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Home / Sports / Raiders Vs. Broncos pick as you watch: previews, forecasts, stats for & # 39; Monday Night Football & # 39;

Raiders Vs. Broncos pick as you watch: previews, forecasts, stats for & # 39; Monday Night Football & # 39;



The last Monday night football game of the NFL season 2018 could be interesting.

This may be the last game the Raiders play in the Oakland Coliseum, for example. If this is the case, it is appropriate that their time in the bay ends with a game against an old rival, the Denver Broncos. Neither team has anything special to offer this season, and the only effect that this game will have on the entire season is the design draft at the end of the year, but that does not mean that things are not at stake.

For example, since the 1970s, the Broncos have finished only once in successive seasons under .500, and they must win each of their last two games to avoid this fate this year. The Raiders still claim they will not refuel, but a loss to the Broncos would put them back in the driver's seat for the # 1

Draft in 2019, and that's not a bad thing a week before the year.

Which of these teams can win on Monday (20:20, ESPN)? Let's break things down.

When the Raiders Have the Ball

Very quietly, Derek Carr has been slightly better since the Raiders said goodbye in the seventh week when he was in the season before. Interestingly enough, however, just about the entire difference in Carr's Passant rating (about 13 points) can be explained by the lack of sales. Both his degree of completion and his yards per attempt have actually declined since the Bye, though his touchdown rate has also increased a bit.

Comp 167 171
Att 233 262
Comp% 71.7% 65.3%
65.3%
65.3%
Yds
. 1,914
YPA 7.7 7.3
TD 7 12
TD 3.0% 4.6%
868%] 0
INT% 3.4% 0.0%
QB Rating 89.4 102.2
WL 1- 5 2-6

Carr He also had the advantage that he has worked against several under-pass defenses since the bye, with the Raiders playing the 49ers, Chiefs, Bengals and Steelers in the past eight weeks. And Carr was not nearly as good at the harsher defense of the Chargers, Cardinals and Ravens. And the Broncos are not a minor pass defense even without Chris Harris.

Denver is third in the NFL in the pass defense DVOA. The relatively small weaknesses of the Broncos opposite the pass are on low passes, where they rank 23rd in DVOA. But Carr almost never throws low as only 9.7 percent of his passes have covered 15 or more meters in the air per Pro Football Focus, who ranks 32 out of 34 qualifying quarterbacks.

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Even if he likes to throw low, he probably would not be able to do this against the Broncos because they have one of the NFL's best pass trails and the Raiders have one of the least offensive ones lines. They try to get the ball out as quickly as possible to counteract it. Therefore, Carr's pressure is not high, but he was dismissed at 28 percent of the drop-backs, where the opponent put him under pressure per PFF is the fourth highest quota in the league. With Miller and Bradley Chubb, both of them under the NFL's top 20 in overall pressure, are unlikely to have plenty of time to target deep receivers anyway.

Instead, we'll probably see a lot of what we've seen all year: check-downs on Jalen Richard, screen passes that are supposed to get the ball out before the onslaught even has a chance to get started, and quick blow throws Jared Cook across the middle. The Raiders would probably prefer to run the ball as many times as they can, but that's a tough sled ride against the Broncos, who have the league's 11th defense unit. There are no easy profits available. They need to take care of the ball (which Carr has done better lately) and hope they can break some attacks in the open field, perhaps with the speed and aggression of Denver against them.

Listen to Will Brinson, John Breech, Ryan Wilson and Sean Wagner-McGough break off everything that happened in the sixth week of the Pick Six podcast:

When the Broncos have the ball

The engine of the attack in Denver is the rookie running back to Phillip Lindsay. As an uncocked free agent from Colorado, the 5-8, 190-pound Lindsay beat both the third round as Royce Freeman and Devontae Booker from the second year for the lead role and the best all-rounder of Denver offensive player.

Although Lindsay does not necessarily play the role (his best comparable athlete, who actually had an impact on the NFL level, he's probably the former Texan who left Steve Slaton behind), his fantastic visions make him and instincts for Denver and his attacks of course the modern NFL. He has done so much with his part of the backfield work that he recently became the first ever free-roasted free agent rookie to ever be named Pro Bowl. In the NFL he is currently ranked eighth, but he is second in the ranking of yards by Carry and seventh in the Football Outsiders DVOA, in direct comparison with Alvin Kamara.

Lindsay was 47 percent on the field The Broncos are snapping this season, although that number has been trending up the whole season. He is the team's most consistent player and has proven to be a better runner than Freeman or Booker both in the middle and at the edge of the lineup. That's why it makes sense. It proved difficult for the Raiders to quit earlier this season and won 107 yards on 14 charges during the Broncos Week 2 victory. The Oakland Run defense has not improved much since then (they rank 27th in the Rush-Defense DVOA), so Lindsay should be able to find some tracks when and when the Broncos are playing ball games ,

But Denver fits in can not be trusted at this point. After trading Demaryius Thomas and sinking Emmanuel Sanders with a tattered Achilles, the Broncos remain with Courtland Sutton, DaeSean Hamilton, and Tim Patrick as primary wide receivers. With this trio, only 70 of 128 passes were scored for 991 yards and five scores this season. Matt LaCosse is the only pass-catcher available with the tight ends of Jake Butt and Jeff Heuerman. Let's just say that the quartet is not exactly one that beats performance into the save.

The signing of Case Keenum did not go as planned for the Broncos, though he had played better a few weeks before beating a stinker against the Browns a week ago. Keenum has completed only 62 percent of his passes, averaging 6.8 yards per attempt, and has thrown only 15 touchdowns against 12 interceptions. He has not lost many games for the Broncos alone, but he has not really won them either. He is basically just a slightly below average quarterback, down the line. And for that the Broncos did not pay 18 million dollars. (To be fair, Keenum expects what he did in Minnesota last year is with the Broncos, who have had a longer track record than other games.)

Oakland's passport defense was largely dreadful this year, but the current version of Denver Das Passing seems to be a kind of unit that should be tested for speed, allowing the Raiders to devote more resources to stopping Lindsay's running gameplay. If you can slow him down a bit, it could be a long night for Keenum and his company.

Prediction: Raiders 17, Broncos 13


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