قالب وردپرس درنا توس
Home / World / The following could happen now

The following could happen now



Despite being billed as a "Super Saturday," a special parliamentary session in the House of Commons contained little details of when or even if Britain would leave the European Union.

UK. Prime Minister Boris Johnson was defeated by a bipartisan group of politicians who voted to postpone the "meaningful vote" on his new divorce agreement and force him to ask Brussels to extend the current Brexit deadline for October 31.

The developments in Parliament created a complicated week in which only eleven days remain before Britain leaves the largest trading block in the world.

Will there be a time delay?

Johnson reluctantly asked for a later extension on Saturday night, but EU leaders need not necessarily accept it. Some have refused to allow Britain more time and have pressured the UK legislator to accept the current agreement. But it is unlikely that they want a no-deal scenario and the potential economic impact it could have on both sides of the English Channel.

Brussels could offer a technical extension of a few weeks, hoping to pass the agreement that they have recently taken out with Johnson. Or they could accept what Johnson had to demand on Saturday night and postpone the date to January 31

, opening the door for parliamentary elections in Britain – which could lead to a renegotiation or a second referendum.

They could push ahead with this by June 2020 when the next cycle of EU budgets starts, which is considered unlikely, given Brexit's fatigue across Europe.

EU leaders are expected to take their time to respond. but it could come on Monday.

When will the vote take place now?

The British government is anxious to hold a "meaningful vote" on Monday, but it could be rejected by the Speaker of Parliament as it is not a parliamentary convention to repeatedly ask politicians the same questions.

Instead, earlier this week, the government could present the full draft right to revoke it and slowly try to run it through both chambers – the House of Commons and the House of Lords. This will include days of debate, many attempts to amend the bill, and a selection of different polls later in the week. A brief, crucial question to the legislature would come later in the week or be pushed back even further.

Could not we have a deal yet?

Yes. The bipartisan change that was supported on Saturday has tried to reduce the chances of a no deal, but it could still happen. The EU could reject an extension. The adoption of the law could also be postponed and not make it through Parliament in time.

Could there be another referendum?

Yes. Some MEPs (Members of Parliament) are likely to try to change the law this week to make sure there is an "affirmative" referendum. If a longer extension is granted by the EU, nothing is excluded. Several opposition parties would call for a so-called popular vote in parliamentary elections or could promise to give up on Brexit altogether.

JUSTIN TALLIS | AFP | Getty Images

What do the experts say?

Capital Economics described the vote on Saturday as "a decent result for the economy and the pound, as a no-deal Brexit on 31 October is even less likely." It added, however, that it "somewhat prolonged the uncertainty that hinders growth a little longer".

Deutsche Bank analysts said "the prospects for a Brexit decision remain constructive," stating that the composition of the vote on fact meant Saturday could provide Johnson with sufficient backing for his deal.

The bank also said it would "maintain our constructive outlook on the UK and the real returns on long sterling and short UK."

If The Brexit already seems to be complicated, it may become even more complicated.


Source link