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Home / World / Harry Kazianis: A Trump summit with the South Korean president could bring advances in denuclearization to the north

Harry Kazianis: A Trump summit with the South Korean president could bring advances in denuclearization to the north



President Trump and South Korean President Moon Jae-in will meet at the White House on Thursday to discuss efforts to persuade North Korean leader Kim Jong Un to get rid of his nuclear weapons and long-range missiles and to build lasting peace with the GDR South and the United States.

Achieving this will not be easy, but it is not impossible. Dealing with North Korea has been a foreign policy and military nightmare since Korea was divided into two nations in 1948: the communist north was aligned with Russia and China, the south with the US

. In fact, we are still at war with the North. The Korean War, which began in 1950, ended in 1

953 with a truce and not a peace treaty. Offering Kim a peace deal as part of a denuclearization deal could be one of several incentives to make him give up his nation's status as a nuclear power.

TRUMPF MEETS WITH SOUTH KOREAS MOON IN APRIL, WHITE HOUSE SAYS

In the dark days of 2017, tensions between Washington and Pyongyang increased significantly as Trump and Kim triggered threats against military strikes. Since then, however, the two Heads of State and Government have met at two summits to overcome the disagreements.

Since there are no diplomatic relations, things get more difficult. Simple messages take days to travel between key decision-makers in the US and North Korea. The establishment of diplomatic relations would be a great asset to Kim – and could be another incentive for him to make big concessions in denuclearization.

The good news is that if President Trump is willing to leapfrog, there is a clear path forward that could guarantee lasting peace on the Korean Peninsula and a genuine end to the Korean War to ensure nuclear weapons Threats of the past remain in the history books.

The good news is that if President Trump is ready for a small leap of faith, there is a clear path forward that could guarantee a lasting peace on the Korean peninsula and a genuine peace in the end of the Korean War to ensure that the nuclear Threats of the past are anchored in the history books.

Here South Korean President Moon can make a difference.

The Moon Miracle or what many refer to as Seoul's Strategy In order to facilitate relaxation between the US and North Korea, this was a transformation.

Moon played a key role in the historically successful Winter Games in South Korea last year, three inter-Korean summits and a comprehensive inter-Korean de-escalation of military settlement along the demilitarized zone and normalization of dialogue between the two Koreas.

These achievements have greatly contributed to the dialogue between Washington and Pyongyang progressing. Moon has clearly jeopardized his own heritage in construction while weakening his own position at home. It is judged either as a great success or as a serious failure, depending on how the North responds to its overtures.

Now we will find out if the miracle of the moon can really be sustained. On Thursday, he will try to find out where President Trump is on several key issues that could shape the future of relations with North Korea. Moon first tries to find out if Trump is really committed to a concrete diplomatic negotiation with North Korea, or is only willing to deal with the Kim regime if it gives up its nuclear weapons before it gets relief from economic sanctions.

Next, Moon has to figure out who's the key decision maker in Trump's team when it comes to dealing with North Korea. It is clear that there is no consensus among the Trump consultants.

It is important for Moon to know if national security adviser John Bolton – a hardliner in dealing with the North – is just trying to convey a sense of strength, or whether He really is the man who trumps Trump's negotiating strategy. Government pushes.

Bolton, sitting in the driver's seat, will most likely demand what North Korea's utter nuclear capitulation means for any kind of concessions. A claim like this will most likely result in Kim ending all sorts of talks for the foreseeable future.

If Bolton does not regulate government policy, Moon needs to know if Washington will not sanction any full denuclearization that could take a decade or more – or if there is a middle ground that could be found.

If there is a middle ground, the moon can really make a difference here. Moon should propose a compromise deal to grant the north limited sanctions.

Under such an agreement, North Korea would have to close all facilities of its nuclear complex in Yongbyon under international supervision, including a delegation of US nuclear experts. In return, Pyongyang would be granted a temporary suspension of selected sanctions.

Some UN Security Council resolutions could be suspended and the two Koreas could cooperate on one or two joint economic projects under such an agreement. The easing of sanctions for certain inter-Korean economic projects could include linking railways and roads across the north-south border.

This limited sanction relief would cost the US very little and would make Moon a stand-alone interkorean reconciliation initiative. And it could accelerate the prospect of a peace agreement on the Korean peninsula.

This pun – calling the action a "temporary suspension of selected sanctions" – is enormous and could be the key to compromise.

President Trump could say that he does not drop sanctions, at least not formally. The Trump government could also play the role of a reasonable adult in space, offering the North Koreans sufficient flexibility to prove that their intentions for peace and denuclearization are more than just talks.

This would allow Washington to grant Pyongyang a key concession in throwing the ball on North Korea's side of the court to demonstrate its sincerity.

However, there is a catch to this agreement. The US would have to insist on a provision for sanctions. If the Kim regime cheats, America and South Korea can quickly apply sanctions in this way.

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. This is an agreement that President Trump should accept. Now that the imminent danger of examining Special Counsel Robert Mueller is over, Trump would certainly change media narratives and focus the American people's gaze on something much more positive, especially with the 2020 election just around the corner.

That's the case No major achievement that would allow Trump to claim a real legacy, rather than helping to bring real peace to the Korean peninsula, along with denuclearization. It is hoped that the US and South Korean presidents will have a real chance to make history, and perhaps even a Nobel Peace Prize.

CLICK HERE TO READ MORE BY HARRY J. KAZIANIS


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