According to an old adage (it's old because I came up with it and I'm getting old): "If your negotiating strategy with North Korea is based on knowing what the North Koreans think, you will fail. "The regime remains as inscrutable and opaque as ever."
However, the Trump administration must ask itself what it thinks of Pyongyang's latest series of provocative actions, including another missile test, believe it or not, the However, the best answer might be, why is it important?
Superficially, these processes appear to be well-calibrated enough to provoke Washington's attention, but they do not threaten to provoke a strong US reaction. [1
The Democratic People's Republic of Korea may still hold to the belief that Trump needs a deal to re-elect, and perhaps he hopes these actions will help him do so
Certainly, the North Korean authorities believe that their demonstrations put pressure on the South Koreans a The popularity of President Moon is declining. Maybe they think he's going to do more to pressure the US, some of the pressure.
Of course all this should only be taken as speculation. Nobody lives rent-free in the head of the North Korean government. Kim has his own ideas on how to deal with the West.
That's why Trump's print campaign and reliance on deterrence and missile defense made sense from the start. The US strategy protects us and our allies. We do not depend on Kim to protect our vital interests.
Therefore, the most important step taken in response to Kim's final steps is to maintain pressure. That seems to be the government's job.
It is also understandable that Trump insists on opening the way to negotiations on denuclearization. That's worth a deal. The US is losing little by keeping the option of diplomacy open.
In addition, despite all doubters and the apoplectic press in Korea and the US, the fact remains that the Allies are standing together. Washington, Seoul and Tokyo agree on the ultimate goal.
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. Washington has an ongoing initiative; They just do not tell us what it is. Meanwhile, the Japanese Prime Minister, with US support, has also agreed to meet Kim.
The smart game of the USA is not a panic. Keep the print campaign upright. This is not only a strong signal to North Korea, but also a message to Iran: The US will not give anything for nothing, least of all if the other side fits.
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