Former Vice President Joe Biden, Senator Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) And Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) Are the strongest runners-up, with Biden leading the pack with 17 points (56-39 percent) stands. , Warren by 15 points (55 to 40 percent) and Sanders by 14 points (55 to 41 percent).
South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg and Senator Kamala D. Harris (D-Calif.) The other two Democrats tested against Trump are also leading the presidential election, with Buttigieg up 52 percent 41
percent and Harris 51 percent to 42 percent ahead.
The survey reflects national results. Other polls in the states, which are expected to play an outsized role in the competition in 2020, have shown tougher races, especially in parts of the upper Midwest, which Trump deprived of the Democrats in 2016. A departure from Trump since Summer, when only Biden had a clear advantage over the established company. With Republicans and Democrats largely sticking to their electoral intentions, the biggest difference between the July results and the results of the new poll is that independents have switched to Democratic candidates.
A joker is any impact that results The impeachment process could affect public opinion. The current poll was concluded shortly before Parliament voted party-politically on the formalization of the investigation.
While the process is turning into public hearings in the House of Representatives, many expect it to be impeachment proceedings against the President and then a court case in the Federal Court In the Senate, both sides will be looking for cracks in the coalitions of Trump and its challengers ,
National profit margins in the new poll, if they were to last for another year, would likely lead to an electoral victory for the Democrats, possibly outnumbering the nearly 3-million-vote lead, Hillary Clinton 2016 vs. Trump Three states that had been strongholds of the Democratic president for a long time – Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin – while easily winning Ohio and Iowa, which had been swing countries in the recent elections 9002] According to country-specific polls, Trump's job Approval rate is often higher than at national level, which points to the challenges for Democrats in their efforts to win back the White House next year. Although the President is not in a comfortable position, the Democrats, despite the referendum, may still have limited opportunities and some obstacles to winning an electoral college majority.
Trump runs despite the generally positive assessments of the Democrats behind the Democratic candidate economy. A majority (44 percent) of Americans say the economy has improved since Trump took office, twice as many say it has deteriorated (22 percent). About a third say that the economy has remained roughly the same.
Of those who say they've gotten better, more than three out of four Trump give a lot or a good loan amount. Of those who say it has gotten worse, more than eight out of ten have blamed Trump.
Trump balances the benefits of the economy and gets negative views on a number of attributes. Just over 3 in 10 or 31 percent say that he is honest and trustworthy and achieves the lowest result of his presidency. Just over 36 percent say he has the personality and temperament needed to effectively serve as president. In both cases, just under 2 out of 3 voters did not approve. These results are almost in line with the results of a poll in October 2016 just before he won the presidency.
On other issues, 37 percent say Trump understands the problems of "people like you", 40 percent say he's good at it, political agreements and 42 percent state that he made the necessary changes to Washington.
Overall, these results are low for an incumbent president, but Trump has proven he has overcome them in 2016, and his allies believe he can do so again in 2020.
So far, Trump has tried in the election campaign to inspire his former followers instead of trying to extend his reach beyond the already loyal elements of the electorate. However, the poll shows that he is feeling worse now than in the 2016 elections, where not only white college voters but also political independents were present. Both groups contributed to the power of his victory. In 2016, according to an analysis by the Pew Research Center, he won White by a margin of 36 points, but he tops Biden by half at the latest – 18 points – among registered voters in this post-ABC group -Survey.
Trump won only marginally self-identified independents (46 to 42 percent) in 2016, according to the National Election Pool Exit poll, but is 17 points behind Biden in the last post-ABC poll
Trump also receives less consistent support among Republican voters – 80 percent in the current poll compared to 88 percent in the 2016 Exit poll. With the recent elections, Trump would likely find support from the Republicans in a re-election campaign.
As other indicators, including fundraising and activism, have shown, voter intensity is high one year after the election. About 8 out of 10 adults say they will definitely vote in the 2020 elections, and it hardly seems to make a difference whether the Democratic candidate is Biden, Warren, or Sanders. Similarly large majorities of Democrats and Republicans say they will definitely vote, regardless of the Democratic challenger.
Persons between the ages of 18 and 29 are more likely to say that they could skip the ballot if the candidate were Biden or Warren – 34 percent, or 38 percent – than if the candidate were Sanders (22 percent). Voters in other age groups indicate they are less likely to skip the poll next year.
Biden expands his national lead over Trump with the support of female voters. He and Trump are equally represented in men with 47 percent. But Biden flooded the president among women by 64 to 33 percent. Every tested democrat receives at least 59 percent of women.
Among the Whites, all five Democrats win among those with a college degree, which helps lessen Trump's advantage over those without a college degree. Among the non-whites, the Democratic candidates are far ahead of the president.
The ABC survey was conducted by telephone on October 27 and 30, using a random national sample of 1,003 adults, of whom 65 percent were mobile and 35 percent were fixed. The sample error rate for adult outcomes is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. The error rate is four points out of 876 registered voters.