JACKSONVILLE, Fla. – The National Hurricane Center's forecast for the next tropical storm at 11am suggests that Dorian will be close to hurricane strength when approaching Puerto Rico on Wednesday.
Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic are under hurricane observation and tropical storm warnings for Martinique and St. Vincent and the Grenadines as the Doric tropical storm approaches. Tropical storm Dorian has maximum sustained winds around 80km / h Tuesday morning and is expected to pick up in the next 48 hours and narrowly pass under the hurricane on Wednesday near or south of the US territory.
"There are still no significant changes to the previous forecast or argument," NHC announced in its latest report.
This means another route south of Puerto Rico and then interacting with a possible landing in the Dominican Republic on Wednesday night.
The big question in the forecast is how strong the storm will be on land and mountains on Thursday as it passes by Hispaniola. The interaction can tear the storm. There is also some dry air directly behind the island, which could further undermine the storm.
If these factors do not greatly affect Dorian, we will face a tropical storm on the weekend of Labor Day that travels across the Bahamas to southern or central Florida. When it falls apart, remember that the moisture is being transported further and further to Florida.
The latest adaptation of Dorian's tropical storm forecast keeps him stronger for a while, but remains under the hurricane on his way through the Caribbean.
Monday night, a Hurricane Hunter plane found a weaker storm than expected. Dry air surrounding the storm prevents it from quickly strengthening. Many of the models, including the EURO, weaken the low on Wednesday night into an open wave before approaching the Greater Antilles.
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While observing #TropicalStormDorian closely, all East Coast residents should prepare for heavy rains. This includes removing clogged areas or debris around your home and in gutters to prevent water damage to your property. #FLPrepares
̵1; FL Division of Emergency Management (@FLSERT) August 27, 2019
Islands already affected
The storm quenched the energy overnight in Barbados, where crews began clearing deforested trees early Tuesday and repair the power grid. Jackie Marshall-Clarke, a spokeswoman for Barbados Light & Power, said on state television that many communities in the northern region of the island are out of power.
Government officials said that on Tuesday morning, public transport would be resumed and business reopened.
Interior Minister Edmund Hinkson said Dorian "should be weakened, and that's great news, but we're not out of danger yet."
The storm was expected to drop between 3 and 6 inches of rain on the Windward Islands with sporadic amounts of 10 inches.
Tropical storm watches were in force for Dominica, Grenada, Saba, St. Eustatius and parts of the Dominican Republic from Isla Saona to Punta Palenque and from Samaná to Puerto Plata.
In St. Lucia, Prime Minister Allen Chastanet said, "we expect the worst," announcing that everything on the island will be shut down by nearly 179,000 people on Monday night before the storm, but it remained under the hurricane on early Tuesday ,
In Puerto Rico, some grocery stores were out of water when people rushed to buy supplies including generators and fill their cars with petrol. Many are worried about power outages and heavy rains on an island that are still struggling to recover from Hurricane Maria, a Category 4 storm that broke out in September 2017. Around 30,000 houses still have blue tarpaulins as roofs, and the power grid is still fragile and prone to failure even during short showers.
"The biggest problem will be the rain," said Roberto García, a National Weather Service forecaster in Puerto Rico.
On Monday, Puerto Rican Governor Wanda Vázquez signed a Declaration of Emergency Decree and provided a list of all new appliances purchased by public authorities since Hurricane Maria.
"I want everyone to feel calm," she said. "The agency's directors have been preparing for the last two years, and Maria's experience has been a great lesson for everyone."
She said public schools would close on Tuesday afternoon and that at least one cruise ship would have canceled its trip to Puerto Rico. She said that those who do not have a proper roof can sleep in one of the 360 shelters on the island.
Also on Monday, a new tropical depression formed between the US Baltic Sea coast and Bermuda. It was located approximately 365 miles southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, moving east at a speed of 2 miles per hour and a maximum steady wind speed of 35 miles per hour. It is expected to become a tropical storm by Tuesday night, with the US East Coast continuing on its way to the Canadian North Atlantic Provinces this week.
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