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Hong Kong protests: The date on which Beijing stands on the sidelines



On this day, Beijing hopes to project a picture of national strength and unity through the city, a military parade that marks 70 years since the founding of the People's Republic of China.

But what action could the party take? The attitude is unclear and is discussed violently. Some even say that the greater threat will occur after the anniversary, when demonstrators disturb or distract from the celebration of the day and embarrass the country's communist leaders for action by Beijing to end the protests. In the news leaked to Reuters, Carrie Lam, managing director of Hong Kong, can be confirmed that "she and we do not expect that we can resolve this issue before October 1

".

But the whisper continued No clear consensus on what October 1 could mean for Hong Kong.

Some predict that military action before October is inevitable as Beijing tries to save face. Others say that the only thing that keeps Beijing back is the desire to present a quiet, united front in two weeks' time.

"The Chinese Communist Party will not allow any signs of regression at the 70th anniversary … they will do their utmost to ensure that the situation remains under their control," said 30-year-old demonstrator David Wong.

  A float takes part in a parade marking the 60th anniversary of People & #'s formation. Republic of China on October 1, 2009 in Beijing.

Xi's Moment to Shine

Every country has important anniversaries or festivals, but the Chinese Communist Party politicizes such data and uses it as an opportunity to justify the party's ongoing government mandate. [19659011] For example, 2021 will be the 100th anniversary of the Communist Party. It is also the self-imposed period in which President Xi can present some of his key achievements, such as the eradication of poverty and the raising of living standards to a new level.

The 70th anniversary of October 1 is similarly used by the government to highlight how China has been economically and militarily well advanced since the 1949 party took power.

  A military crackdown in Hong Kong would bring China's economy to its knees.

In the past 20 years alone, China's wealth has quadrupled per adult, while its GDP has only increased $ 150 billion in 1978 has risen to over $ 12 trillion in 2018. 30 million people still live in poverty in China, compared with 770 million 40 years ago.

On the day itself, Xi is to address the nation and oversee a military parade through the streets of Beijing, followed by fireworks and culture, performanc it throughout the country.

The festivities in Hong Kong are likely to be subdued by comparison. In Lam's note, leaked to Reuters, she said that we are aiming for a modest but solemn kind of celebration in light of the recent "disruptions" on October 1.

The celebrations are also taking place at an important moment for President Xi, involved in a trade war with the United States, which is echoing through the global economy.

Beijing has made great efforts to ensure that the 70th celebrations go smoothly.

Security has been tightened Throughout the capital of Beijing and the state media, positive news is spreading about the government's achievements. On television, popular dramas were even banned in favor of patriotic films.

In this atmosphere, the protests against the government in one of its best-known cities will make the portrayal of a united and powerful country frustrating. happy under the leadership of the Communist Party.

  Chinese tanks rumble in Tiananmen Square during a grand parade to celebrate the 60th anniversary of the founding of the People's Republic of China in Beijing on October 1, 2009.

What can you do?

But in just three weeks, it's not clear what the Chinese government can do to prevent demonstrators from disrupting Hong Kong's October 1 celebrations.

Despite the promise of the Hong Kong government to withdraw the controversial extradition law for China, which put people on the streets in June, the protests showed no signs of easing the extradition bill as an attempt to alleviate tensions before the important date , Many doubt that it will work.

The demonstrators still have four important demands that must be met before the riots end, including a larger democracy in the Asian financial center.

In recent weeks, police have taken a harsh approach against them by violent demonstrators who arrest protesters in large numbers and even disband small gatherings.

However, as more protests are planned this weekend, none of the two approaches seems to have been successful so far.

With no further concessions to be expected in the short term, the government could try to impose greater restrictions on the demonstrators in an attempt to pacify the city before 1 October.

There have already been attempts to close public transport companies in the vicinity of planned protests, although this has not proved successful in finding alternative means of transport to circumvent the restrictions.

The possible use of Chinese troops on Hong Kong roads is regularly hinted at by Beijing. Officials have suggested that the protests have "terrorist" causes, and in the past two months, the Chinese paramilitary police in Shenzhen City have been doing large-scale exercises across the border.

However, military intervention seems to be ruled out for the time being for the leaked absorption of lam.

No wonder, because it would be catastrophic not only for Hong Kong, but for China in the wider sense. Investors would take to the streets at the first sign of military boots, which Beijing can not risk if the domestic economy slows down.

As their options dwindle, Beijing might be forced to grin and carry a spoiler from Hong Kong to its national day, but with the pride of the Communist Party at stake, anyone could exaggerate protest from October 1 with an escalation of the Government will be answered. After all, even minor attacks on the symbols of the Chinese government have sufficed to provoke anger in Beijing and in the state media.

When protesters removed a Chinese national flag in the Tsim Sha Tsui shopping district and threw it into Victoria Harbor, the state media responded with rage. The state-run tabloid Global Times called for "serving justice."

Beijing will not soon be forgotten if Hong Kong embarrasses them at the moment of the Communist Party's victory.


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