LONDON – The alarms are flashing, the abyss is approaching – but can not Britain overthrow the European Union?
After legislators rejected the government's Brexit deal three times and failed twice If you agree on another option, Britain has only 10 days to come up with a new plan or break out of the EU.
A look at what might happen next:
Michel Barnier, who has done so, has been the chief Brexit negotiator for the other 27 EU countries and warned that a " No-deal-Brexit "due to political deadlock in the UK" likely ".
Earlier this month, the EU agreed to postpone the original Brexit appointment in March 29, but only gave Britain time to work out a new plan and go for a further extension or to withdraw without an agreement or transitional period until April 1
Most politicians, economists and business groups believe they are leaving the world The largest trading bloc without an agreement would be Damag for the EU and catastrophic for the UK. This would result in tariffs on trade between the UK and the EU, customs controls which could lead to a standstill in ports and could trigger a shortage of essential goods.
A hard core of the Brexite legislators in The Conservative Party of May reject this as "project anxiety" and argue for a "clean Brexit". But most legislators are against leaving without a deal. Parliament has repeatedly voted to exclude a "no-deal-brexit" – however, it remains the default position if a deal is not approved, Brexit is repealed or the EU grants another extension to Britain.
May says the only way to guarantee Britain not to leave the EU without an agreement means that Parliament supports its deal, which the legislature has already rejected three times.
If Parliament does not allow it, it could take drastic measures, such as overthrowing the government or enacting laws to force them to avoid the no -deal – although these are risky and tricky options.
MAIS UNDEAD DEAL
After nearly two years of negotiations, Britain and the EU have signed a divorce agreement in November, setting out the conditions of departure from the bloc and giving a rough outline of future relationships.
However, the legislator on both sides of the Brexit split has flatly rejected this. The pro-Brexit legislator believes that Britain is too tightly bound by EU rules. Pro-EU legislators argue that it is worse than the current status of the UK as a member of the EU.
The Parliament has thrown it out three times, although the recent defeat was the smallest to date with 58 votes. It was rejected even after May persuaded some of the Brexit legislators by pledging to end the deal if adopted.
May is considering one last push this week, arguing that Parliament's failure to support another deal is the best option available. The chances of success, however, are long.
On Monday, Parliament voted on four alternative proposals for May's rejected deal after the legislature took control of the government through the government.
Majority, but the voices showed solid support for a "soft Brexit" that would maintain close economic ties between Britain and the EU. A plan to keep Britain in an EU customs union to ensure seamless trade was rejected by only three votes.
May excluded these options as compliance with EU trade rules would limit Britain's ability to forge new trade agreements around the world.
But by adapting its agreement to introduce a Customs Union, valuable votes could be won in Parliament. It would probably also be welcomed by the EU and would allow Britain to leave the bloc in an orderly manner in the coming months.
However, it would also lead to a schism in the Conservative Party, reflecting the possible resignation of Brexit's government minister.
NEW BREXIT REFERENDUM
Parliament also rejected a proposal for a new referendum on leaving the EU or remaining whereabouts.
The proposal to publish a Brexit deal The vote in a "confirmative referendum" was rejected by 12 votes. It has been supported by opposition parties and some May conservatives – mainly those who want to stay in the bloc.
Her government has refused to hold another referendum on British EU membership, saying that voters decided in 2016 to leave. 19659003] But with departments in both Parliament and the May Cabinet, handing over the decision to the people in a new referendum could be seen as the only way forward.
The alternative to a "no-deal departure" is to postpone Brexit for at least a few months, and possibly more than a year, to dispel the chaos the EU is frustrated with the impasse and has said that it will only grant another shift if Britain presents a whole new Brexit plan.
The bloc is reluctant to allow an exiting UK to vote in the European Parliament elections of 23-26 May. However, this would have to be done if Brexit is delayed, yet EU Council President Donald Tusk has called on the bloc to give Britain a Brexit extension if it wants to change course.
A long delay increases the chances of an early one British election that could reorganize the parliament and break the deadlock.  ___
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