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The end of the Iran deal is more likely with Pompeo & Bolton



Foreign Minister Rex Tillerson (left) and US Security Advisor HR McMaster (right) during the UN General Assembly in New York, September 21, 2017. [Kevin Lamarque / Reuters]

Those who represent the policies has paved the way for Tehran's demand for nuclear capability.

T The efforts of the foreign policy establishment to defend the Iranian nuclear program give Trump cause for change.

Domination The Trump government's foreign policy in the mainstream media reports that a gallant gang of "adults" spent last year keeping the barbarians in check. But with the dismissals of Rex Tillerson and General H. R. McMaster, the walls were broken. With State Department spokesman Mike Pompeo and John Bolton, who now serves as National Security Advisor, Trump will no longer be aware of the one thing the foreign policy establishment fears the most: replacing or scraping Iran's nuclear deal.

Efforts to portray political debates within the administration as well as between adults and children have always been a subtle way for the foreign policy establishment and its cheerleaders in the press to question the efforts of Trump and some of his team for long accepted conventional wisdom about how the US should conduct its business. This was reflected in the conflict over whether to recognize Jerusalem as Israel's capital, something the establishment believed would be an irresponsible act that would set the world on fire, but when Trump's demand was implemented. But there's no question that Tillerson's and McMaster's efforts to slow down to getting America's European allies to rethink the Iran deal are key to understanding why they've lost their jobs , Both Pompeo and Bolton are sharp critics of President Obama's declared foreign policy achievement, which Tillerson and McMaster seemed determined to preserve, despite the President's insistence that it be done. Which means that once the two are in place, US efforts to rein in Iran and forestall the eventual acquisition of a nuclear weapon – problems that not only do not solve Obama's pact, but worsen it. It is not surprising that this would lead to a new effort by the foreign policy establishment to affirm that the debate over Iran is not so much about the inadequacy of the deal as it is about experts and amateurs.

That was the idea of ​​a Fawn New York Times Article on the formation of a group of self-proclaimed experts dedicated to the defense of the Iran Agreement. The organization of 100 former diplomats and military officials calls itself "the National Coalition for the Prevention of an Iranian Nuclear Weapon." Given that the agreement has provided an international seal of approval for a hitherto illegal Iranian nuclear program, and the sunset provisions in The Agreement guarantee that Iran will finally get a bomb after a decade, the name is a classic case of falsehood Advertising. The point of the effort goes beyond the irony that those who support policies that have paved the way for an Iranian bomb are against it. Their argument is that the experts understand the problem and that those – like Trump, Pompeo and Bolton – who want to change it, do not understand that the deal works.

But a close look at their arguments – summed up in Both their testimony and a statement by Wendy Sherman that appeased Bill Clinton's catastrophic efforts to uphold North Korea's nuclear ambitions and served as Obama's negotiator with Iran show that the experts do not do understand the atomic pact. Instead of emphasizing the alleged stupidity of the Trump team, the experts discredit the notion of expertise.

A look at the list of experts makes it clear that not everyone on the list deserves the reverence that the Times seemed to think that they deserve it.

Among them is Gary Sick, the man who promoted the myth about Ronald Reagan's plans with the Iranians before his election as president. Others, like former Ambassador Thomas Pickering, are shameless merchants. Pickering may have served in a number of important diplomatic posts, but he is now a lobbyist for Boeing, which, like many European companies, benefits from doing business with Iran – deals made possible by the deal and efforts

But most are sincere defenders of Obama's failed efforts to admit, as the previous President put it, that Iran "is getting along with the world" and is determined to ignore the shortcomings of the pact as well as the way in which as both were enriched and strengthened a regime that is more dangerous than ever.

The best arguments that can be put forward for the agreement now rest on the notion that it was the best agreement at the time and that the repeal would remove the restrictions on the Iranian nuclear program and allow Tehran to become a bomb to drive before the West could do something about it. But all Obama has achieved is to launch the atomic bomb, so a successor will have to deal with the same problem, albeit under much less favorable circumstances, since the lifting of international sanctions has made Iran richer and more powerful Has. These fears were recognized when Iran's successful intervention in Syria brought its forces closer to Israel and virtually gave it a land bridge to its Hezbollah Auxiliaries in Lebanon. Along with its growing missile program and support for terror, Iran is today more dangerous than before the signing of the pact.

All Obama has achieved is to launch the atomic bomb so a successor will have to deal with the same problem.

The closer you approach Sherman and her colleagues, the more their expertise does not seem to be everything it is. She and her colleagues are not just taking the word in the Iranian regime if it promises it will not build a nuclear weapon. They also argue that the sunset provisions are meaningless. They note Trump's efforts to persuade Europeans to remove the expiration clauses that put an end to all restrictions on Iran's nuclear activity after a decade. They believe the West will have time to react if Iran builds a weapon in the not-too-distant future after the expiration of the agreement.

This shaky premise is hard to take, since it is based on Western intelligence everything that happens in Iran. This is not a credible position as the minimal inspections required by the deal will block the Iranian military installations for the inspectors. The Iranians know that the international community is not interested in changing the agreement now. Why should they think that the Europeans and anyone else who benefits from them would support the reintroduction of sanctions after a decade?

The notion that the US can not change this situation is grounded in the same spirit of weakness and appeasement appeal that led to a weak deal in the first place. That is why Trump and Bolton rightly press for new negotiations. They will also be right to exert as much pressure as necessary to persuade Europeans to impose more sanctions in order to regain the leverage that Obama discarded in 2013. Also, the US does not have to wait for European approval because America can implement secondary punishment alone, which would prevent a company from doing business with Iran to conduct transactions with US institutions.

While efforts to force Iran to abandon the sunset provisions and tighten restrictions on its nuclear and missile programs, not to mention limiting its foreign adventurism, is not without its risks, the alternative is simply to sit back and wait for it that it becomes nuclear while pursuing regional hegemony. If the so-called "experts" do not recognize this, their expertise is worthless.

Trump was rightly criticized for his ignorance of politics and for his contempt for those who know more than he does. But in Iran, it is both the self-proclaimed experts and the so-called adults in the administration who are in a way of thinking that prevents them from recognizing or averting the threat. In this case, the president's instinctive mistrust of the experts is in fact justified. Even those most inclined to assume that Trump is wrong must admit that if Iran is to be prevented from obtaining a nuclear weapon, the agreement must be re-examined.


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