President Trump will attend a forum called Generation Next at the Eisenhower Executive Office Building in Washington on March 22. (Leah Millis / Reuters)
Two tweets from President Trump on Tuesday morning remind him of his approach Information: The only good information is information that makes him look good.
This effect was most evident in this tweet.
Trump has come to 50 percent polling in Rasmussen reports polling, as shown below.
Note that for the fifth time it reached 50 percent. Most recently he was at the end of February at 50 percent, then he slipped back into the mid-40s.
It is also true that Trump's election results are now over the point where Barack Obama's presidency was. On April 1, 2010, Obama was 46 percent in Rasmussen's poll; Trump was at 50 percent.
This is a new development, though. By February, Rasmussen surveys conducted on relevant days showed Trump with a higher approval rate only twice.
But all this obscures an important detail. Rasmussen has been much friendlier to Trump than most pollsters in the past, and less so to Obama.
Compare Rasmussen's poll numbers with RealClearPolitics poll numbers for the same time periods. The average contains a series of polls that offset the impact of pollsters that might reflect a more Republican view of the president. (Rasmussen's survey includes likely voters, unlike the general population or just registered voters, a population that often rejects more republicanism than other universes.)
During this time, Rasmussen's polls had Obama's approval below the 93 percent average Time. It had Trumps above the average of 99 percent of the time. Even though Rasmussen's polls are included on average, which means that Rasmussen outperforms the average, even after averaging in a Trump or anti-Obama direction.
One reason why Trump's poll ratings come so close to Obama that Trump has always been endowed with an effect that only became clear in the second year of Obama's presidency: partisans who hold extreme views of the president. The Republicans turned against Obama in the course of 2009 and expressed skeptical views on his performance for the next seven years in 2010. Trump came into office, the Democrats considered him skeptical. The reason Obama overtakes Trump at this point in the presidency of every single man is that the Independents are more skeptical of Trump than they are.
But let us return to the main point. Trump, who emphasizes Rasmussen, is not quite like referring to his best friend as a reference in an application, but it's not as though he bothers to list former employers. But he goes one step further by estimating all these other polls as "not honest". The only "honest" poll seems to be that which differs consistently from other polls in favor of the Republicans.
If that sounds familiar, it should. Here's another tweet from Trump on Tuesday.