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Trump rallies for Republicans, but does not find "signs" in some races

WASHINGTON – When Senator Bill Nelson and Andrew Gillum, who ran for the governor, entered Florida on Monday in Florida, former Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. had come to Jacksonville and Tampa to crowd the Democrats the ballot boxes to go What are two of the country's toughest contested races?

Also in Texas, the early vote began, and here President Trump spoke in an NBA with 18,000-seat Arena. But he garnered support in a pair of less competitive races: the re-election campaigns of Senator Ted Cruz and Governor Greg Abbott.

Strikingly absent from the hoarse festivities at the Houston Toyota Center, where thousands also gathered outside, was the local Republican Congressman trapped in a difficult campaign: John Culberson, whose well-heeled neighborhood is full of moderates shy away from Mr. Trump.

The split screen between Florida and Texas – one of the main presidential battlefields in the country, the other a pillar of conservative strength – neatly recorded Mr. Trump's role in the fall campaign. He is often removed from the center of action, shunned by many of his party's most vulnerable House candidates, but still in command of enthusiastic audiences on a scale rarely seen in an interim election. Mr. Trump exaggerated the campaign with tactics such as attacking the migrant caravan, but it also dissolves.

Two weeks before the election all are counted Englisch: www.moviesfilmonline.com / en / movies / oliver – twist of some of the races that could determine who controls the house.

Polls show that this president is more than a factor in the calculations of voters – pro and con – as his predecessors, Trump has avoided large parts of the country. The entire Pacific coast, much of the northeast, and large inner cities like Chicago, Minneapolis and Kansas City, where Republican lawmakers do not want to be seen with him, are virtually no-go zones.

He is hardly the first president whose unpopularity has limited his campaign travel – there were many candidates who did not want to appear with the Oval Office's last two inmates. But rarely has there been such a collision between the vanity of a president and the political reality he faces. Mr. Trump is as much of a celebrity as a politician, and he wants his rallies, nominally about the incumbent in the city, to match the hype of other world-famous celebrities.

Representative Kevin Cramer of North Dakota, whom Mr. Trump personally hired against Senator Heidi Heitkamp, ​​told of the many conversations he had had with the President about the stadiums of his stadium and said that Mr. Trump was the FargoDome of the North Dakota State University had in mind.

"Do you know how many arenas I beat Elton John's record?" "Mr. Cramer remembers that Mr. Trump told him."

The president's goals also reflect the competing impulses of his advisors. The political leader of the White House, Bill Stepien, and his colleagues are keen to gather as many seats in the House of Representatives as they can, no matter how small the market to which they must send the president to, people say. but the manager who is waiting for Trump's 2020 campaign, Brad Parscale and his allies are anxious to increase the president's political power before his re-election offer and collect as many mobile phone numbers and emails as possible – and so rather overflowing big cities like the home of the NBA Rockets in Houston

So, after his drunken rally in the country's fourth-largest city Monday, Mr. Trump on Saturday, on the penultimate weekend before the election, finds himself in Murphysboro, Illinois, a city of 7,568 inhabitants, where Representative Mike Bost could use a lift in a district closer to Memphis than Chicago.

Senator Mitch McConnell, the majority leader, said the president The route recalled the tight schedule of former President George W. Bush in 2006, when he was even more unpopular in the Iraq war than Mr. Trump.

"We could almost bring him nowhere," said Mr. McConnell remembering Mr. Bush. "He only went to the places where he was still in good shape."

The Senate card is friendlier for Mr. Trump. The hardest-fought races take place in states where Mr. Trump is popular, or at least not as venomous as he is in some home districts.

Mr. McConnell praised him for being "ready to go where he needed to go," and the president was heavily in demand for Senate campaigns, where Republicans have only a single majority.

"I've counted once more," said Mr. Cramer, who according to surveys leads in his bid against Mrs. Heitkamp.

Hardly Alone: ​​Other Republicans Involved in Many of the Most Competitive Senate Races Also Call for a Final Visit by Air Force One Before Election Day to Motivate Pro-Trump Voters

"The President is the Trump Map in Montana, "said Senator Steve Daines, a Republican hoping to defeat the other state senator, Jon Tester, a Democrat. "Another visit from him just before election day will be G.O.P.'s involvement and support for Matt Rosendale," he said, referring to Mr. Tester's challenger.

Most of the president's hour-plus appearances are one-man shows: Unlike previous presidents, the candidate of the hour is given the microphone by Mr. Trump just briefly during his monologue. Strategists involved in the campaigns have even begun to judge how long it takes in his remarks before the president mentions the race in question and starts attacking the Democrats on the ballot, which is the 30 seconds of footage they do Trump's desire to fill arenas often overrules the preference of the candidate he is supposed to help. When he visited Pennsylvania earlier this month to support Senator Lou Barletta's Senate campaign, for example, the president decided to appear in Erie rather than Pittsburgh, even though Barletta's campaign favored Pittsburgh. They said they were pleased, even the president to have.

However, for other Republican legislators and activists, the Trump rallies are simply dangers that must be avoided. In some home races, the president has been forced to appear in second cities – Topeka instead of Kansas City, or Rochester instead of Minneapolis – because the incumbents are trying to convince their suburban voters that they are independent of Mr. Trump.

"They are between a rock and a hard place," said Thomas M. Davis III, a former Republican congressman from Virginia, about trying to balance appeals from senior anti-Trump voters and party fundamentalists.

The president plans a trip to Fort Myers next week and could re-elect before the election return to Florida, but it is unclear whether Mr. Scott will appear at the rally feature the Republican candidate for governor, Ron DeSantis It should be noted that the election campaigns for Governor and Senator are extremely close in the manner typical of Florida.

Western wing officials said they would pay attention to what the governor is doing, and one of Mr. Trump's loudest voices allies in Florida urged Mr. Scott to show himself when the president comes to the campaign.

"I would definitely urge the governor to join us to rally the troops when early voting begins," said Representative Matt Gaetz

A Mr. Scott spokesman did not answer questions about his plans, but the counselors The Governor's were reluctant to have him on stage because of the President's preference for turning away from the screenplay and making inflammatory comments. And as Mr. Trump removes his rhetoric against immigrants and Mr. Nelson associates Mr. Scott with the President in Spanish-language ads, these sensitivities are even more acute.

A senior Republican official with connections to Mr. Trump and Mr. Scott predicted that the governor would likely use his role in the cleanup after Hurricane Michael as cover to avoid political events – but this official evicted One that the governor would probably come without any other excuse to bypass the risk of standing next to the always unpredictable president.

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