It has now been less than five months before the first votes are cast in the democratic president's nomination contest. The ten candidates who made the cut for Thursday's debate are even more prominent.
Elizabeth Warren, Massachusetts senator, is an Ascendant, and more Democrats say they like her than any other candidate, but former Vice President Joe Biden continues to participate in the polls. So what could set them apart from others, what could be the flashpoints on Thursday night and break through one of the other candidates?
Here are some key logistical questions, followed by political ones:
When is this? Debate? Thursday night from 8pm to 11pm ET
Which channel is it on? ABC and Univision (with Spanish translation)
Who are the moderators? George Stephanopoulos of ABC, David Muir, Linsey Davis and Jorge Ramos of Univision
Who is on stage? Biden, Sens. Cory Booker from New Jersey, Kamala Harris from California, Amy Klobuchar from Minnesota, Bernie Sanders from Vermont and Warren, and South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg, Former Obama Housing Secretary Julián Castro Rep. Beto O & # 39; Rourke from Texas and tech investor Andrew Yang.
What were the requirements to enter this debate? 2% in at least four democratic polls, either national or early, and 130,000 donors from at least 20 states and at least 400 in each state.
Here are five political questions:
1. What will the dynamics of Biden-Warren look like?
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There is much talk that this is the first time during this presidential campaign that Biden and Warren are sharing the debate phase. The question is whether they are involved – and what?
They signaled that they could confuse it. Warren has received attention for their countless plans, but a Biden counselor told CNN that the former vice president in the debate is likely to argue that "we need more than plans." One area under debate is bankruptcy law, a topic in which there is a story.
2. Can Biden stand the heat – again?
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In each of the first two rounds of discussion, several candidates quarreled with Biden – Harris over Busing, Booker over Criminal Justice, and Biden – Harris. And he is likely to be the focus of criticism from other candidates because of his persistent bias in the polls.
Despite some missteps on the dirt road and a faint first debate, his brand has proven its resilience. Not only does he lead the race at the national level and in many state polls, he is also very popular with the Democrats. You would probably never know that if you only read Twitter, a point his campaign repeatedly emphasizes.
him. Nonetheless, Democratic strategists see Biden as a fragile front runner, and he must lead solid arguments in these upcoming debates, which are likely to receive more attention than in the first two rounds.
3. Will the candidates double in positions that are unpopular with voters in general elections?
Many of the moderate Democratic candidates are not on the scene for this round – the Governor of Montana, Steve Bullock, the Colorado Senator, Michael Bennet, and the former Maryland MP John Delaney did not qualify and the former Governor of Colorado, John Hickenlooper, got out to run for the Senate.
This means that the Progressives will once again target Biden and focus on issues that are unpopular with the Democrats, such as Medicare for All as a substitute for private insurance, health care for immigrants in the country, and the decriminalization of border crossings.
. 4 Are Sanders and Warren holding onto their non-aggression pact?
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Warren receives much attention and was not only the most popular candidate among Democrats in the recent NPR / PBS NewsHour / Marist poll, but has also caught up with other progressive Sanders on average – and in some cases even passed the polls.
This must annoy Sanders, though the people close to him continue to say that he sees Warren as an ally for the kind of change he is making want to see the countryside. They have argued that Sanders Warren will only go after they are the last two, but they also privately point to differences, such as foreign policy and party politics. It's probably not the time for Sanders to look after Warren, but could there be a certain stinginess?
. 5 What chances do candidates have who need an outbreak?
I did not have a candidate for a moment, they now have the opportunity to do something to gain attention and sparks their campaign in front of a large audience.
Yang promises to do something no one has done. What exactly? Nobody knows, but Yang hopes you will turn on.
Andrew Yang's campaign manager has just called to let me know that Yang will be doing "something no presidential candidate has ever done in history" in tomorrow's night debate. He refused to go further than that.
– Sam Stein September 11, 2019
At the same time, it is unclear how many people will adjust. The latest NPR / PBS NewsHour / Marist survey found that more people said they would not watch (42%) when they said they were watching (38%).