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The hole where the Brexit Deal should be



On Sunday afternoon, British Brexit Secretary Dominic Raab traveled to Brussels to meet Michel Barnier, the European Union's negotiator. The afternoon meeting was announced only that day, and it seemed to suggest that a deal was almost complete. Last Friday evening, in Luxembourg, E.U. Ambassadors were informed that the talks went well. At the weekend, the German newspaper quoted Süddeutsche Zeitung from an internal E.U. Document that states "Deal made, nothing published (in theory)", pending a possible announcement by the British government on Monday. For some weeks, rumors are circulating in London that Prime Minister Theresa May is ready to agree to new compromises in the talks ̵

1; a dense, technical series of backstops, protocols and procedures – to announce a deal with the EU at a special Brexit Summit next month.

But the meeting on Sunday was a bankruptcy. At 6:43 PM Barnier tweeted, "Despite intense efforts, there are still some key issues left, including the backstop for IE / NI to avoid a hard line" – a reference to the problem of a border on the island Ireland, an issue that has weighed on negotiations for more than a year. A few hours later, the UK Department of Resignation issued its own sad update: "There are still a number of unresolved issues related to the backing." Neither Raab nor Barnier said what happened in the meeting, but told the Guardian that the main obstacle remains Mays ability to sell their compromises at home. EU. The ambassadors were told that the "British need more time," said Sabine Weyand, Barnier's deputy, the newspaper said. "The problem is at the British end," said a diplomat.

There is now a hole where the Brexit deal should be. A meeting of E.U. "Sherpas" – high-ranking diplomats and interlocutors for the block leaders – who were scheduled to arrive in Brussels on Monday to prepare the ground for the agreement were called off. On Wednesday evening, the leaders of the European Union will meet for dinner in Brussels. May was expected to address them by drafting an agreement. From that moment on she has nothing but a nightmare of fear.

The big sticking point – around the Irish border – has always been there. Since the start of the Brexit negotiations in the summer of 2017, they have become bordered by the logical need to create a border between Ireland (a member of the EU) and Northern Ireland (part of the UK) and the political need to do so to protect the peace process of the island. The squaring of this circle would be tough enough in all circumstances, but to pass the legislation, the May administration relies on the ten members of the parliament that belong to the tough, pro-union Democratic Unionist Party. Any solution to the "Irish backstop", as it is known, will probably result in Northern Ireland remaining more or less in the structures of the EU, while the rest of the United States is taking a step backwards. This is a no-go for the D.U.P.

Nonetheless, the negotiators have quietly tried to negotiate a deal in this direction. Last week Arlene Foster, the director of D.U.P., had her own audience with Barnier in Brussels; The party promptly threatened to overthrow the May government if such an agreement were made. On Sunday, e-mails sent by Foster leaked to the Observer and said that "the DUP was ready for a no-deal scenario," suggesting May's support for the At the same time, the Conservative Party of May is a barely coherent unit. At the weekend, when the PM apparently was within arm's reach to approve the terms of the country's exit from the EU, her former Brexit negotiator David Davis called on the May Cabinet to stand up to her, citing the compromise that that she had wanted to accept. "It's time for the Cabinet to exercise its collective authority," wrote Davis on Sunday Times . "The authority of our constitution is at stake." Boris Johnson, the former foreign minister who resigned this summer in May over the Brexit plan, described the potential Ireland agreement as "a decision between dissolving this country or subjugating it, separating or subjugating." "Leave Means Leave" rally in Torquay said Jacob Rees-Mogg, the Burgundian Brexit member, to a crowd: "Dare I say, we have rallied once or twice against the French before" compared to the EU Mafia

Nobody knows how many conservative MPs will vote against it, which May finally can agree with the EU, but it is clear that they will need at least some outside support from their party. According to analysts from Edelman, the communications company, May would need the votes of fourteen Labor MPs to get her Brexit deal approved by parliament – a figure that will rise to twenty-four if she loses support for the DUP on Monday afternoon

Mai rose in the lower house and said that the broad form of a Brexit agreement was in place. "This is the time for cool, calm minds to assert themselves," she said. Since becoming Prime Minister in the summer of 2016 and assuming responsibility for bringing Britain out of the EU, May has gone a long way between her party's marauding factions and what's available in Brussels; between respecting a populist voice and national self-harm; between the self-image of their country and its relative decline. Now there is no way.


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