Oracle Corp. Wall Street surprised on Monday with strong returns, but only with the help of strong share buybacks.
Adjusted fiscal earnings of 80 cents per share in the second quarter were at the upper end of its forecast and slightly higher than Wall Street's consensus estimate of 78 cents per share. according to FactSet. Its shares rebounded in the after-market business, up 5%, although the cloud services business, which is now reported along with license support, only met expectations.
This figure per share must be reduced with approximately $ 1
Two analysts estimated Oracle's share buybacks to have risen from 3 cents to 4 cents during the quarter. and that only looks back three months. Over the past 12 months, Oracle has repurchased 602 million shares, or about 12% of its total outstanding shares, said Oracle co-chief executive officer Safra Catz.
"Given the way that repurchases reduce the number of equities from quarter to quarter, EPS benefited $ 0.09 in the second quarter compared to Oracle's share repurchases in the last 12 months," said Steve Koenig, an analyst with Wedbush Securities, in an email. "Net income increased 2% year-over-year, but EPS increased 14% as a result of share buybacks. In other words, earnings per share would have been $ 0.71 higher than in the same quarter last year, excluding the last 12 months when shares were bought back.
The use of share buybacks to increase corporate profits has been a popular tactic for many companies, who use it when revenue and earnings growth slows. A 2016 Journal of Financial Economics study suggested that "managers are prepared to balance investments and jobs with stock repurchases to meet analysts' EPS forecasts."
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Some investors lost confidence in Oracle over the past year as the vaunted cloud business began to ease. At the beginning of this year, the software giant did not break the separate revenue for its cloud business on its own. In September, the company's leading cloud manager, Thomas Kurian, took a long time off, and two weeks later, Oracle said he would leave. In mid-November, Kurian appeared as head of Google
Senior Oracle chief executive Larry Ellison tried to crack down on pessimism on Monday, predicting that the company would witness a rapid migration of Oracle's local database business to the Oracle cloud, but analysts apparently did not believe it. John DiFucci, an analyst at Jefferies & Co, noted that it will take some time for Oracle customers to get there, while Ellison replied that the migration can be done very quickly.
Rather than honestly addressing the areas where Oracle is underperforming, Oracle appears to be reacting to financial harassment and its typical bombast. Oracle is unlikely to be alone in bolstering its declining equities and slowly growing returns through share buybacks, but investors need to restrain from these moves and make the numbers seem more rosy than they actually are.
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