President Trump's next election for the Supreme Court should have a relatively clear path to Senate approval. Republicans control the Chamber, and they are anxious to play a role in consolidating the conservative majority of the court to replace retired judge Anthony M. Kennedy, a swing voice.
But nothing is given in Washington, especially in a Senate where Republicans have a two-vote majority. There are two or three moderate Senate Republicans hoping that optimistic Senate Democrats will help them block Trump's election. And there are a handful of Senate Democrats who face tough new elections in November, Republicans hoping to pass on Trump's election.
Here are the possible swing votes in the battle for the Supreme Court, ranked in order of least swinging to most:  7. Jeff Flake (R-Ariz): Flake stands for two reasons On the list: 1) He is one of Trump's most vociferous critics in the Senate. 2) He said he would vote against Trump's preferred candidate until the Senate voted on a proposal to limit the President's power to impose tariffs.
But: Flake immediately drew a line between lower-court candidates and something as consequential as the Supreme Court: "My goal is to get a vote over the tariffs, and I have all the leverage I need if I suggest a court, "he told the Arizona Republic.
. 6 Dean Heller (R-Nev.) : Heller is probably the most vulnerable Republican for re-election in November. He is the only Republican senator on the ballot who represents a state that Hillary Clinton won. And now that he has no primary challenger from the right to worry, some Democrats hope they can put pressure on Heller to vote against Trump's election.
But: Heller wondered if he should support Trump's policies. And he has almost always sided with Trump, as he did in a major Obamacare deposition last summer. He has also accepted Trump as a campaign strategy; The President has campaigned for Heller in Nevada this month
5. Joe Manchin III: Manchin is one of five Senate Democrats who want to be re-elected in November in a double-digit Trump state. Manchin is also the first of three Senate Democrats on our list to vote for Trump's first Supreme Court pick last year, Justice Neil M. Gorsuch. Trump welcomed him and two other Democrats on Thursday to speak about their votes.
But: Manchin is also one of the Democratic Senators with the greatest prospects of being reelected Trump Land, though West Virginia is very Trump Land is. The voters chose Trump by 40 percentage points. Polls show Manchin with a relatively comfortable lead against his Republican opponent, Attorney General Patrick Morrisey, suggesting that Manchin has some political bumpers to vote against Trump if he wants to.
. 4 Joe Donnelly (D-Ind.): Donnelly also tries to be elected into a state that was strong for Trump. There was only one high-quality poll in the state as Republicans nominated businessman Mike Braun to challenge Donnelly, but it shows a total heat, suggesting that Donnelly can not afford to part with Trump on such a poll ,
But: Donnelly has also shown his willingness to vote against Trump on major votes, such as tax legislation or an immigration overhaul. He holds his cards close to his chest and says in a statement on Thursday after meeting with Trump, "If the President presents the Senate with his election to the Supreme Court, I'll thoroughly review the record and qualifications of that candidate."
. 3 Heidi Heitkamp (D-N.D.): Heitkamp is the final of three vulnerable and possibly vacillating Democrats. She has, more than any other Red-State Democratic senator, received notable help from the Republicans to keep her job. Trump called her a "good woman" on stage at a North Dakota rally last year. One of the most conservative outside groups in America spent money to thank her for bank deregulation. Heitkamp was the only Democrat in the room when Trump signed this bill in May.