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There are 100 days to the intermediate election. Here is something to see



Democrats need a net profit of 23 seats to wrest republican control of the house. And they need a net profit of two seats to reach a majority in the Senate, although the road to that number is difficult.

Trump received gratifying news on Friday announcing that the US economy has grown 4.1% second quarter, the best figure since 2014. Trump will certainly make this growth a part of his middle class voters ,

But despite a strong economy, the problems of the GOP in Trump's declining approval rating and the Democrats' lead in the general congress are obviously voting. They are even harsher when Democratic candidates surprise the Republicans in most competitions.

But the biggest problem for the GOP ̵

1; which has prevailed in special elections in the last year – are Democratic voters (19659005) The Republicans have split up: some rely on Trump's call to leave their base while others are looking for ways to dissociate themselves from a president who is with moderate unpopularity and independent voters and has triggered a fierce backlash against the left.

Trump has urged Republicans to focus on fundamental issues such as the immigration that the President has left Democrats for most of the year, accusing them of open borders and encouragement to gang violence. The Democrats are focusing on the attack on Republican health legislation and are trying to lift Obamacare, two positions that are unpopular with moderate voters.

Here are five key topics for the next 100 days:

Democratic Performance in Special Elections

Democrats Are Heated

A recent study by Pew Research revealed that voter turnout – especially on the side of the Democrats – in the primaries has risen significantly. According to Pew, the total number of votes cast in Democratic primary has risen by 84% since 2014.

Yes, some of them are because there were more controversial primaries, which increases turnout. But this fuss has also spread to a number of special elections. Democrat Conor Lamb won at the beginning of the year in a suburb of Pittsburgh in a district Trump won by 20 points.

Democrat Hiral Tipirneni came within a few blue spots to a dependable red district in the suburb of Phoenix, Arizona.

The result, coupled with Lamb's victory and other strong Democratic electoral attitudes, worried Republicans.

"That should not be so close," a senior Republican said when the results arrived. "We really can not blame anything, we were killed Among the independents, it should not have been so close."

Democrats have also won at the local level by taking over Trump's White House special elections to turn 43 seats in The next test will be in a suburb of Columbus, where Democrat Danny O & Connor is looking for a lamb-like performance over Republican Troy Balderson next month to turn the reliably red district.

The Year of the Woman

[19659002] Wome They are the dominant force in democratic politics – one that crosses ancient, ethnic and ideological lines.

The anger of Women's March the day after Trump's inauguration has led to a record number of female candidates. And women win in competitive primaries.

Among the Stunts: Progressive Kara Eastman beat former MP Brad Ashford in a house primary in Nebraska; Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez ousted Republican No. 4 of the House of Representatives, MP Joe Crowley, in New York; and Amy McGrath, a fighter pilot who defeated the mayor of Lexington, Jim Gray, a top Democrat recruiter, in a house in Kentucky

Many of the winners were supported by EMILY's list, which trains female Democratic candidates for the post and financed.

But the trend goes much further than the one that stands for election.

Women favor Democratic candidates for parliament by 25 points – they help the Democrats in the general vote, where respondents are asked if they would prefer a Democratic or Republican member of Congress to represent them, a poll found University of Quinnipiac last week.

The most drastic change in the suburban areas could be insurmountable to Republicans in some districts, much as the rise of rural voters helped propel Trump into the White House two years ago.

Trump's tariffs inflict republican fears

This raises another problem for the Republicans: these rural voters do not like it to be ro

Trump's plan to impose tariffs on countries If he believes that they have treated the United States unfairly, China, the European Union, Canada and Mexico have created trade war ational disputes and, in some cases, imposed retaliatory tariffs. These moves shook Trump's farms and spread fears that the markets once so important to soybean farmers, pork producers and apple growers would dry up.

The President and his supporters have looked to dispute concerns on the grounds that short-term pain is worth the long-term gain.

But the Republicans commissioned to hold the House in 2018 are increasingly worried that trade fears might otherwise dampen good business news. The Republican Party still dominates rural America, and there is little in the democratic horizon to gain power but the fear among Republican activists is that voters who were once encouraged to stay with the president will stay in November.

An Attitude on Trump, Democratic Presidential Candidates Test Road Message

Ask a Democrat in Trump in 2020 to consider their prospects and they will say they are focused on the Midterms.

And th to some extent is true. The nearly two dozen Democrats, rumored to have presided over a presidential race, have flooded the country with support, fundraising and events, hoping that their work will impress democratic activists and be favored by lawmakers.

But these Democrats, like Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren, Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders and Vice President Joe Biden, to name just three, also sharpen their news broadcast before a potential run and use the Midterms to test their vision of the party they want to lead.

"I do not talk about Clinton voters or Trump voters. I do not talk about white workers and black workers and Latino workers. I talk about workers and I talk about voters," said Senator Sherrod Brown, a Democrat Ohio, about his party earlier this year

Sanders, for example, used his star power to support liberal candidates, some of whom are not supported by the democratic establishment. Californian Senator Kamala Harris has also focused on Democrats of Color, and Biden has used his claim to the Obama cloak to support the Democratic heavyweights and call more in his party to reach Trump voters.

is a massive increase, "Warren said earlier this year," and while we'd rather talk about great ideas, we can not scale this hill by ignoring millions of Americans who are angry and afraid of the damage that this President and this Republican Party have inflicted on our democracy. We can not ignore And we should not ignore it. "

In November, too, there are post-2020 factors: 36 governorships are on the ballot this year, including 26 for states with republican governors, and the Democrats are hoping to pick up more of these seats, which in many countries will put them off It is a technical problem, but with consequences for the control of Congress for the next decade.

Unregulated Senate card

Most uncertainty 100 days from the middle of the Time is about the Senate landscape – where many of the most competitive states are largely rural and have voted Trump in 2016.

There are at least nine major battlegrounds – with six pick-up opportunities for Republicans and three for Democrats.

The Heidi Heitkamp of North Dakota, Joe Donnelly of Indiana, Claire McCask appear to be the most vulnerable Democrats Ill in Missouri and Bill Nelson in Florida. Montana Sen. Jon Tester and West Virginia Senator Joe Manchin also have tough races in their hands.

One thing most of these states have in common is that they are rural, meaning that the effects of Trump's trade wars are likely to be felt by farmers, who are mostly Trump, first.

Another factor that is great in Senate races is the fight over the ratification of Brett Kavanaugh before the Supreme Court. Republicans see a court battle as a way to activate a wacky base – but with the timing of a vote uncertain, it's not clear how strong an electoral issue will be.

Democrats are meanwhile focusing on the Republican displacement, Senator Dean Heller of Nevada – the only competitive Senate seat in a state that Hillary Clinton won in 2016 – and she won open-seat races in Arizona and Tennessee where the moderate Message from former governor Phil Bredesen has helped him attract Republicans

To see: Texas, where Republican senator Ted Cruz stands in front of a fund-raising juggernaut in Rep. Beto O'Rourke. Surveys have shown Cruz a steady lead, but O & Rourke has raised more than $ 10 million through online donors in small dollars in the second quarter of 2018 and will be able to afford a pretty nasty campaign.


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