You can not remember the deceased MP Charlie Rose, DN.C
They would certainly remember them if they became spokespersons for the House Speaker It did not happen. But it looked like a sensible bet at the time.
What moved the ways of Rose and Reynolds to the speaker's suite?
Too many non-linear, unconnected events.
Similar to a butterfly fluttering in Asia with its wings producing a F5 tornado in the Oklahoma panhandle.
A pinprick of a phenomenon that later culminated in an unforeseen outcome
Politics is full of those who should "be". There was a time in the early 1
There was a time in the mid-2000s when many Congress handicappers put good money on Tom Reynolds to become House Speaker. House Majority Leader Tom DeLay, R-Texas, faced ethical and criminal issues. A scandal over a member who sent inappropriate text messages to house sides then helped Torpedo – House Speaker Dennis Hastert, R-Ill. – Years before we learned Hastert's other luggage
And then the Republicans lost the house in mid-2006.
That was the end of Speaker Reynolds.
By Tuesday evening, at least one creek of time was presented the following:
It will be about 1:30 pm ET on January 3, 2018. The House of Representatives just knocked Rep. Joe Crowley, DN.Y., as Speaker, to begin the 116 th congress.
A "blue wave" of anti-Trump sentiment cascaded over voting booths in battlefield districts in Virginia, Pennsylvania, Florida, California, Texas, Colorado and Washington. In this particular continuum, the Democrats have won the parliament, also thanks to the success of the moderate candidates in their party. As a result, the minority leader of the House of Representatives, Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., Did not have the votes to return to the Speakerhood. House Minority Whip Steny Hoyer, D-Md., Was not in the mix either.
A few waves in time away, there is another scenario. It is the 3rd of January rd and Crowley begins the new Congress as a Majority Leader or Majority Leader. Or maybe Minority Leader or Minority Whip. It all depends on a set of probabilities that indicate the midterm elections and the future of Pelosi and Hoyer.
But these stories will not happen now. This is because Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez met Joe Crowley in the New York Democratic primary on Tuesday night.
Great things could have been ready for Crowley. But in the end, butterflies in the Bronx and Queens had other ideas.
A turning point for Crowley could have come just after the 2016 midterm elections. The Democrats of the House of Representatives were furious with Pelosi and the repulsive demonstration of the Democrats in the house competitions. The Democrats did not want to anoint Pelosi again as leader.
Many Democrats believed that Crowley had enough influence in various wings of the Democratic Caucus to challenge Pelosi. Hoyer would not run after Pelosi when she ran. Crowley also decided to sit on the sidelines. In the end, MP Tim Ryan, D-Ohio, ran and grabbed 63 votes from Pelosi to return as a minority leader. Certainly Pelosi would have been hard to beat. But that was perhaps Crowley's best attempt to climb the leader line.
A possible Crowley victory would have driven him to a high rank. He would be the most elected Democratic official in the country, along with the minority leader of Senate Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y. One wonders how much vortex the butterfly wings could have produced under these circumstances.
None of this is new. Consider that the former majority leader in the House of Representatives, Eric Cantor, R-Va, succeeds former Speaker John Boehner, R-Ohio. That was the case until Representative Dave Brat, R-Va, happened to Cantor.
Brats victory was a turning point for House Republicans. Boehner had tried to withdraw from Congress. Brat's defeat to Cantor overturned these plans. And then, when Boehner finally decided to redeem them, Major Major Leader Kevin McCarthy, R-Calif, mysteriously retired, probably just below the vote.
Minutes after McCarthy, House Speaker Paul Ryan, R-Wis. , said he would not run for Speaker …
Until Ryan reversed the course two weeks later, GOPers pushed him into the job. They knew that the party was on the verge of a bloodbath about who would fill the gap.
Most have forgotten that Republican Deputy Dan Webster, R-Fla., And former Rep. Jason Chaffetz led quixotic campaigns, R-Utah. It is unclear whether a Webster or Chaffetz Speakership exists in time. But these membranes are slim compared to the more robust opportunities of someone like Crowley.
There is a lot of democratic unrest about Pelosi and possibly Hoyer right now. So many thought the timing was perfect for Crowley. Hoyer could never be ruled out as a potential successor to Pelosi. But over the years there was a long list of people who did not call themselves Hoyer, and Pelosi seemed to be feeding on them as potential successors. But the political landscape is littered with many Democrats who supposedly "should be".
Former Member of Parliament Rahm Emanuel, D-Ill., Is now mayor of Chicago. Former Deputy Chris Van Hollen, D-Md., Is now Senator Chris Van Hollen, D-Md. Former Rep. Steve Israel, D-N.Y., retired and is now writing novels. Former Deputy Xavier Becerra, D-Calif., Is now California Justice Secretary.
So Crowley is out of the mix. Nothing detests a vacuum like politics. Imagine potential growth for another group of legislators who are now taking the opportunity: the aforementioned Tim Ryan along with representatives Linda Sanchez, D-Calif., Cheri Bustos, D-Ill., Cedric Richmond, D-La. Marcia Fudge, D-Ohio, Barbara Lee, D-Calif., Seth Moulton, D-Mass., Pete Aguilar, D-Calif., Hakeem Jeffries, DN.Y., Ruben Gallego, D-Ariz., Katherine Clark, D-Mass., Derek Kilmer, D-Wash., Dan Kildee, D-Mich., … and probably a few others.
Who knows who arrives where, if at all? These democrats have not even entered the phase of "supposed existence."
Therefore, it is almost impossible to determine who climbs in the leadership battles of Congress. It is "particle politics" in which the results are determined at the subatomic political level.
Legendary sci-fi author Harlan Ellison died just this week. Ellison is known for writing what is considered the best Star Trek episode of all time: "The City on the Edge of Eternity."
Captain Kirk travels through a time portal and finds himself back in Manhattan in the 1930s. Kirk falls in love with a depression-time social worker played by Joan Collins. Kirk has the choice: continue the romance or let his love die in a car accident. He chooses the latter. If she had lived, Collin's character would later become a global pacifist movement. Collins' survival would inadvertently help the Nazis win World War II. But after Kirk lets them die, time goes back to normal and the Allies defeat the Nazis in the war.
In other words, sometimes there are reasons why things are going on.
Tax reform without Paul Ryan at the helm? Perhaps there is a reason why Congress has not revised the tax code for 30 years. Maybe Pelosi should return to the spokesman to get involved with Trump? Or is the fate of Steny Hoyer? And maybe Kevin McCarthy should still be Speaker . He just was not should be House Speaker in 2015
Charlie Rose and Tom Reynolds and Eric Cantor and Joe Crowley all have something in common: They should be it
Until they were not
Capitol Attitude is a weekly column written by members of the Fox News Capitol Hill team. Their articles will take you to the convention halls, covering the range of political issues that will be introduced, debated, and voted on.