This is not expected on June 11:
Texas Rangers: 36-30
Boston Red Sox: 34-34
Eventually, the Red Sox won 108 games in the World Series last year the entire team back this season. The Rangers finished 67-95. They were 41 games worse than the Red Sox in the winning column and 340 runs worse than the Red Sox in the running difference. Her big offseason moves were the signing of Lance Lynn and trading with Jurickson Profar. At the beginning of spring training, 36-year-old veteran Hunter Pence signed a minor league contract. The forecasts for the Rangers were not particularly optimistic.
Here, however, after the Rangers defeated the Red Sox 9-5 at Fenway Park on Tuesday night, we have their second win in a row to start a four-game series. If the season ended today, the Rangers would be the second wild card in the American League and the Red Sox would go home as one of the most disappointing teams in recent years. This game is a symbol of the seasons for both clubs:
̵1; Texas Rangers (@Rangers) June 12, 2019
Pence raises a small one Fly ball on the right field line. Brock Holt and Mookie Betts do not do good baseball. Pence circles the bases with a two-part home run in the park. Meanwhile, Pence has as many or more homeruns as Khris Davis, Rhys Hoskins, Kris Bryant, J.D. Martinez or Paul Goldschmidt, to name just a few notable weaklings. He is a potential All-Star. Rangers fans love their hero's surprise season from their hometown (Pence went to Arlington High School):
Hello, I'm here to let you know that Hunter Pence had his 14th season opener, and no, I will not Stop giving these updates to you.
– Carmen Kiev (@carmenkiew) June 12, 2019
What happened to the Red Sox? Obviously they miss Craig Kimbrel and the rotation started terribly, but they seemed to be straightening the ship. Instead, they are now staggering like a luxury cruise ship with a bad case of Norovirus. Look at their last eight series and work backwards:
1-3 vs.. Rays
3-0 vs. Royals
1-2 against Yankees
1-2 against Indians
1-2 against Astros
3-1 against Blue Jays
1-2 against Astros
That's them 6- 1 against the sad Royals and Blue Jays and 5-13 against the good teams. They are now 10-20 in the season against teams that are currently .500 or better. One thing to wonder about being a pop psychologist rather than a statistician: Last year, Betts, Martinez and Chris Sale were so good that it looked like it would lift the entire team. You had two superstars to carry the offensive and put pressure on everyone else, and at least until Sale was injured in August, it was perhaps the best starter of the majors, who dominated every fifth day.
Well, Sale came with it Terrific start, Martinez has cut some previous editions in his production and Betts was excellent – just not so excellent. The atmosphere of invincibility that these three have had this past season has not contributed to the "We'll find a way to win" attitude that the 2018 Red Sox maintained throughout the season and in the playoffs, partly came to fruition. Holt and Betts, who are not rushing after the ball on Pence's homerun, are an example that the Red Sox were simply no longer as imprisoned as in 2018.
Pence – now .284 / .345 / .585 – – is not the only surprise with the Rangers. Mike Minor, 5-4 with 2.52 ERA, was one of the best starters in the American League. Joey Gallo had taken his game to a new level, before it brought an oblique burden from the concept. They found Danny Santana from the scrap heap and he hits .299 / .338 / .490. Nevertheless, it is a team with clear reservations: they have 12 starter jugs, Rougned Odour has an OBP of 0.250, the Bullpen was not particularly outstanding, Ronald Guzman and Nomar Mazara have not torn him to pieces.
Which team will most likely arrive there? I would still bet on the Red Sox. FanGraph's playoff odds are still of great importance to Boston:
Red Sox: 90-72, 61.3% playoff odds
Rangers: 80-82, 3.8% playoff odds
One reason for the Rangers' pessimism is that they outperformed their BaseRuns stats by four, while the Red Sox lagged three behind them. That's another way of saying the Rangers were Clutch and the Red Sox was not – and you can not predict those trends to continue.
Nevertheless, the Rangers have been able to start a wildcard run. In a league with as many bad teams as the AL, it makes sense to see a surprise team. Maybe that's the Rangers.
Yordan Alvarez meets Homer in 100% of the games he plays. pic.twitter.com/WanfistbVH
– MLB (@MLB) June 12, 2019
OK, it was hardly a monster puree, but the 21-year-old Cuban showed his raw power by playing she played without even putting a big momentum on the ball. He was the first player in the history of Astros, who was in his first two games Homer. Alvarez had hit .343 / .443 / .772 in Triple-A with 23 home runs in 56 games. I do not think he has to worry when he returns to Round Rock.
Tuesday night at Homeruns: Maybe we'll make this a regular feature. Let's see …
• Alvarez knocked the ball out even though it looked like he was only hitting a ball on the green at Pebble Beach. The Astros scored four homeruns in the game. The Brewers suffered three losses, including Christian Yelich's 25.
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• The Atlanta Braves celebrated four home races in the second inning of their 7/5 victory against the Pittsburgh Pirates – and five in the game against Chris Archer. That's two days in a row when we had five home kills in the bowler (and do not forget that the Washington Nationals played four home runs in a row against Craig Stammen on Sunday).
• The New York Yankees scored three home runs in a 12-5 win over the New York Mets, including the 20th of Gary Sanchez. Sanchez was the DH and in eight games as DH, he has met with seven homers .333.
• The Mets responded with three homeruns to win the second game of DoubleHeader 10-4. Pete Alonso scored a hat-trick in the first inning ahead of James Paxton, his 22nd in 66 career games. In most home games, 70 career games were contested:
Jose Abreu: 26
Cody Bellinger: 25
Matt Olson: 24
Gary Sanchez: 23
Wally Berger: 23
• Eloy Jimenez hit his first home game in his young career. It went only 462 feet:
Eloy Jiménez has absolutely crushed this baseball.
Catch of the day: Victor Robles with the sensational …
– MLB (@MLB) June 12, 2019
See you tomorrow … have fun with your baseball.