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Musk's spotty prophetic record mixes Tesla's insurance on cash



Tesla Inc. investors, who are having more trouble than usual lately, calibrating Elon Musk's high goals and predictions, have reason to be wary of his electric vehicle manufacturer's latest claim.

The worst month for Tesla shares in more than seven years, the company reported a rate of Model 3 sedan production, which in turn missed its forecast, while the next target for its debut mass-market car stood. The stock rose after the company had assured the market that a capital increase or debt increase will not be required this year.

Musk made a similar statement a little over a year ago when Tesla asked questions the money it had been burned as the company rose for the Model 3.

"According to our financial plan, no capital needs to be raised for the Model 3," he said in February 2017 [19659007] earnings call. "But we're getting very close to the edge, which is probably not the best for risk-adjusted shareholders, so we're considering a number of options."

Three weeks later, Tesla announced it would sell at least [1.659.000] 1.15 billion dollars to raise comments. And about five months later, the company raised $ 1.8 billion through a supply of unsecured bonds .

Musk, 46, has accepted the fact that he is often more averse to Stretch Goals, rather than setting a low bar for himself or his company. In November, he warned an analyst in November (19659010) to set his watch on his "rough target" to start the Tesla vehicle production in China in about three years.

Here are some notable instances in which Musk has proven to be over optimistic:

Cruising coast-to-coast on autopilot

Musk said in October 2016 that the company was planning to launch a Los Angeles to make New York trip "without the need for a single touch" of the steering wheel until the end of last year to demonstrate the capabilities of autopilot. Tesla has promised that the driver assistance system will eventually be able to gain full autonomy.

That did not work. In February, Musk said that Tesla would try the journey in another [three-six-six months] .

"We could have made the coast-to-coast journey, but it would have required too much specialized code to play it effectively," Musk said on a profit call

failure to start (on time)

Starts may be more the domain of Space Exploration Technologies Corp, Musk's rocket company, though Tesla had its fair share of them as well.

Each of the new vehicles that Tesla has rolled out over the years has lagged behind schedule. His first car, the Roadster, arrived about nine months later in in March 2008. The Model S was introduced about six months after Musk's target in June 2012, and the Model X was delayed by about two years the market in September 2015.

Read More: The Future According to Elon Musk

The Model 3 also landed later than suggested by Musk's famous "master plan" on Tesla's blog in August 2006. He said back then that an affordable model costing about half the price of the $ 89,000 Roadster would be Tesla's second model.

The CEO handed over the first keys to customers for the Model 3 – which initially starts at $ 35,000 higher prices – in July

Off-Putting Output

What in last Time was problematic, how far musk has predicted, how many Model 3s will produce his company. He told analysts in in May 2016 that Tesla intends to produce 100,000 to 200,000 of the sedans in the second half of 2017.

As the start approached, his predictions were measured much more. In May 2017, the company forecasted 5,000 a week by the end of the year . It is since then, within the next three months, pushed this goal post back to sometime.


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