"Most economists say we will not experience a recession," Trump told reporters in New Jersey on Sunday. "Most of them say we will not have a recession, but the rest of the world is not as well as we are."
A recession does not seem to be an imminent danger in the US, but signs of a global slowdown. New impetus is sprouting up everywhere, suggesting Trump could face a more difficult political environment in 2020 than expected. A successful re-election race in the face of a sluggish economy would be the former real estate mogul's biggest sales job and would rewrite the laws of political gravity.
When Trump proposes to define the economy and protect against recession, Trump is testing a burning, materialist message to voters, who may disdain him when times are more difficult.
"Lowest unemployment of all time in almost all categories Provided big growth after trade deals are completed Lower import prices, China eats tariff fs We help targeted high tariff farmers Good future for the US!" Tweeted Trump. The President knows that a recession leading to a choice for established companies can be a disaster. For example, Jimmy Carter and George HW Bush could do this in part. The reasons for reelection losses are in the wrong moment in terms of poor economic performance.
The economy may be more important for Trump for other presidents, as the current state of health is one of the few policies in which, according to polls, it has the majority of supporters.
"We do not yet know if we are headed for a recession, this is not my baseline scenario," said Neel Kashkari, president of the Federal Reserve in Minneapolis, to Brianna on Friday Keilar from CNN. "But the risks have pretty much increased."
How a recession could make the campaign even more toxic in 2020
If a recession should occur to threaten Trump's re-election hopes, one can expect the toxicity of a campaign he has been addressing for generations has used the harshest racist rhetoric and demagoguery in top politics.
A recession would also change the race of the Democratic White House. So far, the candidates have mainly argued that the wealth created in the Trump economy was not shared equitably and exposed to the facts of the lowest unemployment rate in half a century and general public satisfaction with the economy.
But now they are also showing signs that Trump's worsening trade war with China is affecting global sentiment.
"with tariffs in the eye," said Democratic candidate Pete Buttigieg on Sunday in an exclusive interview with Jake Tapper on CNN's "State of the Union
"There are some basic facts you can not miss, one of which is that American farmers are killed," said Buttigieg, the mayor of South Bend, Indiana.
If the economy faltered Surely Democrats are quickly moving on to a sweeping attack on Republican economic management – including high deficits and the GOP tax reform bill – whatever Trump has seen in recent years.
New polls reveal Trump's political risk factors and suggest that The public unrest over how he deals with economic issues, one of the few is areas where he has the trust of Mehrhei tswähler has enjoyed e.
Trump's overall approval rate in the survey was 43%, suggesting that there is a significant minority of Americans who still like the Trump economy – even if they dislike it.
If he can not persuade these voters to swallow their broader doubts and support him in November 2020, his narrow path to re-election could disappear altogether
So it's not surprising that CNN and other media outlets last week Sources quoted saying that after a week of gloomy predictions, Trump was increasingly concerned about the economy.
"You have no choice but to vote for me, because (ifs) your 401 (k) is shitting 'Everything will be down the pipes,' said Trump in Manchester, New Hampshire, on Thursday. "So, whether you love or hate me, you have to vote for me."
Earlier, Trump told reporters that economic growth would end when he was driven out of the White House after four years.
"The fact That what I've won has boosted our economy enormously, and if I did not win it would go down," Trump said. "And frankly, if for any reason that happened in the 2020 elections, that economy goes down, I'll tell you that right away."
The Trump team sends out a message of coordinated economic importance optimism
Trump's top economic advisers sent a coordinated signal on Sunday of impetuous optimism regarding the economy, possibly as well for an annoying president as intended for outdoor consumption could ruin Christmas "src-mini =" // cdn.cnn.com/cnnnext/dam/assets/190816122427-trump-rally-nh-815-small-169.jpg "src-xsmall =" http://cdn.cnn.com/cnnnext/dam /assets/190816122427-trump-rally-nh-815-large-169.jpg "src-medium =" // cdn.cnn.com/cnnnext/dam/assets/190816122427-trump-rally-nh-815-exlarge- 169.jpg "src-large =" // cdn.cnn.com/cnnnext/dam/assets/190816122427-trump-rally-nh-815-super-169.jpg "src-full16x9 =" // cdn.cnn. com / cnnnext / dam / assets / 190816122427-trump-rally-nh-815-full-169.jpg "src-mini1x1 =" // cdn.cnn.com/cnnnext/dam /assets/190816122427-trump-rally-nh-815-small-11.jpg "data-demand-load =" not-loaded "data-eq-pts =" mini: 0, xsmall: 221, small: 308, medium : 461, large: 781 "/>