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Which electric vehicles could achieve more than 500,000 sales per year?



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Published on March 23, 2019 |
by Zachary Shahan

23. March 2019 by Zachary



There were 17 passenger car models that had more than 500,000 sales worldwide in 2018, but we are coming to the point where some models are looking at this elite club.

The Tesla Model 3 had more than 100,000 sales in 2018 and more than 300,000 sales in 2019. By 2020, it could certainly be pass this 500,000-unit mark. (Or not, we'll see.) The Tesla Model Y will likely be more popular than the Model 3, perhaps much more popular, and it's hard to imagine that the Crossover would not 500,000 sales a year , Aside from these two Tesla mass-market models, which electric cars could generate such high annual revenue?

Before we even speculate more wildly than I was just, let's take a look at the 17 models had more than 500,000 sales in 2018. These were:

  1. Toyota Corolla – 1,187,645 [19659010] Ford F-Series – 1.081.272
  2. Toyota RAV4 – 837.404
  3. Honda Civic – 833.123
  4. Volkswagen Golf – 790.567
  5. Honda CR-V – 744.387
  6. Volkswagen Polo – 718.983
  7. Toyota Camry – 669,130 ​​
  8. Chevy Silverado – 651,191
  9. Ram Pickups – 623,477
  10. Japanese. 19659010] Hyundai Tucson – 553,503
  11. Toyota Hilux – 549,985
  12. Nissan Qashqai – 519,617
  13. Honda Accord – 515,144
  14. Volkswagen Lavida – 503,940

A specimen list is listed out there if you do not like The one above, here is another. )

If we return to the Tesla Model 3 for a second, we have recently shown that the car with the Toyota Corolla (# 1), Honda Civic (# 4), Volkswagen Golf (# 6), Toyota Camry (# 9), Hyundai Elantra (# 12) and Honda Accord (# 16) – though they are a much better car than any other . This is amazing and should show just how much space the Model 3 still has, as more and more people find out about the affordable electric supercar because they are experiencing the Model 3 Model 3 and then how it goes on.

Meanwhile, the Model Y will compete with several other models on the list – the Toyota RAV4, the Volkswagen Tiguan, the Honda CR-V and the Nissan Qashqai. The Model Y may be more expensive from the beginning, but it will be quite competitive with these vehicles considering the total cost of ownership.

Okay, if Tesla is (almost) out of the way, let's think about other electric vehicle models that could eventually break the 500,000 limit of a vehicle (sometime in 2023, we hope).


Volkswagen ID3?

  Volkswagen ID,

Volkswagen highlights its ability to produce a Model 3 competitor at A lower price. I do not think the ID3 (or whatever it's called) will really be a competitor in key categories, but if it's a decent electric car with a long range and fairly cool design for a relatively low price, it should be in one Top market sweet spot. Volkswagen has also emphasized CleanTechnica that it creates production lines for electric vehicles that aim to produce as many vehicles as the consumer will buy. Of course we have heard something like this before, but I think Volkswagen is serious.

In my understanding, the I.D.3 is a potential replacement for the Golf in the long run. As you can see above, the Golf 2018 was the 6th best selling car in the world, with almost 800,000 sales.


Volkswagen I.D. Crozz

  Volkswagen ID Crozz electric car

The I.D. Crozz is one of the vehicle classes of the 2020s. It's shiny, it's bulky and people will want it. There is not much clarity in the pricing that Volkswagen is aiming for with this model, but it is a Volkswagen, so it should be affordable.

On the list of 17 are many cars and not so many crossovers or SUVs, but if done correctly, the ID Crozz could replace the Volkswagen Tiguan, Honda CR-V or Nissan Qashqai – or something else.

Of course, Volkswagen must launch the Crozz first, as do other IDs. Models.


Volkswagen I.D. VIZZION?

If the Crozz is still some way off, the VIZZION is safe too. However, we consider the potential to exceed the mark of 500,000 / year not finally next year. Given that Volkswagen has several models on the 2018 list and it seems quite serious to enter the electric vehicle revolution, I assume that a Volkswagen top-of-the-range sedan will be part of the I.D. Page has a setting at 500,000 a year sometime in the 2020s. We will see.

The I.D. VIZZION is certainly a pretty car, but it also has a very futuristic and luxurious look. Maybe Volkswagen will take back some of these luxury features when the car actually hits the market. (It would not be the first time.) Or is that exactly where we want to go? Nissan LEAF


Ah, the reserved, forgotten Nissan LEAF. It's so beloved, but it's still the best-selling electric car in history.

You think right now: "How the hell can the LEAF keep up? In all these years, it was not nearly 500,000 a year. "I think it's important to pay attention to the battery's history and to the development of LEAF's reach over the years.

The next LEAF It is again a better battery (a much better battery) to be present, but maintains a similar pricing as earlier LEAFs. This price is already quite competitive, but I think Nissan could offer the greater potential beyond 2020. As the batteries continue to improve, Nissan could increase range and cut costs. In fact, it could do that in 2019 if it were aggressive. In other words, the LEAF could tackle the ID.3 value in this $ 25,000 price range, and could even fall back to $ 20,000 if the LEAF did so.

Gold would win. I'm not saying that this will happen in 2020 or even 2021, but thinking about it – that's quite possible, especially if Nissan cuts some features on low-end disguises. And think about it, a $ 20,000 LEAF with huge operating cost savings and competitive reach – that could make the LEAF a powerful, harsh EV model that drives down overall revenue.


Hyundai Kona EV?

If the LEAF and currently nonexistent models are on the table, one of the most compelling EVs on the market must be. This is the Hyundai Kona EV (2019 CleanTechnica Car of the Year award). , The Kona EV has excellent specifications, an attractive design, the ideal body class and beautiful colors.

The big question on the table at Kona EV is the question of whether Hyundai has set up battery deliveries to meet demand able to produce as many of these crossovers as customers want. So far there is no evidence for it. Hyundai Kona EV test drive ” srcset=”https://cleantechnica.com/files/2019/01/Hyundai-Kona-EV-Test-Drive.jpg 1920w, https://cleantechnica.com/files/2019/01/Hyundai-Kona-EV-Test-Drive-270×169.jpg 270w, https://cleantechnica.com/files/2019/01/Hyundai-Kona-EV-Test-Drive-768×480.jpg 768w, https://cleantechnica.com/files/2019/01/Hyundai-Kona-EV-Test-Drive-570×356.jpg 570w” sizes=”(max-width: 1920px) 100vw, 1920px”/>   Hyundai Kona EV test drive   Hyundai Kona EV test drive

At the moment the Kona EV At a rather high price above the gas Kona available, but as mentioned above, the battery cost curve essentially says that the Kona EV will one day be the more competitive option, and the gas Kona will go. Hyundai continues to grow as its competitors lose sales, and although the Kona gas is currently not over 500,000, I could go through the electric version of one day 500,000 – maybe.


Kia Niro EV?

  Kia Niro EV

The Kia Niro EV is, frankly, not much different than the Hyundai Kona EV. There are some differences in terms of some dimensions and design, but it is easy to mix these models (this often happens) and they have very similar specifications.

Kia is not ranked as Hyundai on the Top 20 list and this brand difference is likely to be enforced with EV models. However, the Niro EV is another convincing option. If price reductions occur over time and Kia secures the necessary battery supply to meet demand, this could be an electric model of Grand Slam that eventually destroys it in the worldwide sale of electric vehicles (19659007).


Tesla Pickup

I'm sure you did notice that the Ford F-Series was the second bestselling vehicle in the world last year. Some other pickup trucks achieved more than 500,000 sales in 2018. So many consumers – and Elon Musk – are excited about Tesla's upcoming pickup trucks, which will be released later this year. Given the success of Tesla with the Model S, Model X, Model 3 and Model Y high expectations are placed on the pickup. It seems that Musk has tried to mitigate these expectations a bit by pointing out that it is a very unique model and may not be suitable for everyone, but he also said that it is the Tesla product that him the most excited. Stay tuned.


Tesla Model 2

Another Tesla model we can not show a real picture of is the Model 2. Oh yes, that's just the name I give it, Tesla did not use that term as far as I have seen. I am not sure if this vehicle was actually designed, but after Elon was turned a little bit, Elon recently said that Tesla could produce a model that is smaller and cheaper than the Model 3 on the road. I'm assuming this is in the $ 25,000-30,000 park and that the model is referred to as Model 2. If this is the case, we will certainly have to wait a few more years. However, when it comes out, I can not see how a Tesla model with a price of $ 30,000 could not sell more than 500,000 units a year.


Ford F-Series Electric

As I As mentioned earlier, the Ford F-Series last year was the highest-revenue vehicle in the world. If you think that the industry is starting to shift to 100% electric vehicles – and I do – then you can be sure that some of these models will still be on that list in ten years' time. Of course, some models (and companies) will die off, but some will actually electrify, and Ford has said it's working on an electric version of the F-Series. I'm assuming that Ford can do a good job here, selling more than 500,000 F-Series electric trucks a year. Even if it went bankrupt before, let's remember it was the only big 3 automaker that was not rescued by the US government. It also has a right to a rescue, right?


Chevy Silverado Electric?

GM has put serious work into electric drive systems. The Bolt EV was launched before another automaker had a long-range electric car in the price range of this vehicle. The model was also kept quiet for a long time. My guess is that it works on an electric pickup truck and wants to get back on the market. A Silverado Electric maybe? Probably not, because GM likes to give its EVs new names, but let's just call it Silverado Electric. As battery technology and manufacturing continue to improve (ie, costs continue to decline), the truck should be truly competitive this time. Even if it was that does not mean will – at least not for a few years – but let's hope for a bit.

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More top ideas?

Any models that you think should not be on this list of possibilities?

You want to rely on a long, thin limb and predict when certain models will do more than 500,000 sales a year?


Would you like to buy a Tesla? Need a referral code to earn 1,000 miles of free recharge. Use our: http://ts.la/tomasz7234 (or not – up to you).


Tags: Hyundai, Hyundai Kona, Hyundai Kona EV, Kia, Kia Niro, Kia Niro EV, Nissan, Nissan Leaf, Volkswagen, Volkswagen ID, Volkswagen ID, Volkswagen ID Crozz, Volkswagen ID VIZZION


the Author

Zachary Shahan Zach tries to help society to help itself (and other species). Most of the time he spends CleanTechnica as its director and editor-in-chief. He is also the president of Important Media and the director / founder of EV Obsession and Solar Love . Zach is recognized worldwide as an expert in electric vehicles, solar energy and energy storage. He has reported on cleantech at conferences in India, the United Arab Emirates, Ukraine, Poland, Germany, the Netherlands, the United States and Canada.

Zach has long-term investments in TSLA, FSLR, SPWR, SEDG and ABB. After years of coverage of solar and electric vehicles, he simply has great confidence in these particular companies and feels like a good cleantech company he can invest in. He does not offer professional investment advice and does not want to be responsible for losing money, so do not jump to the conclusions.




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