After the first round of the NCAA 2019 tournament – through 32 of the tournament's 63 games – there are still 16 perfect brackets in all major online games.
For reference, the longest we've ever seen is 39 consecutive games that took place in 2017.
This is the fourth year in which we are tracking tens of millions of brackets in the largest online bracket games in the country, including our Bracket Challenge game . , ESPN, CBS, Yahoo, Fox and Sports Illustrated to see when the last perfect mount breaks. Or you know, if someone gets the first detectable perfect mount. But we reckon with the former.
The first two days had some surprises, but surprisingly, there are still perfect parentheses. We now know the following:
The Perfect NCAA Bracket Tracker
FRIDAY, MARCH 22
We started the tournament in 201
- 12:33 AM: The fourteen-headed Virginia Tech held the thirteen-headed St. Louis by the arm. We have taken out two more of our 18 brackets, so we have a total of 16 and go to the second round.
- 11:59 PM: 9-seeds UCF had no problems with 8-seed VCU and 11-seed The state of Ohio disturbed the 6-seed state of Iowa. These games were fairly evenly distributed on our perfect braces. After 31 games we only have 18 perfect brackets.
- CBS: 2
- BCG: 2
- Illustrated Sports: 0
- Fox: 0
- ESPN: 48
- Yahoo: 8
- CBS: 6
- BCG: 4
- SI: 0
- Fox: 0
THURSDAY, MARCH 21
Review: The first game of the NCAA tournament of 2019 – the victory of ten seed Minnesota on the 7-seed Louisville – lowered our total number of perfect brackets of 100 Percent to 31 percent. And the number dropped further. The 12-seed Murray State win over 5-seed Marquette conceded the field from 12.8 percent to 4.9 percent. The 7-seed Wofford's victory over the 10-seed Seton Hall fell below 1 percent for the first time. At the end of the tournament's first 16 games, we ended up with only 0.26 percent of our millions of braces that stayed perfect. The main group of Sports Illustrated had only 23 perfect brackets, ESPN was below 2 percent and Yahoo and CBS did not report numbers. We'll get a much better idea of the total number if we have a few more games available today on Day 2. Stay tuned.
- 12:12 AM: Purdue beats Old Dominion in the last game of the night, and that makes us 0.26 percent.
- 12:01 AM: Michigan ran through Montana, and Baylor crashed Syracuse, leaving our number of perfect braces at just 0.27 percent.
- 11:53 PM: Wofford saw Fletcher Magee first become in Division I of the 3-Point series when they set Seton Hall down, and we saw that our total number of perfect brackets was the first Time this year fell below 1%. Only 0.77 percent of our brackets are still perfect in 13 games.
- 21:42 PM: Villanova survived a fear of St. Mary, but that was not too surprising for our perfect Bracket Corps at 2.35 percent.
- 9:38 PM: ESPN reports that they look back on 2.3% perfect braces that persist in 10 games. The result of Gonzaga-Fairleigh Dickinson is not one of them, but we can assume that the needle has not moved much.
- 9:30 PM: Gonzaga blew past 16-seed Fairleigh Dickinson and our brackets barely noticed it. We sit in 11 games at 2.85 percent.
- 21:14 PM: Kentucky tore down Abilene Christian while Florida staged a late run in Nevada. While the BCG users in Kentucky were fairly confident, the game between Florida and Nevada was fairly evenly divided. As a result, we have lagged behind only 2.86 percent of our braces, which are still perfect.
- 20:44: The first report from ESPN is available and they have just 5% [19459018
- 18:56: Yes, Morant and Murray State brought the annual 12-5 Defeat, and the perfect pool of brackets shrank in eight games to only 4.9 percent.
- 19659008] 18:24: Kansas had no problems with Northeastern, but the result had a slight effect. After seven games, only 12.8 percent of the braces are still perfect.
- 17:48: Belmont was selected in 28 percent of all parentheses – more than all eleven seeds except Ohio State. The Bruins even had the ball with a chance of winning at the end of the game, but were missed out. Thus, our perfect number of brackets dropped to 13.5 percent.
- 17:23: Michigan State was hit by lightning from 2016 – when the Spartans lost two seeds to 15-seventh Middle Tennessee – and pulled out against Bradley with 15 seeds. That barely moved the scale at our number of perfect braces, which now stands at 18.6 percent.
- 16:25 PM : The state of Florida has pulled down Vermont and reduced our total share of perfect braces to 18.9 percent in the first four games.
- 15:55: Auburn Hardly survived a surprise by the 12-state state of New Mexico, but 5 percent of our brackets still lost their perfect status. That leaves us with 20.7 percent of all BCG braces that stay perfect.
- 14:50: It took only the first two games of the tournament where the 10-seed Minnesota and the 3-seed LSU had won Eliminate nearly three-quarters of our perfect braces. Only 25.6 percent of the brackets are perfect in our Bracket Challenge Game. We can not keep track of other big games until we've reached a smaller number, but we'll keep checking and updating this post throughout the tournament.
Here are some of the direct reports of the other major games:
After 20 completed tournament games, we returned to perfect 1,321 in the Tournament Challenge 😶 pic.twitter.com/xjhIKsCNWz
– SportsCenter (@ SportsCenter) March 22, 2019
Today, after 16 tournament games, only 42.828 (0.25%) of our 17.2 million brackets are perfect.
Are you still stopping? 1945 pic.twitter.com/uFAgywgRFz
– ESPN (@espn) March 22, 2019
– Yahoo Sports (@YahooSports) March 22, 2019
2018: Last season, no bracket Even in the first round, when the 16-seed UMBC national coach with the towering seed Virginia outclassed everything, he was able to hold his own in the first 28 games of the tournament. Before this game, there were 25 braces that were still perfect, but all chose Virginia to defeat UMBC.
2017: The 2017 tournament saw the longest perfect bracket we've ever seen wrong selection This bracket was the only one of the tens of millions of brackets we played through to survive 37 games unscathed, but as the 5th Iowa State lost in the 40th game of the tournament against the 4-seeded Purdue 80-76, his perfect run was over.
2016: Three years ago, it was the shortest run we've seen since the beginning of the tracking, when the last perfect bracket only lasted 25 correct picks before the 7-seed Wisconsin hit the 10-seed Pittsburgh in the first run demolished round.
HOW REALLY IT?
So, what are the chances for a perfect bracket? Well, the most popular answer is 1 to 9.2 quintillion, a number that is so inscrutably large that it is virtually impossible to fully grasp. However, it is assumed that you have a 50-50 odds to get each game right, which is obviously not the case.
Over the past eight years, we've actually seen that Bracket Challenge Game users get about two thirds of all choices right. With this percentage, we calculated the probability that an average user would achieve a perfect bracket at 1 to 120.2 billion. Not as ridiculous as 1 in 9.2 quintillion, but still quite low odds. If you would have filled in a unique parenthesis every single day, it would take you 3,813 years to fill 120.2 billion parentheses.
However, this year has as good a chance as the first perfect bracket. Stay tuned to see if it happens.