Home / Sports / Rangers vs Rays Odds: MLB picks, predictions, lines for April 18th from advanced simulation

Rangers vs Rays Odds: MLB picks, predictions, lines for April 18th from advanced simulation

The Tampa Bay Rays host the Texas Rangers at 1:10. ET Wednesday, two teams that need an increase in mid-April. The Rays are -118 on the money line, which means it would take a $ 118 bet on Tampa Bay to return $ 100. The over-under number or total number of runs Vegas anticipates will be 7.5.

Before you have to decide on a collision of teams looking for a turnaround, you need to know what SportsLine's advanced computer model has to say.

This model is on a 1

0-5 run on its money-line picks and simulates this matchup 10,000 times, breaking all imaginable at-bat and batter-vs-pitcher matches to its line of money, over-under and over Picks Run-line to determine.

We can tell you that the computer expects the overpower to hit, and says it matters in 54 percent of the simulations. But what about the money line that has been excellent for picking? Where is the value?

The model knows that the Rays (4-12) were the lowest team in the AL before beating the Rangers on Monday for 13 goals in an 8-4 win. In a surprising turn, the Rangers (6-12) are a perfect 2-0 win against World Champion Houston, but 4-12 against everyone else.

Tampa launches Ray Faria, who performed well on his last outing and made it possible to run 5.1 innings against the Phillies. The trip before, however, he was beaten by the Red Sox for nine runs over only 1.2 innings.

For Tampa there is a clear path to success: it has a 4-1 record with five or more runs and is 0-11 if it does not work.

On Monday, Tampa was dealt a blow when outstanding outfielder Kevin Kiermaier was knocked out of the tournament for eight to twelve weeks (thumbs). But his successor, Mallex Smith, scored four goals on Monday and batted .536 in the last seven games, including 6 against 6 against LHPs.

On Wednesday he will see a left-hander in Cole Hamels, who has a 2.90 career ERA against the Rays. He has struck 30 over 22 innings with a 4.50 ERA, including a quality pitch decision against Houston, strike seven and allow two runs in six innings.

Joey Gallo has swung a big stick for Texas, with six homers, 14 RBI and 10 runs, all team highs.

These teams have similar features on paper, but the computer found a compelling advantage for a page on Wednesday. Visit SportsLine to find out which side of the Rangers-Ray's money line has a very strong value, all of the computer model on a 10-5 MLB run.

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