. I've been slow to come around and have him on zero of my own teams, but he's pretty clearly a feature part of their passing game.

Sanders' aDOT on those targets was just 5.9, and I noted this offseason how his aDOT had fallen for several years in a row even before his Achilles injury. 

That helps explain why DaeSean Hamilton doesn't have much of a role, as he's most effective on short-area targets. Courtland Sutton, meanwhile, is locked in to the lead downfield role; he had more air yards (82) on his seven targets than Manny did (77) on his 13. Sutton converted two key fourth downs on the final go-ahead drive and is an important piece of this passing game, but suffers a bit when Flacco is unwilling to take shots downfield.

Noah Fant played a bit less but still ran routes on 65% of dropbacks, and his 4-4-33 line wasn't bad. As an athletic tight end, he's another guy who can be a downfield target, as he showed off on a 24-yard catch in the third quarter. He's certainly someone to keep an eye on.

  • Signal: Royce Freeman — expanding role, huge upside; Tarik Cohen — back to a normal receiving back role; Mike Davis — relegated to deeper backup role
  • Noise: Bears receivers — Mitchell Trubisky might not be great, but there will be far more than 120 passing yards to go around most weeks

Week 2
                

Falcons 24 – Eagles 20
                

  • Snap Notes: Devonta Freeman – 62% (+13%), Ito Smith – 38% (-13%), JJ Arcega-Whiteside – 93% (+86%), Mack Hollins – 85% (+71%), Miles Sanders – 43% (-6%), Darren Sproles – 35% (+5%), Jordan Howard – 22% (-1%)
  • Key Stat: Miles Sanders — 4 of team's 5 RB green zone touches through two games

Sunday Night Football was weird, as both Matt Ryan and Carson Wentz struggled, combining for five interceptions including a couple pretty ugly ones. The Falcons pulled it out, and there's just not much to talk about with them. Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley are the clear top two passing options, and both totaled 10 targets, put up over 100 yards and scored. 

Mohamed Sanu and Austin Hooper are full-time players who both also see plenty of targets, and the backfield is a split between Devonta Freeman and Ito Smith. This is essentially what Atlanta was all of last season, just with different running backs. 

Freeman did get back to a larger share of the backfield, with Smith still involved. They each had three high-value touches and for the season Freeman has six to Smith's five. Smith got the green zone carry, and we saw him be a vulture of Tevin Coleman at times last year, plus he scored three preseason touchdowns on just 17 rushes, so that's not all that surprising. They like him in close. 

Miles Sanders had five high-value touches, including rush attempts from the 8-yard line and 7-yard line on two separate drives. His snap share dipped a bit but he ran three more routes in Week 2, and caught three passes. Darren Sproles was more involved in the passing game this week, leading the backfield with 23 routes, but Sanders has run more routes through the two games combined. 

Sanders' output in Week 2 was disappointing and the Eagles are always going to rotate backs to some degree, but he started again, led the backfield in snaps and touches again, and got the high-leverage looks inside the green zone again. He should be viewed similarly to Kerryon Johnson right now but his production hasn't been there so there's still a buying window. 

The Eagles lost all of Dallas Goedert, Alshon Jeffery and DeSean Jackson early, which meant a huge uptick in snaps for JJ Arcega-Whiteside and Mack Hollins. Perhaps predictably, Zach Ertz saw 16 targets and frankly disappointed a bit with an 8-72 line, while Nelson Agholor saw 11 of his own and had a strong night with 8-107-1. 

If any of that trio misses next week, it will be difficult to handicap this receiving corps. Hollins saw eight targets and outproduced Arcega-Whiteside, but it's Arcega-Whiteside that would be the preferred play if he's again in line for big snaps as a plus prospect who would have made more noise this offseason if he hadn't been buried by a deep pass-catching corps. 

  • Signal: Miles Sanders — still a buy
  • Noise: Zach Ertz/Nelson Agholor — elevated target share (injuries to everyone else)

Week 2
                

Browns 23 – Jets 3
                

  • Snap Notes: Damion Ratley – 61% (+12%), Nick Chubb – 61% (-9%), D'Ernest Johnson – 39% (+26%), Le'Veon Bell – 90% (-10%), Ty Montgomery – 35% (+28%), Demaryius Thomas – 10% (+10%)
  • Key Stat: Le'Veon Bell — 10 targets, 10 receptions (19, 16 through two weeks)

The Browns won Monday night, but they didn't look great offensively save for a couple of Odell Beckham highlights. Beckham made a phenomenal one-handed catch early, then scored on an 89-yard catch-and-run late in the third to finish with a huge 10-6-161-1 day. 

Nick Chubb was the other offensive star, catching all four targets he saw while running routes on a healthy 55% of dropbacks for the second straight week. With Dontrell Hilliard out, D'Ernest Johnson worked behind Chubb and matched his four targets, but Chubb was out in five more routes. Along with a green zone carry on the first drive (he was stuffed; he scored from 19 yards out later), Chubb finished with five high-value touches. He's a guy I was concerned wouldn't get enough passing-game work, so the routes and the high-value touches he's been seeing have definitely elevated him in my eyes. Of course, Kareem Hunt's return will continue to loom over his late-season Fantasy value all year. 

Signs haven't been as positive for Jarvis Landry. Last season, his aDOT (11.9) was more than four yards higher than his career high (7.4) during his time with Miami, and it killed his efficiency. While deeper targets typically mean a lower catch rate, Landry's 54.4% in 2018 was a career low by 12 percentage points, and he also posted the second-lowest YPT of his career, and that's a stat that we would expect to rise with deeper targets. My hope for 2019 was the addition of Beckham would allow Landry to shift back to a role that resembled his time with the Dolphins, but thus far he's seen 14 targets at an aDOT of 11.4 and caught just seven for 99 yards. He's seeing solid volume, but in that role he's tough to start in Fantasy.

Damion Ratley got a little extra run with Rashard Higgins out, while Demetrius Harris picked up snaps after David Njoku suffered a concussion after just 10 snaps. Neither is a Fantasy option.

Without Sam Darnold, the Jets turned to Trevor Siemian, then turned to Luke Falk when Siemian was knocked from the game. They generated just 262 yards of total offense.

Le'Veon Bell looked healthy, and again played a huge snap share. I noted last week how heavily all five starters played for the Jets, and that trend continued this week, with the exception of Quincy Enunwa, who was sent to IR. Each of Bell, Robby Anderson, Jamison Crowder, and tight end Ryan Griffin played at least 90% of the snaps, and the fifth skill position slot was mostly Josh Bellamy with Ty Montgomery working in a decent amount in two running back sets and a pinch of Demaryius Thomas (seven snaps).

Bell was the star, catching all 10 of his targets and seeing a whopping 31 touches. Through two weeks, Bell is tied with Austin Ekeler for the most high-value touches among the league's backs, and the only issue you can find with his role is the Jets simply aren't very good so the scoring opportunities will be limited. But he's seeing plenty of pass-game work (a whopping 72 routes through two weeks, second behind McCaffrey among the league's RBs), and he looks good on the field after a year away from the game.

Robby Anderson and Jamison Crowder each saw six targets and four receptions. That's better for Anderson at his aDOT, and he was able to generate 81 yards, while Crowder is a little more volume-dependent (his four catches went for 40). The quarterback situation will hold them back for a couple of weeks. The Jets do get a Week 4 bye, and it's nice they'll get that out of the way while Darnold isn't fit to play. 

  • Signal: Nick Chubb — strong routes run, passing game involvement; Le'Veon Bell — elite routes run, passing game involvement; Jarvis Landry — aDOT elevated in 2018 range, efficiency lagging
  • Noise: Baker Mayfield — 325 pass yards, 9.3 YPA (numbers would have looked a lot more pedestrian without Beckham's YAC on the long touchdown, earlier great catch)


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