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Home / World / Kim Jong Us Schedule 2019 expected for North Korea

Kim Jong Us Schedule 2019 expected for North Korea



Analysts believe there will be important indications during its annual New Year's speech – essentially the North Korean version of the Union state in the United States.

Experts will look to a second summit with the US President Donald Trump or something about the nuclear weapons program of Pyongyang. Kim could also disclose important decisions regarding economic policies and relations between the Korean countries.

Few expect Kim to rock the boat dramatically in the speech on Tuesday. Many believe that the young leader has some of the best maps of any geopolitical player involved in the future of the Korean Peninsula. Most do not expect Kim to risk his reputation in a speech that is largely intended for a domestic audience.

"He has the United States and South Korea where they want them now," said Evans Revere, a former US Secretary of State for East Asia and Pacific and currently senior director of the Albright Stonebridge Group.

The diplomatic achievements of North Korea in 201

8 would have been unthinkable the year before. Before Kim's New Year's speech in 2018, Pyongyang had tested its hitherto most advanced long-range missile and its most powerful atomic bomb after months of similar weapon testing and saber-rattling between North Korea and the US.

Few would have predicted that Kim would meet Moon three times the following year, leave his country for the first time since taking power in 2011, and become the first North Korean leader to sit with a US president.

This dramatic turn began with the New Year's speech. Kim spoke warmly of the importance of Korean relations and wished his South Korean compatriots success in hosting the Pyeongchang Winter Olympics. Moon would continue to use Kim's olive branch to improve cross-border relations.

"It was an important, critical and central document to understand North Korea's plan and North Korean intentions," Revere said.

"I've never seen a more transparent plan than it was planned in this speech." [194559005]

Nuclear Weapons

Kim has been making important political speeches over the past two years with speeches breaking news Decisions revealed and rhetorical allusions to what the rest of the world should expect from his country in the coming year.

In 2017, he used the speech to say that his country was about to test an ICBM – the kind required to bring a nuclear weapon to the continental US. Pyongyang tested two intercontinental ballistic missiles this year.
The young leader opened in 2018 when he offered to send a delegation to the Olympic Winter Games in Pyeongchang, but also to demand the mass production of nuclear weapons and ballistic missiles and to warn Washington before the atom was launched. The group was "always up the desk in my office. "
Recent reports by open source intelligence analysts seem to confirm that North Korea has not stopped working on its weapons program, even though Kim has kept his promise not to test missiles or nuclear bombs.
While continuing to work on these weapons may violate the spirit of Trump and Kim's summit in Singapore, the North has not committed to cease all work on its nuclear program in 2018, and to bring peace to the Korean Peninsula. With regard to nuclear weapons, North Korea pledged to "work towards complete denuclearization of the Korean peninsula," a vague term that Washington and Pyongyang interpret differently.

Critics accuse the Trump administration of not making Pongongang agree something specific. North Korea has not agreed a timetable to abandon its nuclear weapons and ballistic missiles, nor has it pledged to declare its weapons and key weapons facilities. Steps that are crucial for disarmament talks, experts say.

Experts will note in the next year's speech any mention of the nuclear program, especially when addressing the defiant tone of this year's speech – when Kim stated that "no violence and nothing" reversed the gains his country had made could make in the development of nuclear weapons.

"He said so in January, but he is involved in this diplomatic process with the US," said Duyeon Kim, an assistant at the Center for New American Security.

It is interesting to see Pyongyang negotiating in the future because Kim Jong Un has claimed this year that no one could defer his nuclear capabilities.

Economics

Indications of what Pyongyang sees as the most important passages of the speech often come in the form of rhetorical means, such as when Kim, according to John Delury, switches to an ego voice professor Yonsei University's Graduate School of International Affairs in Seoul.

Delury said he will pay close attention to comments on the country's economic development, which is likely to be scrutinized in North Korea and prove to be the most important part of the speech In the speech of 2018, Kim acknowledged that the moribund economy needed a recovery, and pledged to improve it, but North Korea does not provide its economic statistics internationally, making it difficult to provide economic performance.

to follow closely and to determine what proportion of its population is working in more modern areas.
Wen wen A few days before his first summit with Moon in April, Kim said that North Korea had successfully completed its nuclear weapons program and was suspended for nuclear and missile tests. It would now focus solely on efforts to "dramatically increase people's lives" by developing a "strong socialist economy".

The twin-track strategy of nuclear and economic development known as "Byungjin" has been in effect since Kim took over reins from his father shortly after taking office in 2011. Abandonment represented a significant political change.

The regime still needs to formulate a coherent vision or plan for development.

"There is some pressure in this year's New Year's address to formulate a vision of a real focus on economic development," said Delury.

"How does Kim Jong Un reflect this strategic transition to economic development?"

In recent months, the North Korean state media has focused heavily on economic issues, often emphasizing the importance of people in the country working hard to increase production.

However, this is hardly a plan. Investors see North Korea as a country rich in opportunities, and they are looking for a strategy to enable infrastructure investments between South Korea and Russia to be made by rail, or to open North Korea's relatively well-educated, cheap labor to US manufacturers region.

However, this is currently prohibited because of sanctions against Pyongyang for punishing its nuclear weapons program.

And Delury says it's unlikely that Kim will come out and only a detailed strategic shift. As with North Korea, the devil will be in the detail.

"I would not expect a revolutionary statement of a new economic concept, but you have to look for progressive ideas of North Korean standards in your language," said Delury.


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