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What the masses of Elizabeth Warren tell us



It was, according to their campaign estimates, the largest crowd that the Massachusetts Senator has attracted in her almost one-year quest to be the Democratic presidential candidate for 2020. (The 15,000 came from Warren's election campaign, so take it with a slate grain, but the photos show that MANY people were there.)

Well, that depends. Politicians will remember that Mitt Romney was convinced in the late phase of the 2012 presidential campaign that he would beat President Obama, at least because of the size of the crowds that came to his rallies. Romney did not win – or even got close to him.

On the other hand, the masses that Obama was able to attract ̵

1; both as a substitute for other candidates in the 2006 cycle and as a presidential candidate in 2008 – was a meaningful indicator of the organic passion and energy he created in the electorate.

Where do Warren's masses fit into this spectrum between Romney's false positive and Obama's, um, right, positive? It's hard to say right now, but here's what we know:

1. It is quite impressive to attract 15,000 people to a campaign rally at the end of August of each year

2. The amount, especially for a primary product, is a generally consistent indicator of organic energy

3. Surveys – including a recent national poll by Monmouth University, which was released on Monday – suggest Warren is on the rise

. No. Regardless of what one of their rivals says (or does not) about Warren's meaning, behind closed doors (or in public), you can be sure that each and every one of them would LOVE being able to feed in the numbers that the Massachusetts Senate is watching ,

The point: Yes, it's August 2019, not February 2020. But Warren is on a big roll – and their emerging crowds reflect that momentum. [19659010]
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