The economy is doing well and Trump is making some credit
The President, fresh from a trip to the heartlands of the Midwest, is making the best possible case for his government as the pace of pre-election increases. He shows a strong economic message with a fervor that the Democrats are not yet up to this election cycle.
The presidents are usually too accused when the economy performs poorly, as economic slowdowns are often caused by outside shocks or cyclical factors also gives them a chance to crow when things are in full swing.
Trump is not the kind of person who hands that over.
Often the president's hyperbolic assessment of his own performance is contrary to the facts. But the release of second-quarter GDP growth figures on Friday could give him a real reason to celebrate ̵
1; based on real, undeniable numbers.
It might also be his best chance to argue that a huge and controversial tax cut is the only real significant legislation he could pass through, as he put it, wealth creation.
"We've never had anything like (what) happen right now," Trump told an extremely supportive group of steel workers in Illinois on Thursday
"GDP figures will be announced tomorrow, I do not know what they are, but I think they will be great, "he added. "You know, when we took over it was very low and it went deeper, much deeper and it would be there fast and big things happened so so whatever those numbers are, take care of them. " I do not think that's going to happen. "
In fact, analysts' consensus seems to be that economic growth could range between 2.7% and 4.5% in the second quarter – – and slightly exceed the 2% figure recorded in the first three months of the year
In Search of a Push
A strong growth rate would give the White House a significant boost after days of grim headlines, failing to anticipate the humiliating presidential summit with Russian President Vladimir Putin It would also provide a personal respite for Trump, as he feels there must be legal walls surrounding him, one of his most important confidants, Allen Weisselberg, h The New York Times reported on Thursday that Special Adviser Robert Mueller is investigating Trump's tweets, possibly to see if they can help him set up a case where the President maliciously acted on purpose when he dismissed former FBI director James Comey.
Trump tries forever to change the subject. Unemployment is lower than it has been for decades, corporate profits are strong and it seems unlikely that a sudden crisis is imminent that could target Americans polls in the midterm elections, the Trump presidency very much influence.
Recent surveys show that the economy is one of the few topics where Trump reaches the kind of numbers presidents normally need for reelection.
Quinnipiac University's survey, conducted from July 18 to 23, showed that majorities of voters thought Trump had weakened the US overseas, was too close to Putin and lied about important issues. But an almost majority – 49% – supported its dealings with the economy.
Republicans 'hopes of fending off a democratic blue wave and boosting Trump' s electoral outlook in 2020 could be supported by more voters who voted in favor of the uproar and campaign. Englisch: www.mjfriendship.de/en/index.php?op…=view&id=167. He has made the expulsion and lies of the Trump presidency more economic and given them a pay raise they have been waiting for years
GOPs best bet
It It is no exaggeration to say that economy represents Trump's best line of argument going in the case. And Trump seems increasingly frustrated that the story is not told.
While pointing to the press cameras on his trip to Illinois, he complained, "They absolutely want to see that we make a small mistake."  "Although we've been here for a little more than a year and a half … we've done a great job over the past six months," he said.
Trump can make a fair quarrel over that he is He does not get the credit he deserves for business, but he's often only responsible to himself for facing the daily political turmoil he creates is overlooked.
And his White House has shown increasing concern over Trump districts over the past few days, sending him to the White House.
While the president on Thursday claimed that his steel and aluminum subsidies on China and an alliance of US allies had revived industries, his trade war threats seem to have alarming effects elsewhere.
The government has just announced a $ 12 billion aid program for farmers affected by reprisals against Trump voters, which are already having a painful impact on soybean and pork exports.
The president also seems to be withdrawing from a trade war with the European Union on Wednesday, and basically agreed to an agreement to talk about tariff reductions.
"We have just opened Europe," said Trump in Dubuque, Iowa, earlier Thursday, misleading the importance of his deal with Europe exaggerated.
Key House and governor races in states that Trump won and will need again in 2020 b are in the debate over the direction of Trump's trade policy. A number of NBC / Marist polls this week showed its approval rating below 40% in Michigan and Wisconsin, which paved its way to the presidency.
There is also plenty of scope to nibble economic claims with Trump's substance. While growth may roar, critics say tax cuts will not significantly affect low-income Americans and will certainly increase economic inequality.
The GOP, which once praised itself – at least in the opposition – for fiscal responsibility, has blown up the deficit. Wage growth, long the downside to recovery since the Great Recession, is still fairly flat, meaning that Trump's End Zone Vote may seem a bit premature to some voters.