One of the biggest surprises of this peak season so far is that two white men (Biden and Sanders) have consistently led a field with a record number of women. I certainly thought women had an advantage after a record number of Democratic women were elected to the House of Representatives last year.
The reason why female candidates are not better, is that there is not much gender gap so far. That is, women and men have similar preferences. In our survey, Biden and Sanders achieved almost identical female and male votes. None of the candidates comes with women or men in the double-digit range.
(An average of the surveys generally corresponds to our survey.)
This is a completely different pattern than 201
In fact, it's a different pattern from 2008 when Clinton ran for the first time. Clinton would have won the Primary if only women had voted. Barack Obama won thanks to a plurality of men.
Maybe things will change across the board. Democrats have claimed in other polls that they would be enthusiastic about a candidate.
For now, however, women and men have male candidates at the top of their preference list.