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Home / US / The Political Implications of the Longest Decommissioning in US History: NPR

The Political Implications of the Longest Decommissioning in US History: NPR

President Trump crosses the White House Colonnade on arrival and announces a deal on Friday to temporarily reopen the government.

Jacquelyn Martin / AP

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Jacquelyn Martin / AP

President Trump walks through the White House Colonnade upon his arrival and announces a deal on Friday to temporarily reopen the government.

Jacquelyn Martin / AP

The longest government deadlock in US history is finally over.

The government is reopened – at least until 15 February – after President Trump announced on Friday he would support the establishment and funding for three weeks Congress negotiators are trying to work out a more comprehensive agreement on immigration and border security. On Friday evening it was then fast to a reopening of the congress.

There are no two options – Trump has dropped. He blinked on Wednesday night when he agreed with the house spokeswoman Nancy Pelosi that next week he would not bring the state's address out of the house until the closure ends. Then, on Friday afternoon, after a day dominated by the news that his former political adviser, Roger Stone, had been charged as part of the Mueller-Russia investigation, Trump gave in completely.

Why? The closure was a political tribute to the president, and the Democrats showed no sign of thinking about financing the border wall while the government was closed.

What did we learn from this stalemate and what happens now? Here are seven takeaways:

1. Nancy Pelosi outwitted Trump, and now she's fortified

It may be hard to remember, but there was a time – about a month and a half ago – when Nancy Pelosi was not sure to become a speaker again. It had a troubled group of Democratic newbies who wanted a younger generation of leaders to show up for the party.

Well, for most Democrats, there is probably no one who can imagine this role right now. Trump appeared to have been baffled by Pelosi's (or as he calls her "Nancy") deal with Pelosi and the leader of the Democratic Senate, Chuck Schumer, since the December 11 meeting in the Oval Office, ten days before the deadlock.

Pelosi was determined to make Trump understand that Congress is an equal government branch, and with this victory Trump now ironically helped to cement Pelosis's place as stronger speaker.

Call it growing pain for Trump, but it's hard for him to adapt to the new power dynamic in Washington, a wake of the Democrats who retook the parliament after the 2018 election.

2 Trump puts himself in a box

Prior to the deadlock, the President was ready to sign a contract to keep the government open at short notice, but he had no funds for a wall. And then came the backlash from some corners of conservative media.

There was another outcry on Friday. Right Website Gateway Pundit's headline after Trump's speech: "TRUMP CAVES! Finish Closing With NO WALL …"

Commentator Ann Coulter called him "the greatest eyelashes ever to serve as President of the United States." Good news for George Herbert Walker Bush: As of today, he is no longer the biggest pennant that has ever served as President of the United States.

– Ann Coulter (@AnnCoulter) January 25, 2019

] The President responded to the outcry in a tweet, "This was by no means a concession."

It's very unlikely the Trump base will give up. Previous predictions have failed. And many callers who were included in conservative talk radio broadcasts on Friday seemed to support the president. But Trump has done little in the two years since he became president to go beyond his base. He has alienated large parts of the country and experienced massive declines with the center.

His base might return, but his political abilities are about to be tested, as he probably needs to mitigate some of his damage Independent , And that's a box he made for himself.

3. For Trump, the closure of the government is a third rail rather than a wall to build.

Trump was badly damaged during this partial closure – the majority has accused him mostly of the Democrats; his approval rating has slipped despite his base; And many people said closing the government because of Wall funding was not a good idea or strategy.

Now there is a break, and there are three weeks to find a long-term solution, but the president will now be more careful in shutting down the government? There is a reason that after the shutdown of 1995-1996, which is now the second longest shutdown in history, there was no shutdown for nearly 20 years.

4. Does Trump lay the groundwork for a bold move?

If the president can not find an agreement in the next three weeks, pull the trigger and call a "national emergency" to fund a wall? [19659035FACTCHECK:CanTrumpetUsetheWallofEmergencyResistance?"”/>

He found that he could do this during his speech on Friday from the Rose Garden in the White House.

"I have a very powerful alternative," Trump said, "but I did not want to use it now." He added, "I think we have a chance, yes, I think we have a good chance [to get a deal]we will work and negotiate with the Democrats, and if we can not do that, then we will – Of course we will do the emergency, because that's what it is, it's a national emergency. "

That could be associated with its own political consequences and could not stand trial – another loss the President likes would avoid. 19659008] 5. After giving the government back, do Democrats at least do some things against the wall?

Parliament spokeswoman Nancy Pelosi and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer answer questions about an announced end to the government's closure on Friday.

Win McNamee / Getty Images

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House spokeswoman Nancy Pelosi and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer answer questions about an announced end to the government's riot on Friday.

Win McNamee / Getty Images

The Democrats had agreed to offer a big pot of money, which could be as much as $ 5.7 billion or more for border security funding from the Department of Homeland Security. This could have included money for new fences or repairs, and Schumer pointed out that Friday there are numerous measures that can support Democrats – drug testing, ports for immigration security and humanitarian needs.

But whether or what is a wall and how it can be built is very open to debate and interpretation.

Pelosi was asked for wall money on Friday after Trump's announcement and she said, "Was not I free on a wall? Okay, no, I was very clear on the wall."

She has said so far, said nothing to more than $ 1 for a "wall". But can Democrats say "no" indefinitely? So far, Polling has been strongly on the side of the Democrats during the deadlock, but there was at least one number that should give them cause. CBS found that 52 percent believe Democrats should accept a budget that includes money for a wall.

6. The Americans' eyes may have been a bit open to what the government is doing.

During this deadlock, the costs and consequences of a standstill have become clear. Federal employees and contractors across the country who were not paid were directly affected. And there were other crises for the economy – think landlords and small businesses serving these workers are worried about their own bills.

Americans are generally separate from the government, but large majorities said the closure was over – the garbage was amassed and closed in national parks DC museums – was "embarrassing"

7. Expect attack lines 2020 Democrats

Trump also gave 2020 Democrat openings – in terms of competence and empathy. Trump's fluctuations in the negotiations show that he is hardly a protagonist of The Art of the Deal .

Trump's Secretary of Commerce Wilbur Ross commented that he did not understand why some state workers go out to eat pantries and borrowing loans also gave Democrats a gift.

"It's really hard for some in the administration to understand how people live paychecks and how small some of their livelihoods are," Pelosi said Friday after Trump spoke. 19659008] Expect Democrats to look into the White House in 2020 to similarly campaign for this and call the Trump administration one of the non-contact multimillionaires and billionaires (a key theme in Elizabeth Warren's early election messages ). This is a picture that Republicans have come to grips with over the past presidential years, and Ross's comments do not help.

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