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The Golden State Warriors dynasty was best known for its turbocharged offenses, but it was Made possible by the support of his defensive backbone.
At the helm of Draymond Green, who revolutionized the defense game single-handedly, the warriors managed to grow small and create a fast, reversible unit that did not stand in the way of defense or rim protection.
While Green remains, Kevin Durant, Andre Iguodala and Shaun Livingston are gone, three of the team's best defenders. Golden State main defender Klay Thompson is likely to miss at least a large part of the season, if not everything.
The list of warriors has been gutted and reworked. Although D & # 39; Angelo Russell and the rest of the new supporting cast can prevent defenses throwing threes or box-and-one teams on Stephen Curry, one may wonder how The Defense will survive after all these changes.
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Defense is barely measurable and even harder to project into the future. There are too many moving parts. Too many assignments and rotations that can not be accurately summarized in statistics.
For example: Count statistics measure how many rebounds, steals and blocks a player accumulates, but they do not necessarily indicate how well a player is in rebounding, stealing or blocking shots. Too much of it is based on immeasurable factors such as luck, the effectiveness of teammates on the field, and what the player's defense scheme dictates. Adjusting pace and ownership helps, but no one argues with his friends at a bar about stealing rates.
Speed-adjusted stats like the defensive rating help shed some light on the picture. However, they are again based on the success of the team and therefore do not always show whether a player is good or bad.
All-in-one tools like Box Plus Minus or RPM bring us one step closer, and all these colors give a pretty complete picture.
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The new statistics from FiveThirtyEight DRAYMOND short for Defensive Rating give us an idea of how often a defender influences the ability of an offensive player to achieve an open shot while restricting his field.
"There is one significant discovery we made while playing around with the opponent's shot data: the idea of minimizing openness." The main aim of the defensive firing, especially in today's era of the body-centered offensive with forward ball movements, is to really minimize the chance of an open shot, "wrote Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight.
An alternative, the percentage of the goal difference, is a bit loud and does not accurately measure whether a defender is doing his job. all it measures is whether the offensive player made or missed his shot. Process vs. Result.
"When an opponent gets hot against your team on the way to 130 points and scores 53 for 91, we know that your team has defended poorly overall, but we do not know which players are to blame," wrote Silver.
Just because this model points to deficiencies in other methods of quantification of defense does not mean that it has no inherent deficiencies. But it's a fancy new toy to play with.
Although it is not predicted how these new warriors will be defensive in the next season, some concerns about the removal of four of the six best defenders in the team are reiterated. they go from elite to just fine.
plus-3.16 ) of every player who has logged at least 10,000 possessions in this metric since the 2013/14 season, his plus of 1.76 last year was equated to the 30th in the league last year.
Looney was the team's best DRAYMOND defender, but played only 18.5 minutes per game in 2018-19. While the 23-year-old center is more in line with the Warriors' Youth Movement, the lack of quality of the wing defenders prevents them from using the scheme, which made them special at first – when they hugged Green pushed the middle position.
Despite the DRAYMOND statistic's positive mark, the Dz Angelo Russell marquee addition is unlikely to improve them in the defensive sector. He has never scored as a plus-back. His DRAYMOND rating since the 2013-14 season is negative, and he had a minus-0.5 defensive BPM last year and his minus-0.57 defensive RPM was 52. under the point guards. He has a long span of 6 "10" which helped him reach his 1.9% theft rate and his 0.6% block rate last year, but he must join the defense system Buy and learn to defend themselves a championship level for the warriors to carry their dynasty into the next era.
This next era is as undefined as since the warriors' competition for championships began, and the lack of a defensive identity can be The biggest challenge facing the warrior he has to deal with is that this change from the championship days can lead to a rejuvenation, with Green taking on a higher level during the regular season rather than keeping him for the playoffs
] Ultimately, their upper limit, especially on the defensive side, is not that high, but it is with the youth they added to Curry and Green the warriors in the hope that their title window, even if they are not so elitist, stays a little longer open.
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All statistics from Basketball Reference or ESPN.com, unless stated otherwise.