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Home / US / Trump Approval rating has dropped, having slipped with its base: NPR

Trump Approval rating has dropped, having slipped with its base: NPR



President Trump's approval drops and is mainly due to cracks in his base.

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The approval of President Trump falls, and this is mainly due to cracks in his base.

Win McNamee / Getty Images

With the longest government deadlock in US history, President Trump's approval has dropped and his base is cracking.

A recent poll by NPR / PBS NewsHour / Marist rated Trump's approval and his refusal of one month ago. He stands at 39 percent, 53 against – a net change of 7 points from December, when his rating was 42 percent, – 49 percent rejected it.

And the move came from key areas of its base. He is:

  • Among the men in the suburbs dropped significantly, a net positive approval rating of 51 to 39 percent to a net negative of 42 percent agreed, 48 percent opposed it. That's a net change of 18 percentage points.
  • Among the white evangelicals this was a net of 13 points, from 73 to 17 percent voted 66 to 23 percent.
  • A net result of 10 points Republican, [90,990,112] from 90 to 7 percent advocating 83 to 10 percent;
  • Slipped slightly for white men without a college degree, from 56 to 34 percent for 50 to 35 percent a net change down from 7 points.

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"For the first time, we saw a fairly consistent pattern in which its base showed signs of cracking," said Lee Miringoff, director of the Marist Institute for Public Opinion. "I do not know if this is temporary – tied to the closure of the government – or a bigger problem that the president has."

The percentage of people who now say that they reject the job that the president does is highest for President Trump at up to 45 percent since December 2017.

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2020 headwind

The president also has considerable headwinds in reelection in 2020. Only 30 percent of registered voters say would definitely vote for Trump 2020. 57 percent said they would definitely vote against against him.

Only 76 percent of Trump supporters, 69 percent of Republicans and 58 percent of White Evangelicals say they will definitely vote for him. Many, if not most, are likely to vote for the president, but their gentle support for reelection is a sign of vulnerability.

Asked about then-President Barack Obama in 2010, only 36 percent said they would definitely vote for him, while 48 percent said that they would not do this. Obama won with 51 percent of the vote.

But if Trump says more than half of the country will definitely not vote for him, that means he faces a difficult re-election.

"The President had his base and not much else," said Miringoff, "and if you look at the election, he's at a considerable disadvantage and his chances of re-election would definitely be in jeopardy." [19659008] Trump has a lot to do to reunite the coalition, which in 2016 was just barely voted into the electoral college electoral victory. He lost the referendum with nearly 3 million votes and won only 46 percent of the vote. He won with around 70,000 votes between Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan, all the states that had turned away from the President during his first two years in office.

The Field of Democrats

What Trump Former Vice-President Joe Biden would prevail over the Democratic field in terms of hiring Democratic voters compared to other countries.

Biden is the Democrat's best-known potential candidate and is very popular – 76 percent of them Democrats and Democratic Independents have a positive impression of him. Only twelve percent have a negative attitude.

"When he gets in, he'll automatically be in the front line with numbers like this," said Miringoff. "He will be the candidate with whom you have to work your way into the mix and compete with him."

Barbara Carvalho, Electoral Leader, added, "It's unusual to see a candidate who has been part of the Washington scene for such a long time, you have such a low, unfavorable rating."

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Bernie Sanders, the main challenger of 2016 nominated Hillary Clinton, is known, but between 1-in-3 and 1-in-4 Democrats have a negative attitude towards him. There are many questions as to whether, four years later, with the Democrats now having so much more options, Sanders can keep his base of activist supporters together.

The Massachusetts Senator, Elizabeth Warren, has almost as high a score as Sanders, but is not considered negative. Others may also be well positioned. Cory Booker from New Jersey, Texan MP Beto O'Rourke and Californian Senator Kamala Harris are in the next class and can stand out if they leave a good impression when voters get to know them.

However, the survey is not good news for all potential Democratic competitors. The Democratic primary does not seem to be prepared for a billionaire. The former mayor of New York, Michael Bloomberg, weighs a run, and the democrats are evenly divided, while about half have yet formed an opinion.

A Primary Challenge for Trump [19659008] There was talk of a primary challenge for President Trump, but there is no candidate with special support.

The governors of Ohio, John Kasich and Mitt Romney, are considered unfavorable by Republicans and Republican supporters – 24 percent Kasich welcomes him favorably, 28 percent see him unfavorable; 29 percent see Romney positive, while 48 percent rate Romney negative.

Romney was an outspoken critic of Trump, and the GOP base does not seem to appreciate this.

"There is no strong support" for one primary challenge to Trump, Miringoff said. "Kasich is not known, and Romney is not popular."

Compromising

At this shutdown, 59 percent say they blame mainly President Trump or the Republicans of Congress for doing so.

And more than 6 in 10 are in the mood for a compromise – 63 percent said they want their elected officials to compromise with people they disagree with rather than stick to their positions including a majority of Republicans. Only 31 percent said overall that they want their elected officials to hold their positions no matter what.

percent), Trump supporters (53 percent), Latinos (55 percent) and Gen Xers (56 percent) least say that they want their elected officials to compromise.

"People are looking for a compromise right now," said Miringoff.

But neither side is considered very good – 57 percent believe the Trump government is doing too little to work with Democrats in Congress; 55 percent believe that Democrats are not doing enough to work with the administration.

Neither party makes a very good impression. Only about one-third of Americans rate congressional Democrats positively (34 percent), while a majority (53 percent) reject their work.

An even smaller number (29 percent) rated the congressional republicans as positive, and they see it as negative (58 percent).

The survey of 1,023 adults was conducted by The Marist Poll for NPR and the PBS NewsHour from January 10 to 13. Results for all Americans have an error rate of +/- 3.8 percentage points. 324 republican or republican independents were interviewed. If referred to, there is an error rate of +/- 6.8 percentage points. 417 Democrats and Democratic Independents were interviewed. If referred to, there is an error rate of +/- 6 percentage points.


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