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Susan Collins had a very bad day today



On Monday, they took an important step toward keeping this promise when Sara Gideon, spokeswoman for the State House of Maine, announced her candidacy. "Susan Collins has been in the Senate for 22 years," says Gideon in a video about her candidacy. "And at some point she may have been different than some other people in Washington, but she does not seem that way anymore."

In the video, Gideon meets Collins for voted in favor of President Donald Trump's tax cuts and for Kavanaugh and even the president's thanks to Collins. So you know where Gideon is headed in this campaign: Collins likes to say she's temperate, but when she's in Washington, she's like a Trump conservative.

This argument ̵

1; minus the "Trump" section – was previously tried out against Collins. In 2002 and 2008, Democrats launched serious, well-funded candidates against them. And she attacked Collins as less temperate – and less in line with Maine's values ​​- than she tried to paint herself. Collins won 58% of the vote in 2002 and 61% in 2008. In 2014, the Democrats hardly challenged them, and they were re-elected 67%.

Collins is a capable activist – and she'll have as much money from the Republicans in Washington as she needs. (The Gideon video shows the Senate Majority Leader, Mitch McConnell.)

That is, there's reason to believe that the race in 2020 – now that Gideon is in it – will be the toughest of Collins since the Open Seat won by Senator William Cohen was retired in 1996. Here is the reason:

1) Trump's presence in the White House has turned voters into partisan camps and left very few of the centrists on whom Collins has always relied. And when people vote only for partiality, Collins loses in Maine. Hillary Clinton outperformed Trump in 2016 at 48 to 45 percent.

2) Collins & # 39; Kavanaugh vote is exactly what Democrats have been waiting for years. In previous campaigns, democratic strategists have always struggled to prove beyond doubt that Collins was more in line with national republicans than it allowed it. But they could never find that singular vote – until Collins Kavanaugh confirmed.

3) The National Democrats – and the party base – are firing ABOUT Collins beating. After the Kavanaugh vote, more than $ 4 million was donated to support the later Democratic candidate against Collins. Of the 22 seats in the Republican Senate in 2020, the base of the party cares more about Maine than any other.

The Point : Collins is a survivor – as evidenced by her long election history of defeating highly acclaimed Democratic candidates. But there is reason to believe that 2020 is a challenge that Collins has never seen before – and that might even be too much for them.


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