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Home / US / The 2018 election will be a referendum on Hillary Clinton ????

The 2018 election will be a referendum on Hillary Clinton ????



"Clinton is part of the Midterm strategy of the Republican Party in 2018. With no Democrat in the White House for the first time in nearly a decade, Republicans insist that Clinton's spirit will serve them well in 2018. [19659002] "Even if she avoids the limelight, the Republican Party plans to evoke it early and often in major congressional races, especially in the regions that Trump has won."

And there is some evidence to support the Clinton focus within the Experience the new ad from Don Blankenship, a Republican candidate for the Senate in West Virginia.
"We do not need to investigate our president," the narrator of the ad says. "We have to arrest Hillary."

It's not clear what Blankenship Clinton wants to arrest for ̵

1; email server? Uranium One Deal – just that he wants to make sure she is detained.

There is a big difference between Republican candidates and C candidates placing ads with Clinton and those who are actually working to turn the 2018 Halftime election into a referendum on the 2016 Democratic presidential candidate.

The former could well happen. What's special after Trump's 2016 special election is that the democratic base is on the move – notably through her aversion to Trump and her disgust at the decisions he has taken as president. Meanwhile, the republican base is fat and happy; Their side controls the White House, the Senate, the House, the majority of the governor's houses and the majority of the parliaments of the country.

This kind of inequality in energy between the two party bases is bad news for the side suffering from the Passion deficit. Intermediate elections tend to be battles between the bases, so if one side is much more enthusiastic, it can lead to large loss of seats for the other side.

How do you motivate the GOP base? You will find the equivalent of Donald Trump for the left. The problem, of course, is that there is no equivalent to the right, as the leftist considers Donald Trump. Trump is president. Hillary Clinton is a private individual. It's just not the same thing.

Which, of course, does not mean that Clinton's ad will not work for some Republican candidates hoping to rev up the base. Republicans abhor Clinton and some – many – may have a Pavlovian reaction to the mention of her name and a picture of her on her television screen. (In a CNRS survey conducted by SSRS in September 2017, 91% of Republicans had a negative impression of Clinton, and their overall unfavorable rating was 52%.)

The problem with making-this-all-election Over-Hillary logic is that it has no logical end. Clinton is not in office. She is not responsible for much. She will no longer run for a national office, and she would probably not win if she does.

How do you increase turnout for a Democrat who is in the same party as Clinton? For example, if Democrat Senator Joe Manchin is reelected in West Virginia, will he somehow find a way to install Clinton as president or work to implement their agenda? Um, no

History teaches us that the midterm elections are always a referendum on the president and his party. Since the First World War, there have only been three elections – 1934, 1998 and 2002 – during which the presidential party lost its seat in a midterm election. In all three cases, there was a catastrophic event that intervened: the Great Depression, the impeachment of Bill Clinton, and the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001.

Just before something the major event, the Republican Party will certainly lose seats in this Parliament this fall – the only question is whether they lose the 23 that would bring the Democrats back to the majority.

Indeed, voters make decisions based on elected politicians officials who can influence their lives – often in their thoughts, in a negative way. Clinton just is not like that. She left the office to never return. Whether or not she is a visible presence on the campaign path or the fundraising route this fall – I guess she could make some money, but is probably not hot stuff on the stump – will not change that. She's out of the office and stays there.

Donald Trump, however, will be president until at least 2020.


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