The US has reached 200,000 deaths from the coronavirus. Now experts are looking ahead and the forecast for autumn and winter is not good.
According to a USA TODAY analysis of Johns Hopkins data, cases in Montana, Utah, Wisconsin and Wyoming have peaked as states grapple with restaurant, small business and school openings. Social distancing fatigue and controversy over who to wear masks loom for COVID-19 cases and deaths later this year.
In March, President Donald Trump said keeping the death toll at 100,000 to 200,000 would indicate that his administration “did a very good job.” As the number continued to rise, Trump tried to reshape the meaning of the death record.
“If we didn’t do our job, it would be three and a half, two and a half, maybe three million people,” Trump said on Friday, relying on extreme predictions about what could have happened if nothing had been done about the pandemic. “We have done phenomenal work on COVID-19.”
COVID-19 deaths topped projections from May, when experts from the University of Washington’s Institute of Health Metrics and Evaluation forecast about 180,000 deaths by October. This model predicts 378,000 deaths by January. The US hit 100,000 cases in May.
Public health experts are concerned that more lives are at risk as the country nears the start of flu season, which kills tens of thousands each year.
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“I find it difficult to imagine a positive scenario where things will get better in October and November,” he said DR. John Swartzberg, Professor Emeritus of Infectious Diseases and Vaccine at the University of California-Berkeley. “I don’t see any adequate change in behavior. I don’t see any tests booting up. I see political winds continue to suppress the right things. “
Dr. James Fortenberry, chief medical officer at Children’s Healthcare in Atlanta, explains what parents should look out for when children go back to school.
Featuring: Jorge L. Ortiz and Joshua Bote, USA TODAY; Julie Pace, The Associated Press
Follow Adrianna Rodriguez on Twitter: @AdriannaUSAT.
US TODAY health and patient safety coverage is made possible in part by a grant from the Masimo Foundation for Ethics, Innovation and Competition in Healthcare. The Masimo Foundation does not provide any editorial contributions.
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