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Home / US / Fox News Poll: Biden leads the nomination race, outperforming Trump by 12 points in matchup

Fox News Poll: Biden leads the nomination race, outperforming Trump by 12 points in matchup



Democratic primary voters are increasingly feeling the need to nominate a candidate who can beat President Trump in 2020, and think Joe Biden can do that better than any of the other Democratic top-hopefuls. While most Democratic primary voters are content with their field, more than a quarter of them, according to a recent Fox News poll, wish they had other options.

Biden leads the nomination race with the support of 31 percent of Democratic primary voters. Elizabeth Warren succeeds with 21 percent, Bernie Sanders with 19 percent and Pete Buttigieg with 7 percent. In early October Biden was 32 percent, Warren 22, Sanders 17 and Buttigieg 4.

Kamala Harris and Andrew Yang received 3 percent apiece, followed by Cory Booker, Tulsi Gabbard and Amy Klobuchar with 2 percent each and Tom Steyer at 1 Percent.

Compared to March, the first Fox News poll on the race, Biden's support is unchanged, while Warren has gained 17 points, Buttigieg has dropped by 6 points and Sanders has dropped by 4 points.

CLICK HERE TO READ THE SURVEY RESULTS

Biden is aided by a large majority of Democratic primary voters (80 percent) that it is extremely important that their candidate beat Trump – and more (68 percent) believe he can do it That's what Warren (57 percent), Sanders (54 percent) or Buttigieg (30 percent) is all about.

Less than 42 percent consider it extremely important that their candidates share their views on important issues. However, more Democratic primary voters also say Biden shares their views (72 percent) as Sanders (68 percent), Warren (62 percent) or Buttigieg (43 percent).

Since May, the number of Democrats' primary voters who say it's extremely important that their candidate can defeat Trump rose by 7 points (from 73 to 80 percent), and the part that says it's extremely important is that their candidate shares their opinion, has dropped by 9 points (51 vs. 42 percent). [19659004] The poll, released on Sunday, found that more than one out of every four Democratic primary voters wished for other options (28 percent), even though they could vote out of ten candidates. That's 26 percent of Biden advocates and 27 percent of Warren advocates.

78 percent of GOP primary voters want to retain Trump as a candidate, while 69 percent of Democratic primary voters are satisfied with their field of expertise.

If Hillary Clinton took part in the race, she would probably be at the top of the list, "says Democratic pollster Chris Anderson, who conducts the Fox News poll with Republican Daron Shaw. "And Michelle Obama could probably clear the field."

Twenty-seven percent of Democratic primary voters would definitely vote for Clinton, including a third of those who support Biden and a quarter Warren support.

The numbers are rosier for former First Lady Michelle Obama: 50 percent would definitely vote for her, including nearly 5 in 10 of Biden's supporters and 4 in 10 of Warren's supporters.

Only 6 percent would definitely support former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg. [19659004] Thirty-two percent would never vote for Bloomberg, 30 percent for Clinton and 8 percent for Obama.

While health concerns regarding Sanders are not an issue for more than half of Democratic primary voters (53 percent), 28 percent say they are less likely to support the Vermont Senate (14 percent more likely). Sanders suffered a heart attack on October 3.

On the other hand, almost twice as many claim that they are more likely (21 percent) than less likely (11 cents) to support Biden, given Trump's allegations about the former vice president and his son's business in Ukraine and in China. About two-thirds say the allegations make no difference (65 percent).

One year after the 2020 election, Trump ties or persecutes the Democrat in each of the possible head-to-head bouts tested.

Biden performs best against Trump (51-39 percent). He leads with 12 points, collects over 50 percent and keeps Trump below 40 percent. In early October, Biden led with 10 (50-40 percent).

More Democrats (91 percent) than Republicans (86 percent) support Trump, and 88 percent of 2016 Trump voters would stay with him, while 91 percent of Clinton voters would support Biden.

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Sanders has a lead of 8 points (49-41 percent). Warren's 5-point lead over the president (46-41 percent) is within the margin for sampling and Buttigieg and Trump (41-41 percent). In a rematch in 2016, Clinton has a 2-point lead (43-41 percent).

Between 10-17 percent of voters are undecided or support third-party candidates.

"Trump's support in these early ballot tests is consistently around 40 percent," says Shaw. "He must step up his support among a few wavering Republicans and pull off some independents and Democrats from the other side if he wants to win another term." The economy (52 percent) will be of the utmost importance for its election as president in November 2020. This is more than just weapons (44 percent), immigration (43 percent), terrorism (42 percent), taxes (41 percent). Abortion (36 percent), foreign policy (36 percent), Supreme Court nominations (36 percent) and climate change (34 percent).

The main themes among Democrats are health care (62 percent extremely important), climate change and weapons (both 48 percent) and the economy (46 percent). For Republicans, it is the economy (60 percent), terrorism (55 percent) and immigration (54 percent).

"Trump's lowest approval rate relates to healthcare, so Democrats have a big opening there," says Anderson. "But the size of this opening will depend to a large extent on the position of the final candidate for the extension of Medicare."

With a lead of 69 to 21 percent, voters advocate that everyone has the option to participate in Medicare percent more than to abolish private health insurance and switch to a public health system for all. Of the Democratic primary voters, 80 percent advocate that everyone can participate in Medicare and 65 percent support a state system.

Pollpourri

Although the general election is 12 months away, interest is already remarkably high with 60 percent extremely interested. This is the record high of November 2008, almost double the 32 percent who were interested in November 2015 one year ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

63 percent of Democrats and 61 percent of Republicans are extremely interested.

This Fox News survey, conducted by Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company (R) from October 27 to 30, 2019, contains interviews with 1,040 randomly-selected registered voters across the country using live landline and landline interviewers Fixed phones have spoken cell phones. The poll has a sampling error of plus or minus 3 percentage points for all registered voters and 4.5 points for Democratic primary voters (471).


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